It's a widely known concept that the vast majority of sports bettors are going to lose money. The most popular concept is that 90-percent of sports gamblers will lose money over the course of the year, but that doesn't stop people from wagering on sports. When those bettors eventually go broke and cannot wager anymore, there's always somebody else waiting to take their place in line.
We are constantly reviewing the picks the team is putting out on a nightly basis to ensure we have only the highest quality information and picks being posted at The Sports Geek. We have certain team members dedicated to each league so that they can keep their focus focus on their handicapping specialties. This allows each writer to specialize in their sports and give out picks with a very solid winning percentage.
Soccer truly is a global game. Unlike a sport like American football, any number of leagues from multiple countries might be pursuing the services of the same player soccer at the same time. A highly sought after soccer player could be purchased or “transferred” to any number of destinations, whereas the NFL is really the only competing force for top-end talent.
The easiest way to demonstrate the math behind a sports bet is to make up an example. Let’s say you and your buddy walk into a casino, each with $200 burning a hole in your pocket. There’s a big game on tonight, the Cowboys and the Redskins, so you wander into the sportsbook to check up on the latest news about the game. While you’re sitting there, you see the wagering board, with some funny numbers on it. It looks like this:
His team is the biggest favorite of the week, playing at home against AEK Athens. That wasn't quite enough to persuade me to pick Robert Lewandowski over Dzeko as my Tier 2 forward, but I think both James and Arjen Robben are good choices here. They've both scored three goals in eight Bundesliga appearances this season. I give the edge to James, who -- like Silva -- will probably have more passes completed and more chances created.
Together, college and pro basketball have historically been one of the biggest winners for sportsbooks in Nevada. According to UNLV Gaming, sportsbooks actually won more money in 2017 from basketball than any other sport. Last year college and pro basketball win for sportsbooks were $87,431,000 while football (college and pro) was $76,896,000. Basketball accounted for slightly more than 35% of the win for sportsbooks last year.
The cost of my College football service is $895, the cost of the NFL service is $995 ($1,595 for both services), my Basketball service is $895 ($2,195 for all Football and Dr. Bob’s Basketball service), and the NBA Guru subscription is well worth the $1495 given how profitable he’s been ($3,295 for all Football and all Basketball, including the NBA Guru). You must factor in that cost when calculating your expected return on investment (ROI). As explained above, winning 55% on the Football Best Bets and 53.5% on my Basketball Best Bets would yield an expected profit of +45.5 Stars and let’s assume the NBA Guru profits +27.2 Stars as well (he’s averaged +27.2 Stars per season). Let’s say you decide to play 1.0% of your initial bankroll per star on the Football Best Bets and NBA Guru Best Bets and 0.8% per star on the Basketball Best Bets, as in the example above. Doing so would have an expected total return 68.0% per year based on flat-betting using your initial bankroll. Using an optimal betting strategy, as explained in the advanced money management section, would yield even higher long term returns while protecting the downside risk in the inevitable negative variance seasons that plague even the best long term handicappers.
You're looking for 10-20 bets a week for something that runs almost the entire year? The answer is really MLB and nothing else. Large volume of games, long season, great for minimizing variance. Yes, tennis and soccer run for most of the year, but good luck trying to get a handle on all the different moving parts those markets entail (e.g., all the different leagues and countries in soccer, how would you even get to start focusing on something to be high volume?) to be able to squeeze out an edge as you are starting out. If you're used to modeling golf, getting into baseball shouldn't too too far of a stretch since a lot of the modeling is based on the individual level rather than the team.
While strikeouts per nine innings have increased in dramatic fashion the last half decade this trend will not continue. Expect less "swinging for the fences" with a focus on a higher percentage of contact by a hitter. The theory of putting the ball in play and placing pressure on defenses has recently found success. The Kansas City Royals won the 2015 World Series with the philosophy. Those same Royals stole bases and had a three headed monster in the bullpen.
Two Eastern Conference teams fighting to remain in the thick of the postseason bracket square off tonight at Barclays Center. Detroit is in Brooklyn for a 7:30 p.m. ET Monday night affair. The Pistons have surpassed Brooklyn in the East playoff standings off an impressive 131-108 rout of the Chicago Bulls on Sunday. was the fifth straight victory for the Pistons and their 12th in the last 14 games. Brooklyn has done their best to keep pace with Detroit winning three straight.
It's possible but rare. There are lots of opportunities that bookies miss but over time they usually adjust. For example Wong Teasers (teasing through both the 3 and 7 in NFL) were highly profitable for a while and now evidence shows they are less so, if at all, as the info becomes public and books adjust payouts and shade teaser lines to compensate. So there are "loopholes" to try and exploit.
OddsShark’s super computer cares about one thing and one thing only: DATA. Use our computer-generated picks to form the basis of your Premier League wagers and you could find yourself winning big. We’ll make sure you have info on how you can cover the spread for every fixture and make smart bets. Look out for our free picks so that your money goes a long way. You don’t want to lose it all by making a disastrous wager on Wolves over Tottenham.