In this special report we examine if we can Really make a living sports betting with the above 3 sports betting advantage play methods. Although I will briefly talk about why the 3 methods later, if you’re interested in the full rationale behind, please take a look at 3 Advantage Gambling in Sports Betting – Guide For Ordinary People To Beat Bookies;
The second question to ask yourself is: What is my betting style? Are you already winning more than you lose and putting away your winnings? Is your bankroll steadily growing, or it is going downhill consistently and requiring you to re-deposit every week? Remember, betting on sports should be fun and if you’re losing money because you’re not making the right picks, then using the services of a professional handicapper could be a good idea to help you recoup some of your lost dollars.
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His team is the biggest favorite of the week, playing at home against AEK Athens. That wasn't quite enough to persuade me to pick Robert Lewandowski over Dzeko as my Tier 2 forward, but I think both James and Arjen Robben are good choices here. They've both scored three goals in eight Bundesliga appearances this season. I give the edge to James, who -- like Silva -- will probably have more passes completed and more chances created.
If you had $20,000 that you could comfortably afford to risk as your sports wagering bankroll and $3,295 went to pay for the all Football and all Basketball service, then you would have $16,705 left for wagering. As explained above the expected return on the combined Dr Bob Football and Basketball and NBA Guru Basketball services is +68.0% per year (using a less optimal flat betting approach), which would result in a return wagering profit of +$11,359 on the $16,705 initial bankroll. The overall profit, after factoring in the cost of the services, would be $8,064 (($16,705 x 0.68) – $3,295 = +$8,064), which is a very good 40.3% expected return on your $20,000. That percentage return is higher for higher bankrolls and lower for lower bankrolls since the cost of service becomes a smaller percentage of higher bankrolls and a higher percentage of smaller bankrolls. If you want to subscribe to the all Football and all Basketball package you would need a total of at least $4,846 to invest to expect a positive return after factoring in the cost of the service. The calculations above are based on expected results based on long term records and some years are better and some years are worse.
Donald Hoover, FDU professor in International School of Hospitality and Tourism Management and former casino executive commented on the results, "Betting on sports is not an uncommon practice for many New Jerseyans, but for the most part, the state doesn't supervise it, doesn't tax it and doesn't take any revenue from it." In 2010 a national poll showed that voters opposed sports betting in all states by a margin of 53-39. Woolley commented on the results, "If some states allow sports betting and profit by it, other states will want to follow." Yet by December 2011, after New Jersey passed its sports betting referendum, the national measure shifted to 42-42. In January 2012, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie signed legislation allowing sports betting in the state after it was approved in a nonbinding voter referendum in 2011. He announced on May 24, 2012 that he planned to go ahead and set up a system of wagering at the state's racetracks and casinos that fall, before the National Football League season ended.
The Blackhawks Over streak came to an end in Dallas on Saturday after 16 straight Over wins. 8 of those 16 were at home and 13 of past 15 at United Center have gone over and we won't look to buck the trend here when two teams battling for a Wildcard spot meet. The Coyotes come in playing some playoff style hockey tonight and have won 8 of 10. While the atmosphere may be a playoff type one, we don't see the Hawks team capable of playing a tight one. Over is the play here.
Multi-bets. Parlays. Teasers. Whatever you like to call them, know when to bet them and when not to. Sure they offer the promise of the big score, the big pay day, but unless you have done your analysis and have located true value, they are a terrible way to bet. Look at it this way. If you place a multi-bet of 4 legs, and you were getting full price even money odds of 2.00 for each leg, the odds for that multi would be 16.00. Now lets look at a real world example where you're being offered lets say 1.90 for 'even money' with the bookmaker taking out 5%: the odds for that same 4 leg multi would be just 13.00. That's taking out close to 19% of the full price of that bet.
Milan have been in top form since the return of Kevin-Prince Boateng and Robinho, and the defending champs are calculated to have value at these odds. In value situations involving Milan away from the San Siro, AccuScore is 3-2 and paid out 2 to 1 overall. Also, Roma’s matches at the Olimpico that AccuScore calculated to have value have yielded profits of 4 to 1. Getting the champs at 2.67 is a good pick even if it doesn’t pay.
If you’re an AZ resident and enjoy physically placing your sports wagers at gaming facilities you’ll have to travel a bit to do so. It should come as no surprise but many people in the area love to travel west to Nevada in order to indulge in some of the world’s finest gambling activities. New Mexico also provides a safe means to land-based sportsbooks.
In considering golf wagering for the future and the potential impact of ‘integrity fees’, how will the PGA handle these types of situations with a royalty being collected by the PGA for all the golf wagering during their tournaments? The PGA issued a statement on regulation saying that it’s the most effective way of “ensuring integrity in competition, protecting consumers, engaging fans and generating revenue for government, operators and leagues.”
Before I delve into rigorous explanations of how a bettor can gain an advantage against the point spread, it is important to understand what the spread actually represents. Point spreads were invented to keep bettors interested in games between teams of different talent levels – if a perennial powerhouse like Alabama plays a mid level team such as South Alabama, you’ll find very few people willing to bet on which team will win the game since Bama would be such a prohibitive favorite. However, most are willing to bet on whether Alabama will ‘cover the point spread’ and win by a certain number of points. If the point spread is 21.5, then the Crimson Tide must win by 22 or more points for their side of the bet to cover, while South Alabama must either win outright or lose by 21 points or less to cover their side. Point spreads are designed so that the probability of each outcome is roughly equal, and are generally set so as to approximate the median score differential between the two teams at the given site of the game.
One of those close calls came in a loss at Monmouth by a mere 2-points. That doesn't concern me here, as the Iona won the first meeting 103-84 at home. That fact that they lost the most recent matchup is actually a positive. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and playing their 2nd road game in 3 days are 122-67 (65%) ATS going all the way back to 1997.
This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public's opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can be found on events where there is expected to be greater interest than normal by the occasional and casual gambler, who lets be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting strategy. Events like the AFL and NRL Grand Finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.
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