This depends upon the popularity of the event, but in general, bookmaker odds will be more a reflection of what they expect the general public to play, rather than on the actual probabilities of either outcome. Of course, it's not quite that simple, but in general, bookmakers will set their odds so as to attract betting on either side of the odds, so as to balance their liability and take their commission.
If you are a fan of sports betting you will LOVE Las Vegas. Being the only state in the union that allows legal betting on all of the major individual sports leagues and events, Las Vegas draws thousands of sports bettors year round. Almost all Las Vegas casinos feature a sportsbook and a number of big screen TVs which creates a great sports betting environment.
Avoid falling into “square” tendencies such as buying favorites down or underdogs up. For example, some bettors always feel the need to buy an NFL favorite of -3.5 down to -2.5. The sportsbooks are smart enough to charge more juice to do this, mathematically making it a bad strategy. The same goes with buying an NFL underdog from +2.5 to +3.5 for example. In 99% of cases I would advise against it. Check out the video I made below about buying points on NFL underdogs.
Wow, 2018 flew by and was a great year in sports overall. We enjoyed a lot of success with the free picks here at The Sports Geek and have grown our great team of handicappers. 2019 is shaping up to be a great year with new experts joining the team and a new website to launch early in the year. We will continue to grow our Daily Fantasy Sports section of the website, which has really taken off in the last year. We are looking forward to helping you have a successful and enjoyable 2019!
Horse race betting is usually an activity tied to the Southeast, but Arizona is no stranger when it comes to hosting great races. Residents can place their wagers at tracks such as Turf Paradise Race Course, Rillito Downs Park Racetrack, and Yavapai Downs Racecourse. But, for those looking for a more convenient way to place wagers, they’ll be happy to know that they can do so with the same sports betting sites we’ve previously recommended. Bovada, SportsBetting, BetOnline, and 5Dimes each come with a state of the art online racebook. There also promotions and bonuses for using their racebook which may give you an edge the next time you want to bet on your favorite pony.
West Virginia and Marshall both argued in favor of receiving a small integrity fee when the state of West Virginia debated sports betting, but the final bill did not include any such royalties for schools or professional sports leagues. According to an ESPN.com report, universities including Connecticut, Rutgers, and Missouri have also met with representatives from professional leagues to discuss whether they might be able to receive an integrity fee. So far, no state sports betting legislation has passed while including such payments.
Although, the one activity you won’t find in any of those casinos is sports gambling. But, before you pack your bags and plan your trip to a bordering state, you should know that legal sports betting in Arizona can be found in your own home. Online offshore sportsbooks offer those same types of Vegas-style odds boards to any AZ resident with an internet connection. We’ll discuss the legality of using these sites, what it will take to see legal sports betting offered at casinos, and we’ll even cover topics like daily fantasy sports and pari-mutual wagering.
Sports betting services are provided by companies such as William Hill, Ladbrokes, bet365, bwin, Paddy Power, betfair, Unibet and many more through their websites and in many cases betting shops. In 2015, William Hill generated around 2.37 billion U.S. dollars in revenue with about 13.26 billion U.S. dollars in total being staked / wagered with the company.

Most people who want to place bets on sports are fans to begin with. It isn’t unheard of for a gambler to place some sports bets, especially during big games like the Super Bowl or the NCAA basketball Final Four, but for the most part, sports bettors are sports fans looking to use their knowledge of a game or of a game’s players to earn a little extra cash. Being a fan of a particular sport, a team, a college or professional squad—these are all precursors to placing sports bet. Sports betting is also a way for a fan to get in on the action of the game, with something more than self-respect at stake.
This all involves placing bets on a large number of games. This is the safest way to generate consistent money betting on sports. By spreading your risk over many games, you diversify your bankroll and investments. Your positive expectation can take over in the long run. Short term fluctuations won't make much difference. Your risk of ruin (chances of going broke) are minimal.
It is somewhat irresponsible to pinpoint a moment in the Major League Baseball time-warp to state that the "save" morphed into something static. Rather transformed on a specific date in which one can etch in baseball stone.  But for the purpose of this MLB Futures article we will start years after the term save was used by general managers in the late 1950's. As well a time period after sports columnist Jerome Holtzman was the first to give specific criteria to saves in the early 1960's.
He had two goals and an assist in Roma's 3-0 home win over CSKA Moscow two weeks ago, and a hat trick in a 5-0 home win over Viktoria Plzen in Matchweek 2. It's hard not to pick Dzeko here, even playing in Moscow. He didn't score in a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on Saturday, but still took six shots. And Dzeko scored eight goals in 12 Champions League games last season.
This all involves placing bets on a large number of games. This is the safest way to generate consistent money betting on sports. By spreading your risk over many games, you diversify your bankroll and investments. Your positive expectation can take over in the long run. Short term fluctuations won't make much difference. Your risk of ruin (chances of going broke) are minimal.

Independent of which kind of long-term bet you choose, you should always do one thing before placing the betting team: Gather as much information as possible. Before teh start of a competition, you should know which transfers were made or whether there have been other changes in personnel. Additionally it's important to know about the form of the teams or individual players of the last season or the last weeks and months. Are there injuries or other impairments? Only when the most important facts are known, you should place your tip. You should always be aware: Individual sports are riskier with long-term bets, becasue everything stands and falls with one person. If the respective athlete, that you bet on, gets injured during the season for example or needs to take a break for other reasons, your bet will be soon lost. In team sports individual injuries can be better compensated. On the other hand it's easier in individual sports to judge the form and make a forecast.

(The best value that works out to $99 per month. Save $395 vs going month by month. Save $775 vs going week by week)- With this package you will receive all the soccer picks that your handicapper makes for the entire 365 day year. Every Game of the Year, Game of the Month, and Game of the Week will be yours along with all the standard games. This is one of the best values on the internet and is your complete pass for a successful soccer picks season.


If you’ve ever been tempted by a flutter, you’ll know how bookmakers and casinos stack the odds against you. The clearest example is roulette, where there are 36 red and black numbers plus the green numbers 0 and (in the U.S.) 00. So that’s 38 possibilities in total. When betting on red or black, the odds of choosing correctly are 18/38, and a fair payout for a $1 stake is $2.111. However, the house pays only $2 and keeps the difference. In that way, it guarantees itself a profit.
One of those is David “Vegas Dave” Oancea, who pled guilty in federal court in January for charges involving using phony Social Security numbers at Las Vegas casinos in transactions of more than $1.2 million. Oancea initially faced 19 felonies, but ultimately pled guilty to a misdemeanor charge by admitting to causing violations of record keeping and procedures.

Firstly, see the below table (sourced from Statista ) showing the amount of money people loose through gambling. In the US, the loss accounts around 0.6% of the whole nation’s GNP. Whatever American Gambling Association say or justify,  it’s a huge amount. No wonder people perceive gambling as a loser’s game and never even think about chances to make a living from it;
Professional sports bettors have to worry about variance more than any other type of gambler. Working against the forces of variance means managing your bankroll over the course of the season to avoid the negative possibilities that could totally empty your wagering account. Professional sports bettors have the time and resources necessary to calculate these variances, and there are even a few pieces of software out there that can help you figure out your ideal bet in the face of negative variance. But the bottom line is that professional sports bettors would dream of having a 55% winning record, simply because it guarantees you’re beating the house.
Our expert handicapper’s main goal is to provide our members with knowledgeable sports betting advice that he draws from his past sports experiences, as well as various assortments of intangible factors, historical figures, statistics, and a wide array of trends all as a means by which to increase their bankroll.  Though this formula cannot be released you can feel confident that comprised of dozens of essential tools that ultimately ensure its success rate.
This actual 1.91 odds is a 52.4% of probability of outcome, therefore you need 52.4% winning rate rather than 50% to achieve break-even. So it’s a betting Magic Number. Bookmaker’s margin unfairly forced you to win 2.4% more rate to achieve equal return (means you win the exact amount of your own stake). Well, from other perspective, you don’t need any unrealistic winning rate like 70% or 80% to be profitable as often advertised by rogue tipsters. You need only 52.4%, and anything over than that is your profit.
As a solution I decided to create Sporita, my vision was to create an app that is easy to use and contains each and every possible piece of data from across all major football leagues and competitions. Our self learning algorithm predicts the outcome of football matches by combining a wide range of information such as formations and tactics, team and individual statistics, the coach factor, game day weather and much, much more.

In this special report we examine if we can Really make a living sports betting with the above 3 sports betting advantage play methods. Although I will briefly talk about why the 3 methods later, if you’re interested in the full rationale behind, please take a look at 3 Advantage Gambling in Sports Betting – Guide For Ordinary People To Beat Bookies;

On December 7, 1980 the San Francisco 49ers overcame a halftime deficit of 28 points in what became the greatest regular season comeback victory in NFL regular season history. By the beginning of the third quarter, notorious Vegas bookmaker Frank Rosenthal received forfeiture notices from 246 San Francisco bettors totaling more than $25,000 in premature winnings. Rosenthal was able to retain these winnings despite the final outcome of the game due to gambling regulations previously established by the NAGRA.[citation needed]


Critical. If you don't understand betting value, walk away. Sure you might be certain that a favourite at odds of 1.45 is going to win, but are the odds being offered giving any value? Plenty of times I've heard casual gamblers say "There's no way this team is going to lose this game." Well they might be legitimate favourites, but is the probability of them winning better than the odds being offered? Betting with this frame of mind is a little like saying an over-priced $2000 wide-screen TV was good value just because you really really really wanted it.

Injuries have convoluted and already complicated pair of rotations for the Jazz. The near-nothing bench of Utah is pedestrian as a whole. And the current roster has just seven players averaging 20-plus minutes per game. One of those seven that averages the 20-plus. The  club has two other injured that combine for nearly 30-minutes per game. Ricky Rubio is out to a hip injury. Dante Exum and Raul Neto aren't expected to contribute tonight with Neto (hamstring) out and Exum (ankle) questionable. 

It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front $10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.


One can follow many different betting strategies with long-term bets. Above we already mentioned the classic, of betting on the winner of a certzain competition. Apart from that there are also many other options, that we want to present to you. Additionally we want to provide important and helpful tips, that are supposed to lead you to betting success.
But, as previously discussed, in order to see the same happen in Arizona it will take a renegotiation of the state’s tribal pact. Arizona’s governor has already expressed interest in this which is why we’ve provided a list of cities that would most likely see sportsbooks open once a renegotiation happens. We’ve also listed out some nearby cities that offer sports wagering while residents wait.
Listed below we have some of the best sports handicappers in the business today offering free bets on today’s games.  While you won’t find each experts locks of the day on this page, you will find daily winners to help you with your betting.  If you want their strongest plays then you are going to need to sign up for a premium package or long term subscription.  Click their name or go to our premium section for more info.
The longer I have been betting, the more I have come to fall in love with the team that nobody likes. In fact, I feel better about a potential bet the uglier it looks on paper. Sounds counter intuitive I know, but the less the general public likes a team, the more I like the look of them in terms of betting value. Especially a team that might have performed well over a long period but may have had a bad run of maybe 4 or 5 games. Just watch the general public jump off them, and watch their value rise.

Its very hard to win money in long term betting. I don't suggest you quit your day job to do this. There are people that do make money long term betting but I guarantee you that they are not hanging out right now on 2p2 reading this thread. Its VERY VERY hard. I honestly think it would be easier to become a surgeon than become a professional bettor.
Straight-up bets, also known as the moneyline, are picks that are made on one club triumphing over the other. If Manchester City is playing Watford, in order to make a moneyline wager you’d need to pick one of those clubs to win. If you choose Man City and they do win, you’d win your moneyline bet. If the inverse happens and Watford wins, you’d lose your moneyline bet.
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