```"Rays pitcher Sergio Romo struck out the side against the Angels on Saturday, then struck out three more batters in 1 1/3 innings the following afternoon. It was an unusual pairing of performances for one small reason: Romo had never struck out three batters on consecutive days before. And it was an unusual pairing of performances for one massive, potentially paradigm-shifting reason: Romo served as the modern era’s first designated “opener.”
```

If you had \$20,000 that you could comfortably afford to risk as your sports wagering bankroll and \$3,295 went to pay for the all Football and all Basketball service, then you would have \$16,705 left for wagering. As explained above the expected return on the combined Dr Bob Football and Basketball and NBA Guru Basketball services is +68.0% per year (using a less optimal flat betting approach), which would result in a return wagering profit of +\$11,359 on the \$16,705 initial bankroll. The overall profit, after factoring in the cost of the services, would be \$8,064 ((\$16,705 x 0.68) – \$3,295 = +\$8,064), which is a very good 40.3% expected return on your \$20,000. That percentage return is higher for higher bankrolls and lower for lower bankrolls since the cost of service becomes a smaller percentage of higher bankrolls and a higher percentage of smaller bankrolls. If you want to subscribe to the all Football and all Basketball package you would need a total of at least \$4,846 to invest to expect a positive return after factoring in the cost of the service. The calculations above are based on expected results based on long term records and some years are better and some years are worse.
```In the above break down of Investment / Gambling spectrum, needless to say Lottery’s EV (Expected Value) is the lowest.  Its EV is always negative, according to business insider, the \$450 million Powerball Jackpot lottery’s  EV is – \$1.37 per ticket. Means you lose average \$1.37 when you buy a \$2 ticket, so the loss accounts for 68% out of your investment.  This terrible negative return level applies to basically all lotteries.
```

It is that time of the season again, the title races across the Europe are heating up, the Champions League is back in 2 days and it feels like the second Christmas of the winter season is upon us. If Christmas gave us a clear leader at the top of the pile, Christmas 2.0 has put some life back into the title race and now people are looking for someone at Liverpool to make the next big ‘Slip’.
It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front \$10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.
For sports bettors, the vig is more expensive than the spreads on a typical Wall Street stock trade. But the growth of online betting—mostly illegal in the U.S.—has started to shrink the vig below 10% in some places, which should eventually make betting a better deal for bettors. That’s what you’d expect, says Toby Moskowitz, a professor of finance at the Yale School of Management and one of the principals with the \$226 billion hedge fund manager AQR Capital Management.
Cash Out. Cash Out lets you take profit early if your bet is coming in, or get some of your stake back if your bet is going against you—all before the event you’re betting on is over. Cash Out offers are made in real time on your current bets, based on live market prices. Whenever you are ready to Cash Out, simply hit the yellow button. Cash out is available on singles and multiples, on a wide range of sports, including American football, tennis, horse racing, basketball, and many more! You can Cash Out of bets pre-play, in-play, and between legs.[1]
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).
Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days!  She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
The NHL’s Stanley Cup Playoffs start a few days after April 7, which is when the regular season ends. Of the 31 teams, 16 make it into the postseason. Each series is best of seven. The playoffs will often go into May. The NBA season ends April 11 and the playoffs begin April 14 and end at some point in early June. A total of 16 teams make it into the NBA postseason.

In 1919, the Chicago White Sox faced the Cincinnati Reds in the World Series. This series would go down as one of the biggest sports scandals of all time. As the story goes, professional gambler Joseph Sullivan paid eight members of the White Sox (Oscar Felsch, Arnold Gandil, Shoeless Joe Jackson, Fred McMullin, Charles Risberg, George Weaver, and Claude Williams) around 10,000 dollars each to fix the World Series. All eight players were banned from playing professional baseball for the rest of their lives.[56] Pete Rose, the all-time MLB leader in hits, was similarly banned from baseball in 1989 for betting on games while he was an MLB manager.
A very big step to becoming a winning sports bettor is to make sure you are shopping for the best lines. What this means is that you will have to have an account at a couple of different online sportsbooks and when you are ready to make a bet on a certain team or outcome you check the different sportsbooks and find which book is offering the best line for you (this ties in with our advanced how to find max value article). For example, if you are looking to bet on the New England Patriots on a 7 point spread, you would want to check a couple different sportsbooks to see if any of them are offering the Patriots at 6.5 points, or at the very least find the best price you can get them at 7 points at. Over the course of a sport betting season you can win yourself a lot of money from shopping the lines that would otherwise would not be one. Line shopping is definitely one of the best sports betting strategies used by winning sports bettors. To see a list of sportsbooks we recommend signing up for visit our Online Betting Sites section.

### So what is the best theory on money management? There are several methods that have proven successful by many professional gamblers. In speaking to most of these individuals, discipline being the main ingredient. I personally believe that one should never bet more than 20 percent of their season bankroll on any given week. An example would be if a gambler starts with a seasonal bankroll of \$5,000.  Thus, they will have \$1000 (20 percent of your bankroll) to bet with on opening week. If we were to release eight football picks on the first week it would look like this:

When looking over a lot of college football betting predictions, it’s clear to see that the future might not be etched in stone for the Big 12. Some sports commentators and analysts covering college football spread picks said the Big 12 was unfixable. Well, 2 weeks ago, that statement may have been reasonable, but as of today, there is still ... Read More »

In a different study released by FDU’s PublicMind in October 2011, results showed that New Jersey voters thought legalizing sports betting in New Jersey was a good idea. Half of New Jersey voters (52%) said that they approved the idea of legalizing sports betting at Atlantic City casinos and racetracks, 31% opposed it. In addition, there was a significant gender split: a majority of men approved of the idea by a wide margin (65-21), while only 39% of women approved and 41% opposed.[9] The October results were stable, reflecting an earlier poll in April 2011 where New Jersey voters approved the legalization of sports betting in the state by a margin of 53%-30%. However, nearly two-thirds (66%) of voters were not aware of the upcoming statewide referendum on the issue. Age proved to be a divide: voters between the ages 18 and 34 were more likely to approve of sports betting than were older voters. Dr. Woolley commented: "But... younger voters... are far less likely to vote than other voters... As always, a lot depends on who actually shows up to vote."[10]
These decisions will be easy to make for those who are sports fans first and bettors second. They usually choose to simply wager on all of the sports that they already follow and like to watch. This approach is entirely logical really, as those are the sports that they know and understand best. They’re more likely to enjoy betting on those sports, and their knowledge of those sports will give them a better of chance of winning money.
The Blackhawks Over streak came to an end in Dallas on Saturday after 16 straight Over wins. 8 of those 16 were at home and 13 of past 15 at United Center have gone over and we won't look to buck the trend here when two teams battling for a Wildcard spot meet. The Coyotes come in playing some playoff style hockey tonight and have won 8 of 10. While the atmosphere may be a playoff type one, we don't see the Hawks team capable of playing a tight one. Over is the play here.
Cash Out. Cash Out lets you take profit early if your bet is coming in, or get some of your stake back if your bet is going against you—all before the event you’re betting on is over. Cash Out offers are made in real time on your current bets, based on live market prices. Whenever you are ready to Cash Out, simply hit the yellow button. Cash out is available on singles and multiples, on a wide range of sports, including American football, tennis, horse racing, basketball, and many more! You can Cash Out of bets pre-play, in-play, and between legs.[1]
Let me put what we have reviewed in this way; The bookmakers have edge of built-in margin but unlike casino where pure mathematics governs, the sports betting is pretty much skill oriented game thus successful Software / Tipsters (Handicappers) / Systems turn their edge into ours. They can identify a True Value Bet in the form of UNDER-ROUND in the selected sports category where they have absolute skill edge. These will result in Positive EV (Expected Value) that’s a mathematical formula to allow you achieve average long-term profit. This +EV will be translated into the additional winning rate to 57%. For further details of EV and its rationale, you may want to read the one I introduced at the beginning, especially Value Bet section;
Though soccer is low-scoring, Murphy says there are many ways to bet on it. Even if you don’t know a corner kick from a red card, Murphy says “it’s not hard to learn about the basics of the game and then start to do a little figuring out to what’s important to betting the game. People should not be afraid to try new sports, because there’s a lot on the board.”
But, as previously discussed, in order to see the same happen in Arizona it will take a renegotiation of the state’s tribal pact. Arizona’s governor has already expressed interest in this which is why we’ve provided a list of cities that would most likely see sportsbooks open once a renegotiation happens. We’ve also listed out some nearby cities that offer sports wagering while residents wait.

So how difficult is sports betting math? The math behind placing a winning bet is fairly complicated, but the way to stay ahead of the bookmaker is rather straightforward. If you collect on 52.4% of your bets, you’ll break even. We’ll have more details on that number later, including why it takes more than 50% wins to break even, but first some general knowledge about sports gambling and the numbers behind it.

#### Arizona is one of the few states in the country to have a professional sports team in every major US sport. Fans have the option to watch Cardinals games live in one of the most high-tech domes in the country. And even though Arizona is mostly covered in desert, residents even have the option to go watch NHL games and root for the Coyotes. Great games don’t just end at the professional level, because sports programs at the University of Arizona and Arizona State draw in huge crowds as well. With the online offshore sportsbooks we recommend, legal sports betting in Arizona can be done on these teams and almost every team outside of the state.

The Thunder are faced with a seeding decision before tonight's tip against the Jazz at Vivint Smart. OKC's conundrum is whether they want to sell out in the final month of the regular season by playing their first rotation major minutes or saving their legs for postseason play. A focus on the team's final 16-games of the regular season to remain one of the top four seeds in the West requires playing Russell Westbrook and Paul George in excess of their season average in minutes played. This asking allot considering the pairs 36 minutes per game this season.
A basketball season with 53.5% winners (my career percentage is 53.9%) on 500 bets would on average yield +11.75 units ( (500*.535) – (500*.465)*1.1 ), or +23.5 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars. Using a conservative 1.6% of bankroll per bet (full Kelly at 53.5% at -110 odds is 2.35% of bankroll), or 0.8% per Star, results in an expected return of 18.8%. So, despite a lower overall winning percentage and smaller average wager size, a season’s worth of basketball wagers is fairly comparable to a season of football because there are so many more Best Bets in basketball season.
```The Thunder’s recent pointspread free-fall (1-9 ATS L10 games) has left them without much of a betting bandwagon; an elite level team that has legitimate ‘value’ potential moving forward.   The underdog has cashed winning bets in both previous meetings this season; a pair of ‘down to the wire’ finishes.  And make no mistake about it – this is ‘circle the wagons’ time for OKC following Paul George’s tirade against the refs after their loss to the Clippers on Friday.  Live dog here!  Take the Thunder.
```

Odds for different outcomes in single bet are presented either in European format (decimal odds), UK format (fractional odds), or American format (moneyline odds). European format (decimal odds) are used in continental Europe, Canada, and Australia. They are the ratio of the full payout to the stake, in a decimal format. Decimal odds of 2.00 are an even bet. UK format (fractional odds) are used by British bookmakers. They are the ratio of the amount won to the stake - the solidus "/" is pronounced "to" for example 7/1 "seven to one". Fractional odds of 1/1 are an even bet. US format odds are the amount won on a 100 stake when positive and the stake needed to win 100 when negative. US odds of 100 are an even bet.
In the above break down of Investment / Gambling spectrum, needless to say Lottery’s EV (Expected Value) is the lowest.  Its EV is always negative, according to business insider, the \$450 million Powerball Jackpot lottery’s  EV is – \$1.37 per ticket. Means you lose average \$1.37 when you buy a \$2 ticket, so the loss accounts for 68% out of your investment.  This terrible negative return level applies to basically all lotteries.
Though soccer is low-scoring, Murphy says there are many ways to bet on it. Even if you don’t know a corner kick from a red card, Murphy says “it’s not hard to learn about the basics of the game and then start to do a little figuring out to what’s important to betting the game. People should not be afraid to try new sports, because there’s a lot on the board.”
The NBA Comp play is to play over the total in the Oklahoma City at Utah game at 9:00 eastern. The Thunder have flown over in 8 of 10 on Mondays ads the last 4 if they have lost 6 or 7 of the last 8 games. The Jazz are 6 of 6 over off a straight up favored loss and 5 of 6 over off a road loss by 10 or more. From the NBA System database we see that rested road dogs  with a 200 or higher total that failed to cover as a road dog and allowed 110 or more points are 17 of 20 Over since 1995 vs a team that failed to cover by 7 or more as a road favorite like Utah. Play this game over the total. On monday the 2019 NBA Total of the year headlines along with a 19-0 Conference tournament System in College hoops.. For the NBA Free pick. Play the Thunder and Jazz over the total. RV- GC Sports.
One can follow many different betting strategies with long-term bets. Above we already mentioned the classic, of betting on the winner of a certzain competition. Apart from that there are also many other options, that we want to present to you. Additionally we want to provide important and helpful tips, that are supposed to lead you to betting success.
Unfortunately, land-based sports betting in Arizona doesn’t exist right now. The reason mainly stems from the tribal compact that the state of Arizona has with the local Native American casinos owners. The compact allows those tribes to offer Class III gaming activities in exchange for a tax on revenue but does not extend those activities to include gambling on sports. If state officials wanted to allow other locations to offer this additional type of gaming then they would risk losing tax revenue from tribal casinos. This is why state officials are looking to rework the original compact so that only the tribes are allowed to offer it at their land-based locations.
It wasn’t that long ago that the popular and mainstream sports were all we could bet on. Finding a bookmaker willing to take wagers on the “minor” sports was nearly impossible. This is no longer the case though, as these days we can bet on virtually any sport that’s played professionally: even the most obscure ones. Although these don’t offer the same advantages that we’ve outlined above, one big advantage they have is that the bookmakers don’t give them the same level of attention.
Let’s examine, if people can make a living sports living of matched betting. Probably the best way to examine is using Profit Accumulator (PA) case. PA is one of the most popular matched betting paid service with over 20,000 members in the UK. The members’ average monthly income from the matched betting is said to be around £1,000. See Profit Accumulator Full Review – Should We Believe 20,000 members’ Eaning Claim? for full details;
Rugby League and Rugby Union combine to attract a massive global audience and an astronomical amount of betting action each year. There are countless professional leagues and a great many international events which means that punters have a nearly endless supply of betting opportunities. It’s not unusual for each individual match to feature well over 30 pre-match wagering possibilities. It gets even better when one considers all of the bets that can be made while a match is in progress.
© 2019 American City Business Journals. All rights reserved. Use of and/or registration on any portion of this site constitutes acceptance of our User Agreement (updated 5/24/18) and Privacy Policy and Cookie Statement (updated 5/24/18). The material on this site may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used, except with the prior written permission of American City Business Journals.
If you’re a big fan of your local teams, it’s likely that you know them better than most other teams. There’s plenty of value with having a deep knowledge of specific teams. You’re simply going to have a much better bead on how teams you follow closely will play compared to others. Occasionally, this means betting on your favorite teams, other teams it means betting against them. There’s no room for personal bias or favoritism if you’re serious about making money betting on your favorite sports.
Horse race betting is usually an activity tied to the Southeast, but Arizona is no stranger when it comes to hosting great races. Residents can place their wagers at tracks such as Turf Paradise Race Course, Rillito Downs Park Racetrack, and Yavapai Downs Racecourse. But, for those looking for a more convenient way to place wagers, they’ll be happy to know that they can do so with the same sports betting sites we’ve previously recommended. Bovada, SportsBetting, BetOnline, and 5Dimes each come with a state of the art online racebook. There also promotions and bonuses for using their racebook which may give you an edge the next time you want to bet on your favorite pony.
Chelsea began the season strong on a strong note going 12 premier league games without a defeat to start of their season. They had a healthy 7 point cushion between them and Manchester United when Ole Gunnar Solskajaer took over and now they trail United for the last Champions League spot by 1 point and a game in hand making this game against Manchester City a must win for their Manager.
By giving all of your focus to a single sport and doing your due diligence, you can find great value on lines on a regular basis. Remember that public perception factors into the making of point spreads and moneylines as well; if you are way ahead of the public in terms of knowledge on a specific sport, you can spot lines that the average bettor might not.
Tennis betting online is becoming a popular activity for sports gamblers year-round but the action and betting truly heat up for the grand slams. Betting on the 2019 French Open tennis is easier than ever with an extensive list of online betting sites available no matter where you are located in the world. French Open betting is likely to surpass all other grand slams like Australian Open, Wimbledon or the US Open regarding the betting handle. Filling out the draws bracket is another way to get in on the fun while betting on tennis.
Ray Wallin is a licensed civil engineer and part-time handicapper who has had a presence on the Web since 2000 for various sports and horse racing websites and through his personal blog. Introduced to the sport over the course of a misspent teenage summer at Monmouth Park by his Uncle Dutch, a professional gambler, he quickly fell in love with racing and has been handicapping for over 25 years.
The bookmaker functions as a market maker for sports wagers, most of which have a binary outcome: a team either wins or loses. The bookmaker accepts both wagers, and maintains a spread (the vigorish) which will ensure a profit regardless of the outcome of the wager. The Federal Wire Act of 1961 was an attempt by the US government to prevent illegal bookmaking.[2] However, this Act does not apply to other types of online gambling.[3] The Supreme Court has not ruled on the meaning of the Federal Wire Act as it pertains to online gambling.

Even though most sports bettors are losers in their own right (as a whole, bettors actually win an average of only 48% of their bets – less than they would expect to win if they just flipped a coin for every game), their losses are compounded by the fact that the house takes a cut of winnings, also known as the ‘juice’ or ‘vig.’ Most sports books charge a 10% commission on wins, which means that a bettor must actually win 52.4% of his games just to break even. (Wagering \$100 per game, a bettor loses \$100 with a loss and wins \$90.91 with a win, so he must go 11-10 (11/21 = 52.38%) to break even).

## The outlined sportsbook strategy also answers a frequent question, whether it is possible to be profitable in the long run or even make one's living by sports betting. It is certainly possible, however it places considerable demands too – on time, psychics and discipline as well. Information collection may be a full-time job, but it is also a hobby for many.

It was that group that decided to get all Ottoman Empire on a still-unborn industry by proposing a head-spinning 36 percent tax – 34 percent to the state, 2 percent to local coffers – on gross sports betting revenue. Yes, that is in fact gross. That rate is on top of an up-front \$10 million fee just for properties to obtain a sports betting license.
```For the World Cup final match on Sunday, when Croatia will face France, the French are strong favorites. At the online bookmaker bet365 on Friday, it cost you 250 to win 100 on a French victory, while you had to risk only 100 to win 200 on Croatia. I left out the dollar signs on those odds because they can’t take Americans’ bets. The difference of 50 in the payoffs is the sports-bookmaker’s “vigorish,” which corresponds to the spread between Buy and Sell quotes that provide the profit for market makers in our financial markets.
```

A basketball season with 53.5% winners (my career percentage is 53.9%) on 500 bets would on average yield +11.75 units ( (500*.535) – (500*.465)*1.1 ), or +23.5 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars. Using a conservative 1.6% of bankroll per bet (full Kelly at 53.5% at -110 odds is 2.35% of bankroll), or 0.8% per Star, results in an expected return of 18.8%. So, despite a lower overall winning percentage and smaller average wager size, a season’s worth of basketball wagers is fairly comparable to a season of football because there are so many more Best Bets in basketball season.

When there IS some value in their odds and lines, there are so many other people betting on these sports that it soon disappears. A good price will see lots of money coming in very quickly, and when that happens the bookmakers adjust their odds and lines accordingly. So unless we’re also very quick, we can easily miss out on the best opportunities.
OKC fell by eight to the Los Angeles Clippers Friday night. The squad seems off balance, and several players have criticized the officiating lately, Paul George in particular who was fined for ripping refs after the loss to the Clips. To be fair, the Thunder might have a point (their opponents have been awarded a combined 93 free throws last two games), but wasting energy on such matters won't do them any good.
I strongly considered selecting Aguero, who is coming off a goal and two assists in Manchester City's 6-1 rout of Southampton on Sunday -- until I looked at the schedule. Kane and Mohamed Salah, the other player I was considering here, both play on Tuesday (as does Messi). Manchester City's game is on Wednesday, and Aguero didn't start in the first game against Shakhtar Donetsk. There's a risk that Aguero won't start again, and if I wait until Wednesday to find out, I won't be able to pivot to one of my other top choices.