All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.

Disclaimer : FootballExpert.com is not a betting website or a bookmaker. We do not provide any form of betting but offer free of cost betting predictions and tips. Our team of experts use research based information and game expertise to predict match result as much as accurate as possible. We only provide guide to top football events, matches and bookmakers.Read More
Milan have been in top form since the return of Kevin-Prince Boateng and Robinho, and the defending champs are calculated to have value at these odds. In value situations involving Milan away from the San Siro, AccuScore is 3-2 and paid out 2 to 1 overall. Also, Roma’s matches at the Olimpico that AccuScore calculated to have value have yielded profits of 4 to 1. Getting the champs at 2.67 is a good pick even if it doesn’t pay.
We want you to learn from our picks about sports betting, as this wisdom will be how you earn money over the long term. Check out our Paying For Picks in-depth article and one on Local Bookies to help you realize that betting at online sportsbooks is really the safest, most trusted and efficient method to bet on sports. Don’t miss our Sports Betting Strategy section where you can learn various sports betting strategies and how they apply to each professional sport.

MyBookie.ag is the top sportsbooks online. They have plenty of advantages over their competitors starting with a generous deposit bonus of 50% Up To $1,000 . The number of betting markets provided is so vast that Mybookie is the betting site that you can “truly bet on anything.” They offer free credit and debit card deposits. Deposits and withdrawals are also fast and free of charge if you’re using cryptocurrencies.


The 1st concern is the compounding & stake limit. Just don’t take literally on the compound part. If follow the above process with compound mechanics and increase your bankroll to $20,000 after 1 year, your each bet would become over $1,000 (5% of total bankroll) and exponentially increase afterwards. In practice you will find no bookmakers that can keep accepting such high-rollers’ bet except a few.
Most wins by any single pitcher will carry less emphasis moving forward.  Thus offering starters a number of sabbaticals throughout a season will become more common. If for nothing else to simply reduce the number of innings across a 162-game season. Especially for a team that figures to be a part of the playoffs which expands the wear and tear on a pitchers arm. 

All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.

The easiest way to demonstrate the math behind a sports bet is to make up an example. Let’s say you and your buddy walk into a casino, each with $200 burning a hole in your pocket. There’s a big game on tonight, the Cowboys and the Redskins, so you wander into the sportsbook to check up on the latest news about the game. While you’re sitting there, you see the wagering board, with some funny numbers on it. It looks like this:


In-play betting. In-play betting is a fairly new feature offered by some online sports books that enables bettors to place new bets while a sporting event is in progress. In-play betting first appeared towards the end of the 1990s when some bookmakers would take bets over the telephone whilst a sports event was in progress, and has now evolved into a popular online service in many countries.[1] The introduction of in-play betting has allowed bookmakers to increase the number of markets available to bet on during sports events, and gamblers are able to place bets based on many different types of in-game activity during the matches. For example, in football matches, it is possible to bet in on in-play markets including the match result, half-time score, number of goals scored in the first or second half of the game, the number of yellow cards during the match, and the name of the goal scorers. [1] The availability of a particular sport and in-play markets varies from bookmaker to bookmaker. In-play sports betting has structural characteristics that have changed the mechanics of gambling for sports bettors, as they are now able to place a larger number of bets during a single sports game (as opposed to a single bet on who is going to win). One of the most important differences between being able to place an in-running sports bet opposed to a pre-match bet is that the nature of the market has been turned what was previously a discontinuous form of gambling into a continuous one. The gambling study literature has suggested that in-play sports betting may offer more of a risk to problem gamblers because it allows the option for high-speed continuous betting and requires rapid and impulsive decisions in the absence of time for reflection.[1] There are three different types of in-play sports betting products(cash out, Edit my Acca, and Edit my Bet).
The 2nd concern is 57% winning rate. Is it something everybody can achieve? The video assumes we get 100% winning amount of our original bet amount when we win (namely 2.0 decimal odds). However, that’s the return we can expect under the magic break-even rate of 52.4%, therefore we have to achieve nearly 9% better (57% / 52.4) winning rate than the probability of outcome the actual odds at bookmaker suggests.
The second question is ultimately the most important one though. Really, this is what your decision should come down to. It’s easier to make money right now from betting on sports that you’re already familiar with, but you’ve got to think carefully about whether other sports might offer better opportunities in the long run. It’s probably best to focus on just one or two sports to start with, but you might want to start betting on more once you’re getting consistently good results.
A three paragraph passage in his article noted that "Rays pitcher Sergio Romo struck out the side against the Angels on Saturday, then struck out three more batters in 1 1/3 innings the following afternoon. It was an unusual pairing of performances for one small reason: Romo had never struck out three batters on consecutive days before. And it was an unusual pairing of performances for one massive, potentially paradigm-shifting reason: Romo served as the modern era’s first designated “opener.”
January into February is about the NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl. This weekend the divisional games will be held, and then the following weekend the conference championships will be played. Two weeks later on February 4, it’s the Super Bowl, which is brimming with props! In between the conference games and the Super Bowl, the NFL will offer its Pro Bowl on January 28.

I bet on the Hamilton Tiger Cats yesterday in the CFL. Most people here probably don't follow the CFL but being Canadian, I do. Anyway, Hamilton was 4-5 on the Road. Toronto was 4-5 at Home. The bookies didn't give Hamilton much respect, so the odds were good for me to win. Hamilton paid 2.60 x my bet on a coin flip. Even odds are 1.91 / 1.91 where I bet.

In November 2014, a poll found that there had been a major shift in attitudes towards sports betting in the United States, showing that 55% of Americans now favored legal sports betting, while 66% of respondents agreed that this should be regulated by state laws, as opposed to federal legislation.[17] The poll also suggested that 33% of respondents disagreed with the notion of legalization.
Unfortunately, land-based sports betting in Arizona doesn’t exist right now. The reason mainly stems from the tribal compact that the state of Arizona has with the local Native American casinos owners. The compact allows those tribes to offer Class III gaming activities in exchange for a tax on revenue but does not extend those activities to include gambling on sports. If state officials wanted to allow other locations to offer this additional type of gaming then they would risk losing tax revenue from tribal casinos. This is why state officials are looking to rework the original compact so that only the tribes are allowed to offer it at their land-based locations.

Whether people can make a living sports betting or not is a long disputed subject, and discussed everywhere like gambling forum or sports betting for a living reddit. There seems to be 2 obvious facts. First fact is that there actually exists people who live off of sports betting / gambling. The 2nd fact is such people is not many. Have you ever watched the movie of professional gamblers stories “The Hustler”? Paul Newman as Fast Eddie Felson plays the lead role. His dream is to prove himself as the best pool player by beating the most renowned player of all times Minnesota Fats.
The longer I have been betting, the more I have come to fall in love with the team that nobody likes. In fact, I feel better about a potential bet the uglier it looks on paper. Sounds counter intuitive I know, but the less the general public likes a team, the more I like the look of them in terms of betting value. Especially a team that might have performed well over a long period but may have had a bad run of maybe 4 or 5 games. Just watch the general public jump off them, and watch their value rise.
Chelsea began the season strong on a strong note going 12 premier league games without a defeat to start of their season. They had a healthy 7 point cushion between them and Manchester United when Ole Gunnar Solskajaer took over and now they trail United for the last Champions League spot by 1 point and a game in hand making this game against Manchester City a must win for their Manager.
Just because you have an edge does not mean you want to double down your entire stack. An easy way to look at it is like this. Let’s say you have a random number generator that is equally likely to select any number from 1-100. If the number is between 1-55 you win, if it’s 56-100 then you lose. How much would you be willing to risk in this situation?
Firstly, see the below table (sourced from Statista ) showing the amount of money people loose through gambling. In the US, the loss accounts around 0.6% of the whole nation’s GNP. Whatever American Gambling Association say or justify,  it’s a huge amount. No wonder people perceive gambling as a loser’s game and never even think about chances to make a living from it;
The team points out that this kind of practice could be illegal. “Advertising goods or services with intent not to sell them as advertised, or advertising goods or services with no intent to supply reasonably expectable demand but with the intention to lure the client to buy another product (a practice often called ‘bait’ or ‘bait and switch’ advertising), is considered false advertising and carries pecuniary penalties in the U.K., Australia, and the United States of America,” say the team.
So a look at the second important sports betting rule. Preparation! This includes studying your sport, its teams, players, coaching staffs, schedules, past trends, past results on the field and against the spread betting results, season predictions, matchups, possibilities and various other parts and pieces that really dictate who has the best chance to win a matchup. I mean do I really get in-depth with an Alabama vs the Citadel matchup? No. (I don’t bet Bama anyway as they are my team and can’t have my heart dictating money placement) But if I did, this would only dictate a look into the Citadel offense, injuries and possible matchups because I would just be trying to determine if the Citadel could cover the spread. Trying to predict how much a big team will beat a small school by is a very difficult task due to the amount of variables such as motivation of the big team and its players, who sits out due to a nagging injury due to a certainty of winning, will the big school try different things to see what may work, will they just run and eat up clock (ball control offense) after getting a decent lead, does a coach want to score a lot to have an impressive win margin for playoff consideration or the opposite and have no concern just a win is okay,and when will backups come in. These are very difficult to predict so there is no amount of certainty to what will happen which is a no-go for a seasoned bettor. But you can determine the smaller list above and get some idea of how much the smaller school could score and compare this against an average of scores the big school has put up against average competition over the last 3, 5 or how many ever years you see as an equal to the team this year. If I come up with a good estimation that the Citadel can score 13 on Bama, and Bama has scored an average of 42 points on lower level opponents over Saban’s tenure minus year 1, I can see a spread of 29 points would be my prediction (42–13). The sports books have this game with Bama as a favorite to win but by 21 points (-21 which means Citadel would be +21 point underdogs meaning you win your bet on them if the do anything except lose by more than 21 points, at 21 is a push and will pay back your wager). Should you bet this? No. Because you a prediction that they can or should lose by 29 points. So if the spread was +42 for the Citadel, you should feel safe about taking this spread. This would be the base view of a bet. A big part of preparation and study is to have a predictive index and way to rate teams and matchup types which should not only help to see what teams are best to bet on when comparing your weekly predictions but also which matchups are instant throw aways. The predictive formulas are highly important and vary bettor to bettor based on what each sees as important and what factors they believe contribute most to team wins and their chance to win a bet. I spend some 30–50 hours of data compilation (most intensive and time consuming), advanced statistics and analytics analysis (different from standard data from my perspective), data entry, analyzing the compiled data calculated from my predictive indexes, and finally matchups, lines and spreads from the sports books (near the end right before placing wagers). This is compared against any predictions from odds sites or from message boards on betting sites. That is just a test of how my ideas align with other bettors, and basically another little tiny bit of help. But I would have the teams I see as the best to bet against certain level of opponent in my predictive calcs (so maybe I see Bama, Ohio state and Clemson as tier 1; LSU, Michigan, and USC as tier 2; Kansas State, South Carolina and Virginia Tech as tier 3; down to the final tier of Charolette, Kansas and Rice) the teams all get a +/- score against each tier. This allows me to combine the scores of the two teams in a matchup and see over all the possible matchups at a sports book which are the highest on your index meaning the best chance of winning for a team or their chances against the spread. This will usually show me maybe 20 up to 30 matchups which make sense based on my set +/- combined matchup score. From these matchups, I can usually cut down to 12 or less matchups due to the given spreads and odds and seeing the ones that don’t make sense for me or just simply aren’t matchups I have enough knowledge of or belief in. The final matchups are then fully analyzed with a few pages of notes on the matchup. I will pull any and every bit of data I can gather. I have subscriptions to every sports site that offers paid content or any magazines in the area also. It does get expensive but remember it’s a job and you should put all work and money on necessary or your business will fail. These sheets will end in my full matchup analysis based on positional groups, coaching staffs, s&p rankings, and overall player comparison. You can see who will have advantages in specific areas and which of these will be most important to the outcome. If WVU was seen to be better than Tennessee based on their run blocking against Tennessee’s interior defensive line unit, what does that mean to me? Honestly, not much. At best a higher chance of converting on 3rd and short runs to extend drives and time of possession. I know based on my analysis (and just from watching Dana Holgorsen and his offensive philipsophy developed as offensive coordinator at Texas Tech, they will pass early and often) that WVU will live and die by the passing game. So which matchups do I want to focus on? WVU receivers against Tennessee defensive backfield, WVU offensive tackles (and whole line) vs Tennessee pass rush, Tennessee mid-level defense (5–15 yards past line of scrimmage or dependent on linebacker and possibly up safety depth) against underneath passing game of WVU, WVU 3rd down passing offense (1–3 yds, 4–7 yds and 8+ yds) against Tennessee 3rd down defensive unit. I will want to see WVU have a huge advantage in each of these matchups. From my work this year, WVU has a gigantic advantage in WR unit vs the Tennessee backfield, a large advantage against the Tennessee pass rush on the outside and a small advantage against interior pressure, WVU should see success in the underneath passing game and the 3rd down passing offense should see average to slightly below average conversion percentage. I see the biggest advantage and most glaring in this contest to be the WVU receivers against Tennessee backfield (and Will Grier will be a huge catalyst and positive against Tennessee) which is a troubling fact for Tennessee as WVU throws at an above average amount every game. They have a deep-threat and seemingly uncoverable WR from inside to slightly outside the red zone in David Sills V, a sure-handed Gary Jennings who excels at the short to mid-level range, Reggie Roberson who will possibly take the 3rd WR slot and get some underneath work with deep-play speed and finally TJ Simmons (who transfered from Alabama last year and can finally play this season) who has exceptional top-line speed and good strength and power for a WR. This will be one of if not the top WR unit in the country. It will be up against a make-shift Tennessee defensive backfield that lost a few players and are trying out freshman and returning players with little experience for positions. They will use a new defensive scheme under new coach Jeremy Pruitt who lives by the 3–4 base defense. But he will also put a 4th down lineman at times if the rush is constantly succeeding. Tennessee has been running a 4–3 base defense so they will be learning an entirely new defensive concept which requires forgetting prior assignments to learn new ones which will most likely show especially early in the season when guys forget or blow assignments or simply don’t have field awareness yet. This will be helped with another guy in pass-protection (may be just an extra pass-rusher also) with the 3–4, but this will be a player who is covering an area that he has never been tasked with. Even the best cornerback on the team (CB1 who usually covers the other teams best WR so WR1) may not be very good at covering WR3 or the slot receiver bacause you must have quick lateral movement, instincts of when jump routes, quick decision-making and sure tackling abilities to play CB3 (could be designated a DB or other various term such as star). Those traits are not as important or needed on the outside. So back to the matchup, WVU could eat up the short to mid yardage passes which will pull the defense up and then strike with a deep shot. They could eat up Tennessee with deep passes calling for a need to drop another defender into coverage allowing WVU to establish the run or eat up yardage underneath the coverage. Basically, they can do what they want and Tennessee will have problems. Tennessee has a barren pass rush after losing their leading pass-rushers who combined for 8.5 sacks last year as return 4 sacks from last years line. So with little change and an experienced WVU offensive line with solid returning numbers, the outlook is an issue getting pressure and low concern about allowing sacks. Will Grier does most work from the pocket and gets a bit shaky on mechanics outside of the pocket or on the run (but still better than most) so this hurts to not be able to take advantage of this. So with this and the fact that the Tenn offense will struggle due to lack of talent, middling qb play, suspect run game and no established offensive philosophy (they will try a lot in this game and keep at what works maybe even move players around); I have come to a prediction that WVU should win. And with a margin that I feel has the highest chance of falling in the 9–14 point range. This could very well be a 14–24 point win though. I was able to get this bet placed taking WVU with a spread of -6 at -110 odds. With my heavy belief in this outcome and from my analysis saying it makes sense, I bet $5000 on this matchup. This would produce a $9,545.45 payout ($4,545.45 profit) and my belief is that I am getting more than 3:1 on my money (75% chance of winning) so everything makes sense and this bet is the kind I want to find. Note: -6 isn’t a spread offered anymore, I got this quite a while back. It’s now at -9 to 10.5.
The oddsmakers have come up short in our opinion on this total as they have this at 6 it should be set at 6 1/2 all day long. As we have all year in the NHL, we will take advantage of this mistake. Carolina are playing their third game in 4 nights and now have to play in the altitude of Denver. It will be tough for the Hurricanes to play a solid defensive game tonight. In fact, Carolina has not been playing much defense at all lately allowing an average of five goals a game in their last 3 games. The total has gone OVER today’s posted total in 7 out of the last 8 Carolina games. As for Colorado, they always play much better at home and also score more at home. In their past 5 home games, they have averaged 4 goals per game. With both clubs fighting for a playoff spot you will see both clubs going all out for the victory tonight and pushing the total over 6. The fact that the Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Denver just solidifies our selection. So lets get the job done with the Carolina/Colorado game OVER 6 as your free play for today.
We’re not saying to just make a decision without putting any thought into it. Take everything we said into consideration, but don’t stress out. All that really matters is that you enjoy yourself, and gamble responsibly with money you can afford to lose. It makes sense to start by focusing on any sports you already follow, but don’t be afraid to try out others at some point. If you don’t follow any sports, start with the popular ones and see how it goes from there. Once you get a hang of it, you might want to try a couple of the more obscure sports.
Sports betting is typically a game of small edges. Sure, occasionally we’ll find situations where we are gaining a large edge on certain sportsbooks, but for the most part, it’s about finding inefficient markets and attacking them. There are going to be nights where bettors have a wealth of plays available at their disposal, but betting games for the sake of simply “getting action” is going to cost players big in the long haul.
All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.

If you’ve never heard of eSports, chances are you’re closer to your 40s than your teens. These are electronic sports, essentially competitive video gaming. Sportsbooks in Nevada recently got the OK to take bets on eSports, which are extremely popular with young people. They’re also lucrative. Top professional video gamers can make more than $1 million per year playing games such as League of Legends, Rocket League or Call of Duty (among hundreds).
Unfortunately, land-based sports betting in Arizona doesn’t exist right now. The reason mainly stems from the tribal compact that the state of Arizona has with the local Native American casinos owners. The compact allows those tribes to offer Class III gaming activities in exchange for a tax on revenue but does not extend those activities to include gambling on sports. If state officials wanted to allow other locations to offer this additional type of gaming then they would risk losing tax revenue from tribal casinos. This is why state officials are looking to rework the original compact so that only the tribes are allowed to offer it at their land-based locations.
If you’re a big fan of your local teams, it’s likely that you know them better than most other teams. There’s plenty of value with having a deep knowledge of specific teams. You’re simply going to have a much better bead on how teams you follow closely will play compared to others. Occasionally, this means betting on your favorite teams, other teams it means betting against them. There’s no room for personal bias or favoritism if you’re serious about making money betting on your favorite sports.
As in the stock market, sports bettors suffer from psychological tendencies that create value and momentum opportunities. In the main, investors and sports bettors overreact to new information, such as a stock’s recent price moves or a team’s spell of bad-luck losses. “People tend to think that recent performance is a better predictor of the next game’s performance,” he says, “when, in reality, the long-term quality of the team is a much better indicator.”
Yes, but only through online offshore sportsbooks. The way that they work is that you first use real money to make deposits on the site. This can be done through the use of a debit card, bank wire transfer, check, Bitcoin, or other financial means. Once the site receives your deposit you’ll be able to use those funds to place whatever kind of wager you’d like and if you win they will send your winnings back to you in the way that you choose.
It doesn’t matter if you consider darts a sport or a leisure activity. It is quite popular and more and more people find it easier to bet on. One might be inclined to think that darts is a niche market that many bookies don’t take bets on but that would be a mistake. This game is a staple at all of the world’s leading sportsbooks and there are so many darts events throughout the year that punters can place pre-game and live bets almost any time. The best darts betting sites usually have a promotion or two that is geared towards darts bettors. Many of these bookies provide live streaming coverage, betting tips, and other helpful information. These same bookies give punters an excellent selection of payment methods to choose from and they take pride in offering fast payouts.
Its very hard to win money in long term betting. I don't suggest you quit your day job to do this. There are people that do make money long term betting but I guarantee you that they are not hanging out right now on 2p2 reading this thread. Its VERY VERY hard. I honestly think it would be easier to become a surgeon than become a professional bettor.
On our Picks page, you’ll notice dollar signs, ATS, To Win and Total O/U. These are all betting terms that you should familiarize yourself with in order to make strategic picks. Under the Last 100 heading, you’ll see the records for the last 100 games played in the Premier League. The table also features the amount of money won (or lost) based on the opening and closing lines, ATS and Total O/U. It may seem like gibberish but don’t worry, we’ll explain each term below.  
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