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Sports betting is extremely popular. The main cause is that you can be a master of your own destiny and thus do not have to rely on the chance only. So, what is the key to success in sportsbook? We will outline the basic mathematical strategy, which promises the chance of success in the long run. We also bring an automatic MS Excel Calculator that determines, whether and how much are the odds favorable or not.

My long term percentage on College Football Best Bets is 56% (1290-1017-40 over 29 years) and the new NFL play-by play model was 100-69 (59.2%) in 2016. However, despite being a combined 148-107 (58.0%) on Football Best Bets, college and NFL, in 2016, I will continue to use 55% winners as a realistic goal going forward. If I expect 55% on 200 Football Best Bets (I had 255 last year, which was higher than expected) then the expected profit at -110 odds would be 200 x (0.55 – (1.1 x 0.45), which is +11.0 units (or +22.0 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars). The Kelly Criterion recommends a wager of 3.4% of your bankroll for a wager with a 55% chance of winning and odds of -110. However, the Kelly formula assumes sequential betting and sports betting usually involves simultaneous betting, which is part of the reason behind using some fraction of full Kelly to reduce risk. If I play 2.0% of my initial bankroll per bet, or 1.0% per Star, (i.e. flat betting) then my expected return during football season (5 months) is 22.0%. Adjusting your bankroll after each week rather than flat betting will increase your expected return, as explained in the KC simulation section of my money management section.
There are other things too, but those are the key things you need to deal with. So the bookie makes money by adding the gains from knowing the odds better to the gains from being paid the vig. The way you’re going to make money is by making sure that the losses from paying the vig are less than the gains from knowing the odds better. It’s just maths.

This site is for entertainment purposes only. TheMachinesPicks.com does not accept bets nor place bets for its readers. Online gambling may be illegal in your jurisdiction. It is highly recommended that you check with your local or state government before partaking in online gambling. This site provides NFL handicapping tips, MLB handicapping tips, NBA handicapping tips and NCAAF handicapping tips. If you are looking for a sports handicapper service / sports handicapping expert, who is proven and been around for many years, then you have come to the right place. I have been doing sports handicapping for many years and it has been very successful for me. There is no gambling allowed or supported on this site!.
For once I am very happy about how a round turned out from a betting perspective at this edition of the World Cup. Sweden wasn't up to the task of facing England, and Belgium came through with the milder-than-the public-perceived upset at the big price, so we wound up with a nice profit. Even the other two games didn't bother me too much even though they both ended up as losses. Croatia won as I hoped, but it just took them too long to do it. And Uruguay just didn't show up against France, which happens in soccer frustratingly often. Read More >>
The second part of this tips is “Don’t Go on Tilt”. Going on tilt or “tilting” is a commonly referred to term with poker players and basically means letting your emotions take over, which often leads to bad decisions. If you are angry or upset at something, such as a couple bad beats with your sports bets, you shouldn’t be placing any more bets. Take a break, go for a walk, get your mind clear before you start making anymore sports betting picks.

The second part of this tips is “Don’t Go on Tilt”. Going on tilt or “tilting” is a commonly referred to term with poker players and basically means letting your emotions take over, which often leads to bad decisions. If you are angry or upset at something, such as a couple bad beats with your sports bets, you shouldn’t be placing any more bets. Take a break, go for a walk, get your mind clear before you start making anymore sports betting picks.
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The many different games and ways to bet on them offer bettors a wider pool of options to find their edge. Understanding of a particular game or genre of games can give you an edge when betting against outcomes. If you can find a specialty within esports and learn to make consistently smart and valuable bets on it, you stand to make some serious dough.

In November 2014, a poll found that there had been a major shift in attitudes towards sports betting in the United States, showing that 55% of Americans now favored legal sports betting, while 66% of respondents agreed that this should be regulated by state laws, as opposed to federal legislation.[17] The poll also suggested that 33% of respondents disagreed with the notion of legalization.
Sportsbooks are huge for Vegas casinos, bringing in $136.3 Million in 2009. The only games which brought in more money were 3 card poker, roulette, craps, baccarat, blackjack, and slot machines. It seems as bettors do well with sports betting as the casino only has a 5.31% win percentage, compared to 11.31% for blackjack, and 12.04% for all table games.
But we, as sports fans, know that the mathematics of a sporting event is much more complex. Sports bettors deeply involved in their hobby will subscribe to weather bulletins from major cities that take part in their sport, making huge wagering decisions based on a few mph of wind in one direction or another. Then there’s the unknown—does a player get hurt in the first quarter? Does weather become a factor? Is a particular player “in the zone?”
Anything I can make guaranteed profit on. It is a Catch 22 though. The bigger leagues (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) have more people wagering on them, so the odds of finding lines that differ between sports books is tougher. This is because the betting line only moves when too many people are wagering on 1 side. A $100 will have little to no impact on a Super Bowl line that already has millions in the pot. As long as Vegas has close to equal action on each side, they profit every time. The lesser known sports, have less money wagered on each game, so it's easier to spot vastly different lines between different sports books.

Many times you and a group of friends can get overly competitive when it comes to sports, and this may lead to forming sports pools. Folks should know that this is a completely safe form of legal sports betting. As long as the commissioner or the person handling the pot doesn’t get a cut of the winnings, and you don’t advertise the public to join, you should be well within your legal grounds to form such a pool. Offshore sports betting sites also have great referral programs and contests that you and a friend can join.
The Key: The Utah Jazz will be hungry for a victory tonight over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  They have lost all 3 meetings with the Thunder this season, including the last two in excruciating fashion by a single point each.  They’ll avoid the season sweep and get a win and cover at home tonight.  The Thunder have been vulnerable of late, going 3-7 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They just aren’t playing much defense at all, allowing 108-plus points in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  The Jazz are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games off a loss.  Take Utah.
If you’re an AZ resident and enjoy physically placing your sports wagers at gaming facilities you’ll have to travel a bit to do so. It should come as no surprise but many people in the area love to travel west to Nevada in order to indulge in some of the world’s finest gambling activities. New Mexico also provides a safe means to land-based sportsbooks.
Sportsbooks are huge for Vegas casinos, bringing in $136.3 Million in 2009. The only games which brought in more money were 3 card poker, roulette, craps, baccarat, blackjack, and slot machines. It seems as bettors do well with sports betting as the casino only has a 5.31% win percentage, compared to 11.31% for blackjack, and 12.04% for all table games.

The NBA might be the most prestigious and popular basketball league in the world but it certainly isn’t the only one. Professional basketball leagues thrive all over the world and the best basketball bookmakers make sure that they offer as many of them as possible. Be it one of the many European leagues, Asian leagues, or African leagues, bookies pull out all the stops to satisfy the growing number of fans. Punters really love the competitive odds, live streaming, in-play betting, and the plethora of dedicated promotions the basketball betting fans get. There are several bookies that offer a wide variety of markets, easy payment methods, and fast payouts.
La Russa made Eckersley his closer, and he developed the "MLB sapien" system that was choreographed to use the role sparingly. The engineering marvel put little to no stress on the pitchers arm in a single outing.  Thus resulting in that arm being used in consecutive games. Eckersley went on to establish records for relievers with a 0.61 ERA in 1990, and did what most thought was impossible then, and in truth now, by earning the American League Cy Young and MVP awards when he saved 51 games in 1992.
So, at the end of the day, what could you call a “good” record for a sports bettor? Most casual gamblers looking into sports betting see a pro advertising his 1100-900 record and shake their head a little. How could such an abysmal record be something to be proud of? That’s a 55% winning percentage, and it indicates to those in the know that this bettor is actually turning a profit placing bets on sports.

A very big step to becoming a winning sports bettor is to make sure you are shopping for the best lines. What this means is that you will have to have an account at a couple of different online sportsbooks and when you are ready to make a bet on a certain team or outcome you check the different sportsbooks and find which book is offering the best line for you (this ties in with our advanced how to find max value article). For example, if you are looking to bet on the New England Patriots on a 7 point spread, you would want to check a couple different sportsbooks to see if any of them are offering the Patriots at 6.5 points, or at the very least find the best price you can get them at 7 points at. Over the course of a sport betting season you can win yourself a lot of money from shopping the lines that would otherwise would not be one. Line shopping is definitely one of the best sports betting strategies used by winning sports bettors. To see a list of sportsbooks we recommend signing up for visit our Online Betting Sites section.


Several additional states such as Louisiana, Connecticut, Mississippi,[30] Maryland, Massachusetts, Missouri, California, South Carolina, Iowa, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Ohio, New York, and West Virginia,[31] began drafting bills to legalize sports betting soon after New Jersey and Delaware. Pennsylvania,[32] Rhode Island,[33] and West Virginia were able to pass legislation legalizing sports betting within their states.[34]
As a matter of fact, offshore sites like Bovada, SportsBetting, BetOnline, and 5Dimes all have mobile apps that are available for download right from their site. Bovada is the only one in the pack that has an official app in the app store. But, each site is mobile friendly and offers all the latest odds and ease of making deposits right from your smartphone or tablet.
The 1st concern is the compounding & stake limit. Just don’t take literally on the compound part. If follow the above process with compound mechanics and increase your bankroll to $20,000 after 1 year, your each bet would become over $1,000 (5% of total bankroll) and exponentially increase afterwards. In practice you will find no bookmakers that can keep accepting such high-rollers’ bet except a few.
For a lot of people, however, these decisions are NOT easy. Some people follow a lot of sports, and are not sure if they want to bet on them all. Others only follow a single sport, and aren’t sure if they want to limit themselves to just that one sport. Then there are those who want to try to sports betting but don’t really follow any sports closely.
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).

It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front $10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.
There aren’t too many places where horse racing isn’t popular and doesn’t have enough liquidity for accepting bets and stakes. This sport has many showcase events such as the Triple Crown, Grand National, and the Melbourne Cup. The race tracks are always filled with spectators and millions of eyes are glued to television sets and live horse racing streams during these major events. Needless to say, the bookies love this and are eager for you to bet on this sport. Chances are there is a horse race happening right now. Punters can get in on the action almost any time of day all year round and the best horse racing betting sites are ready to greet you with everything you will need. Easy deposits and withdrawals, competitive odds, high betting limits, and live streaming are a few of the things that make the sports of kings more enjoyable. Let’s not forget about all those horse racing bonuses and promotions that are so easy to find. Money back 2nd or 3rd, free bets, and many other types of promotions give punters the edge they need to come out ahead when picking out their sport.
Our goal is to be the best website on the Internet for free sports betting information and picks, and we are constantly working on finding new ways to improve our site to best fit your needs as a sports bettor. Winning money betting on sports isn’t easy, but our goal is to educate every sports bettor as much as we can to help you in your goal of profiting with your betting.
Most people think that sports betting is about finding ‘sure things,’ but in reality such ‘locks’ are nothing more than gamblers’ fancy. Just as in real estate, currency, stocks, or any other speculative market, ‘sure things’ simply do not exist. As a professional sports bettor, my goal is to find and exploit many small edges over a long period of time to earn a compounding return. Winning 55% of games is very significant, and with very conservative bet sizing, you can grow your return very quickly. Investing $10,000 into the stock market for a year and earning a 10% return is considered a great investment – but your return winning a modest 54% of your sports bets would trounce that return.
Here you will find sports analysis, picks and information. Also you can get more details on how to join our VIP Membership. There are currently 2 Packages available for the correspondent up and running Sports and Leagues. MLB and International Sports are the two packages available at very affordable prices. If you have any questions feel free to contact LordSports! The goal is to deliver real winners day in and day out based on hard work and dedication. Doesn’t matter the sport, league or package! We cover all major US sports, International Leagues and have packages available at bargain prices!
Most sports bettors know just enough to make them dangerous. There is a great difference between being knowledgeable in the NFL and NFL betting. Being able to name the starting offensive line for the Cowboys is not likely to help a person win a bet. What many sports bettors do not realize is they are competing against other bettors who spend countless hours on handicapping, studying trends, injuries, and betting angles. If you fail to study the games, find somebody who does it for a living. A reputable sports service is skilled with sports betting professionals.

OKC fell by eight to the Los Angeles Clippers Friday night. The squad seems off balance, and several players have criticized the officiating lately, Paul George in particular who was fined for ripping refs after the loss to the Clips. To be fair, the Thunder might have a point (their opponents have been awarded a combined 93 free throws last two games), but wasting energy on such matters won't do them any good.   
One of those is David “Vegas Dave” Oancea, who pled guilty in federal court in January for charges involving using phony Social Security numbers at Las Vegas casinos in transactions of more than $1.2 million. Oancea initially faced 19 felonies, but ultimately pled guilty to a misdemeanor charge by admitting to causing violations of record keeping and procedures.

The National Football League (NFL) remains the only sports league to maintain public opposition to sports betting, however critics have noted that with the move of the Oakland Raiders relocation to Las Vegas in 2019, the NFL has positioned itself for legalization, while simultaneously contradicting its long-held position that sports betting in NFL markets would lead to potential match-fixing.[47] Commissioner Roger Goodell agreed with Manfred in a July 2017 seminar that betting on in-game events, as opposed to the outcome of games, was a more palatable form of sports betting.[48]
How much real cash sports betting did you do from January through to September? If you did none or little, you lost out on some great opportunities. If you’re into year-round real cash sports betting, make sure that you check out our free pick pages each and every day. We always have a free pick or two or more ready and waiting for you. Don’t lose out by limiting your sports betting opportunities. There’s a lot going on throughout the year.

Injuries have convoluted and already complicated pair of rotations for the Jazz. The near-nothing bench of Utah is pedestrian as a whole. And the current roster has just seven players averaging 20-plus minutes per game. One of those seven that averages the 20-plus. The  club has two other injured that combine for nearly 30-minutes per game. Ricky Rubio is out to a hip injury. Dante Exum and Raul Neto aren't expected to contribute tonight with Neto (hamstring) out and Exum (ankle) questionable. 

Sports betting is the activity of predicting sports results and placing a wager on the outcome. The frequency of sports bet upon varies by culture, with the vast majority of bets being placed on association football, American football, basketball, baseball, hockey, track cycling, auto racing, mixed martial arts, and boxing at both the amateur and professional levels. Sports betting can also extend to non-athletic events, such as reality show contests and political elections, and non-human contests such as horse racing, greyhound racing, and illegal, underground dog fighting.
Tonight in Las Vegas the West Coast Conference Semifinals take place in what is an exciting time to be in Sin City. Fans from across the west have enjoyed coming to Vegas as this has been the site of numerous conference tournaments as of late. Monday we take advantage of one team we feel is getting way too much credit in this spot. Hope you join ...

Value betting is a pretty simple concept. You use sharp bookmakers (those that don’t limit winning players) as an indicator for value. What I mean by this is that if the bookmaker Pinnacle is offering Man Utd at 2.0 to beat West Ham. Whilst Stan James has Man Utd priced 2.15 for the same game. We can estimate that Stan James are offering us a value bet.
It‘s amazing that many of us run or work within successful businesses backed by good ethics and a sound money management theory, but refuse to use these same techniques when it comes to sports betting money management. Would you bet 25 percent of your retirement fund on a single stock that had a 40 percent chance of going in the tank tomorrow? Would you invest in a real estate development under the same scenario? Nobody would do either of these propositions, yet many people are willing to bet 20 to 30 percent of their betting resources a single game. The books know that most of us lack discipline and that greed, sooner or later, will get the best of the gambler and that some early returns for the bettor will likely eventually swing to big profits for the bookmaker.
For now, Paddy Power Betfair will operate like a conventional bookmaker online. To operate an online betting exchange, the company will need that approach to be blessed in state legislation. Levin says the company would also like to see states enter into compacts that would allow the company to share its sports bet liquidity across multiple states.
Proposition bets are wagers made on a very specific outcome of a match not related to the final score, usually of a statistical nature. Examples include predicting the number of goals a star player scores in an association football match, betting whether a player will run for a certain number of yards in an American football game, or wagering that a baseball player on one team will accumulate more hits than another player on the opposing team.
Before you decide to buy picks, ask yourself: What is my sports betting budget (bankroll) and am I able to control it? If you are laying down $1 or $5 bets on a couple of games every week, then you certainly shouldn’t be spending more than that trying to get winning picks for even money. If you are placing small wagers like that, you will likely end up paying more for your picks than you will end up winning from those bets. Paying for picks is only worth it if you are going to end up winning more money than you paid for the picks in the first place.
OddsShark’s super computer cares about one thing and one thing only: DATA. Use our computer-generated picks to form the basis of your Premier League wagers and you could find yourself winning big. We’ll make sure you have info on how you can cover the spread for every fixture and make smart bets. Look out for our free picks so that your money goes a long way. You don’t want to lose it all by making a disastrous wager on Wolves over Tottenham.
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