If you've ever said the phrase "I'm not a numbers guy but....", then you probably shouldn't be a betting guy either. While plenty of gamblers can make a success of it by betting on instinct and 'feel', to be successful long term you need a viable staking plan and you need to understand what the odds reflect in terms of probability. In short, its a numbers game, and you need an adequate relationship with division and multiplication as a minimum.

For many states that don’t have regulated laws regarding sports gambling, residents turn to daily fantasy sports as an alternative means to bet. However, Arizona residents do not have that option. While many argue that DFS is a game of skill, based on the analytical research needed to make picks, AZ lawmakers claim that it is a game of chance and therefore prohibited. There are currently no DFS sites that will accept Arizona residents and these include DraftKings and FanDuel. Not even Fantasy Draft or Yahoo will risk allowing AZ residents to sign up. The good news is traditional and legal Arizona sports betting can still be had at online offshore sportsbooks and many of them offer contests similar to DFS sites.
There are two key words in sportsbook – information and strategy. Based on information the bookmakers estimate the probabilities of the outcomes of the betting events (e.g. win or loss of a home team, a tie etc.) and offer corresponding odds. Information is important for a better as well to draw a line between good and bad odds. The odds are the main indicator! We will learn how to use it by way of the example below.
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Tonight in Las Vegas the West Coast Conference Semifinals take place in what is an exciting time to be in Sin City. Fans from across the west have enjoyed coming to Vegas as this has been the site of numerous conference tournaments as of late. Monday we take advantage of one team we feel is getting way too much credit in this spot. Hope you join ...
Our team of experts help to increase your chances of winning, delivering comprehensive previews – including form guides, the latest team news, up-to-date odds, recommended bets and predictions – on the biggest games worldwide. FootballExpert covers the ‘big five’ – delivering betting previews for the English Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A and Ligue 1 – as well as the likes of the Scottish Premiership, Major League Soccer, club friendlies and the biggest international tournaments.

Never pay for picks! Touts are rarely honest about their record, and it’s almost always a waste of money. Safest Betting Sites offers free sports picks on a variety of sports, with a focus on NFL Football, NBA basketball, NHL hockey and other professional sporting events. Our sports writers work hard to post free picks they are wagering themselves with accurate and up-to-date lines.
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TheSportsBetExpert.com is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information or links provided by on TheSportsBetExpert.com. TheSportsBetExpert.com does not guarantee winnings and cannot be held liable for losses resulting from the use of information obtained from here. TheSportsBetExpert.com does not offer bookmaking services or gambling capabilities on its website. TheSportsBetExpert.com is a sports information website and TheSportsBetExpert.com is not responsible in any way regarding picks and predictions. If you encounter gambling problems please contact gambling help authorities in your area.
I strongly considered selecting Aguero, who is coming off a goal and two assists in Manchester City's 6-1 rout of Southampton on Sunday -- until I looked at the schedule. Kane and Mohamed Salah, the other player I was considering here, both play on Tuesday (as does Messi). Manchester City's game is on Wednesday, and Aguero didn't start in the first game against Shakhtar Donetsk. There's a risk that Aguero won't start again, and if I wait until Wednesday to find out, I won't be able to pivot to one of my other top choices.

In the United States, it was previously illegal under the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992 for states to authorize legal sports betting, hence making it effectively illegal. The states of Delaware, Montana, Nevada, and Oregon—which had pre-existing sports lotteries and sports betting frameworks, were grandfathered and exempted from the effects of the Act.[6]
In order to make regular and consistent profits, you are going to have to be willing to dedicate a lot of time to sports betting. You can make money without it become a full-time job, but don’t expect to be successful if you just spend a few minutes choosing your selections. If your time is limited, you should probably focus on just one or two sports. Stick to the mainstream sports when possible, as it doesn’t take so long to research and analyze the necessary information for those.

Mississippi became the fourth state in the United States to launch sports betting operations on August 1, 2018 when Gold Strike Casino Resort in Tunica Resorts and Beau Rivage in Biloxi started taking wagers.[35] On August 30, 2018, West Virginia became the fifth state to launch sports betting, with Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races the first casino to offer sports betting.[36] New Mexico became the sixth state to offer sports betting on October 16, 2018 with the launch of sports betting at the Santa Ana Star Casino in Bernalillo.[37]


This is a Free NBA play on the LA Clippers. A week ago the Boston Celtics were in Houston, losing by a score of 115-104 to the Rockets. It marked a seventh loss in a 10 game span, and Kyrie Irving wasn't exactly complimentary of his teammates after the game. “We just weren’t covering up for one another consistently enough,” Irving said. “That’s really what it comes down to.” So now just seven days later, the Celtics are coming off three straight wins. As impressive as it was to beat the Warriors at Oracle Arena, you could say that proves they are as good as Phoenix, as the Suns won in Oakland on Sunday. They followed that up with wins over the Kings and the Lakers. Now they've had two nights off in LA, and they play the Clippers on Monday in the final game of this road trip. This looks like a trouble spot for a team that might still have plenty of issues. The Clippers might not have a BIG3, in fact they don't even have one real superstar player. They do have a solid team though and they are on the verge of clinching a playoff spot in the West. LA has won seven of their last nine overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the Celtics. Take LAC. GL, 

You even have an advantage over the bookies to help you. That’s the advantage of not having to bet. Bookies are expected to make markets on a whole host of sporting events, and honour those prices if someone tries to bet on them. You don’t have to do that. You can focus on the stuff that you can understand better, that you have good data on, that you have models that provide good odds estimates on. You can sit and wait for the times the bookies get it wrong, because among all the noise they do get it wrong sometimes. You wait, and you wait, and you wait as long as you need to wait. Then you bet. And you do so with the odds in your favour and vig eliminated as much as possible.


For many states that don’t have regulated laws regarding sports gambling, residents turn to daily fantasy sports as an alternative means to bet. However, Arizona residents do not have that option. While many argue that DFS is a game of skill, based on the analytical research needed to make picks, AZ lawmakers claim that it is a game of chance and therefore prohibited. There are currently no DFS sites that will accept Arizona residents and these include DraftKings and FanDuel. Not even Fantasy Draft or Yahoo will risk allowing AZ residents to sign up. The good news is traditional and legal Arizona sports betting can still be had at online offshore sportsbooks and many of them offer contests similar to DFS sites.
Let me put what we have reviewed in this way; The bookmakers have edge of built-in margin but unlike casino where pure mathematics governs, the sports betting is pretty much skill oriented game thus successful Software / Tipsters (Handicappers) / Systems turn their edge into ours. They can identify a True Value Bet in the form of UNDER-ROUND in the selected sports category where they have absolute skill edge. These will result in Positive EV (Expected Value) that’s a mathematical formula to allow you achieve average long-term profit. This +EV will be translated into the additional winning rate to 57%. For further details of EV and its rationale, you may want to read the one I introduced at the beginning, especially Value Bet section;
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).

BIG GAME ALERT for TUESDAY: Prez sports a 12-5 (71%) NHL best bet (4%) run and has cashed four of his last six NHL Main Events. He has isolated a Tuesday night affair on the ice that gives one group of skaters a signficant edge over their conference foe. Join Prez in the rink Tuesday night with this MAIN EVENT 5% NHL GAME OF THE MONTH (12-5)... just $9.00 until Monday at midnight.
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*For that kind of stuff, read the answer on bookmaker arbitrage that someone will no doubt write, presumably using several thousand fewer words than I have and including several more appealing sounding promises about the guaranteed money you’ll make. I’ve done that too, and it does work, but it’s not quite as easy as some people will have you believe and it’s hard to sustain it. You pays your money and you takes your choice.
A successful sports betting strategy begins with managing your bankroll. To make a living betting sports, you must treat it as you would any other business. The old saying is that you should not use your rent money to bet with. That is true. But if you're betting for a living it is equally true that you must not use your gambling bankroll to pay the rent.
Levante are the feel good story in Europe, and there’s no good reason to stop believing at this point. AccuScore calculates value on both the draw and a Levante win, so a split pick is the correct play on this one. Regardless of whether Levante win or draw, the pick would be profitable. The trends aren’t with this pick, but Levante has surprised us all this season. If Levante lose, however, Barcelona and Real Madrid will likely return to the top and Levante will be the forgotten story of the season.
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