One of those is David “Vegas Dave” Oancea, who pled guilty in federal court in January for charges involving using phony Social Security numbers at Las Vegas casinos in transactions of more than $1.2 million. Oancea initially faced 19 felonies, but ultimately pled guilty to a misdemeanor charge by admitting to causing violations of record keeping and procedures.
This all involves placing bets on a large number of games. This is the safest way to generate consistent money betting on sports. By spreading your risk over many games, you diversify your bankroll and investments. Your positive expectation can take over in the long run. Short term fluctuations won't make much difference. Your risk of ruin (chances of going broke) are minimal.
Anything I can make guaranteed profit on. It is a Catch 22 though. The bigger leagues (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) have more people wagering on them, so the odds of finding lines that differ between sports books is tougher. This is because the betting line only moves when too many people are wagering on 1 side. A $100 will have little to no impact on a Super Bowl line that already has millions in the pot. As long as Vegas has close to equal action on each side, they profit every time. The lesser known sports, have less money wagered on each game, so it's easier to spot vastly different lines between different sports books.
The cost of my College football service is $895, the cost of the NFL service is $995 ($1,595 for both services), my Basketball service is $895 ($2,195 for all Football and Dr. Bob’s Basketball service), and the NBA Guru subscription is well worth the $1495 given how profitable he’s been ($3,295 for all Football and all Basketball, including the NBA Guru). You must factor in that cost when calculating your expected return on investment (ROI). As explained above, winning 55% on the Football Best Bets and 53.5% on my Basketball Best Bets would yield an expected profit of +45.5 Stars and let’s assume the NBA Guru profits +27.2 Stars as well (he’s averaged +27.2 Stars per season). Let’s say you decide to play 1.0% of your initial bankroll per star on the Football Best Bets and NBA Guru Best Bets and 0.8% per star on the Basketball Best Bets, as in the example above. Doing so would have an expected total return 68.0% per year based on flat-betting using your initial bankroll. Using an optimal betting strategy, as explained in the advanced money management section, would yield even higher long term returns while protecting the downside risk in the inevitable negative variance seasons that plague even the best long term handicappers.
Then, where should we place Sports Betting? Some of you may have noticed that, the fundamental difference between Lottery / Casino and Equity / Fixed Income is whether you are controlled by house or not. Lottery & Casino is Zero Sum game and the winning rate is controlled by the organizer or house. If you compete with the house under such circumstance it’s impossible to win in long-term. On the other hand, Equity / Fixed Income is not Zero Sum but as long as the underlying products perform well you can win endlessly. When it comes to Sports Betting, there are Bookmakers . We compete with them in Zero Sum world and off-course they have built-in margin called Over-round (or Vigorish or Juice), which is up to 10%. Means, theoretically you will lose this % long-term, then it can be positioned between Casino and Equity. However, bear it in mind that Casino is basically governed by law of probability (when you throw dice, the probability of 1 is always 1/6) but Sports Betting is largely governed by Skill (nobody can accurately predict the Barcelona’s next win % against Real Madrid). For this particular points, you may want to see Beat Bookmakers Nicely By Knowing How They Make Money ; 
The first advantage here is a significant one. If you devote all your time to one single sport, it’s entirely possible that you can become a genuine expert. This will greatly improve your chances of beating the bookmakers. Remember, they have experts working for them. You really need to match the knowledge of their experts to be able to win money consistently. If you can actually learn MORE than them, then you’ll be in a good position to beat them.
If you’re an AZ resident and enjoy physically placing your sports wagers at gaming facilities you’ll have to travel a bit to do so. It should come as no surprise but many people in the area love to travel west to Nevada in order to indulge in some of the world’s finest gambling activities. New Mexico also provides a safe means to land-based sportsbooks.
The application process is far from just providing standard information. Many applications have been rejected with about 10% being approved. The application process is an attempt to secure very personal and private information about the applicant and any investor willing to endure such scrutiny and invasion of privacy. This would include a background check, source of funds invested and other customer data which is given to a sports book willing to accept the entity betting. In other words, a lot of red tape. If any prospective investors are not dismayed by the application process, there are other alarming issues to confront.
There are other things too, but those are the key things you need to deal with. So the bookie makes money by adding the gains from knowing the odds better to the gains from being paid the vig. The way you’re going to make money is by making sure that the losses from paying the vig are less than the gains from knowing the odds better. It’s just maths.
Financial services veterans started Betfair and developed the world’s biggest online betting exchange. It’s like the eBay of sports betting. Instead of a bookmaker setting a “line” (or initial odds) and taking bets, you can bet against other bettors. Betfair’s exchange hosts wagers on dozens of different sports. There’s American football, cricket, darts, e-sports, greyhounds, and horses. Politics, too. There were around 200 million British pounds in matched bets on the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
Major League Baseball (MLB) Commissioner Rob Manfred has also advocated the league changing its stance on sports betting, with both Manfred and Silver noting that the scale of illegal sports betting makes opposition to betting meaningless. He also stated a willingness to "try to shape" any future legislation at federal level. This was noted as a marked contrast to former Commissioner of the MLB Bud Selig, with Manfred going beyond tacit approval and stating, "There is this buzz out there in terms of people feeling that there may be an opportunity here for additional legalized sports betting."[46]
Wow, 2018 flew by and was a great year in sports overall. We enjoyed a lot of success with the free picks here at The Sports Geek and have grown our great team of handicappers. 2019 is shaping up to be a great year with new experts joining the team and a new website to launch early in the year. We will continue to grow our Daily Fantasy Sports section of the website, which has really taken off in the last year. We are looking forward to helping you have a successful and enjoyable 2019!

I want to remind you that if you want the strongest plays available, you are going to want to get signed-up for a premium or long-term subscription with one of our experts. Whether you are someone who likes a lot of action or wants to take a more selective approach, we are confident that we have an expert who can help you start crushing the books on a more consistent basis. 


Sports betting is typically a game of small edges. Sure, occasionally we’ll find situations where we are gaining a large edge on certain sportsbooks, but for the most part, it’s about finding inefficient markets and attacking them. There are going to be nights where bettors have a wealth of plays available at their disposal, but betting games for the sake of simply “getting action” is going to cost players big in the long haul.
Of the bets on the Russian Football Premier League is very popular long down-to-earth question is whether Carrera will be fired from “Spartacus” before the New year or he will go after the championship. But from the Zenit bookmakers expect more, because Roberto Mancini came to the team not in vain, and if nothing changes, he will fulfill his entire contract. Experts bookmakers expect the team’s big wins, including a possible victory in the Champions League and if we bet on it, and in season 2019-2020 this happen, at the rate of 10 Euro the player will receive a prize of 3,500 dollars, and even if this rate would be the minimum, the prize will be an impressive big. Of course, the real is victory in the Europa League, but here only the thirtyfold increase, which in itself is not bad.
Along with professional gamblers, the show also features Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson, sports broadcasting icon Brent Musburger, and comedian Cousin Sal. While some bettors and handicappers may not be pleased with publicizing some of the negative sides to sports wagering, producers are hoping viewers give the series a chance as they try to show a season from all angles.
Take Under the Total in the game between the Monmouth Hawks and the Iona Gaels. Monmouth (14-20) reached the championship game of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament with their 73-59 win over Canisius yesterday. The Hawks have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 23-10-1 in Monmouth’s last 34 games played on a neutral court. Iona (16-15) joins them in the finals with their 73-57 win over Siena yesterday as a 2-point favorite. That game finished below the 138.5 point total — and the Gaels have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Iona has also played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total played on a neutral court as a favorite in the 3.5 to 6 point range. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

In-play betting. In-play betting is a fairly new feature offered by some online sports books that enables bettors to place new bets while a sporting event is in progress. In-play betting first appeared towards the end of the 1990s when some bookmakers would take bets over the telephone whilst a sports event was in progress, and has now evolved into a popular online service in many countries.[1] The introduction of in-play betting has allowed bookmakers to increase the number of markets available to bet on during sports events, and gamblers are able to place bets based on many different types of in-game activity during the matches. For example, in football matches, it is possible to bet in on in-play markets including the match result, half-time score, number of goals scored in the first or second half of the game, the number of yellow cards during the match, and the name of the goal scorers. [1] The availability of a particular sport and in-play markets varies from bookmaker to bookmaker. In-play sports betting has structural characteristics that have changed the mechanics of gambling for sports bettors, as they are now able to place a larger number of bets during a single sports game (as opposed to a single bet on who is going to win). One of the most important differences between being able to place an in-running sports bet opposed to a pre-match bet is that the nature of the market has been turned what was previously a discontinuous form of gambling into a continuous one. The gambling study literature has suggested that in-play sports betting may offer more of a risk to problem gamblers because it allows the option for high-speed continuous betting and requires rapid and impulsive decisions in the absence of time for reflection.[1] There are three different types of in-play sports betting products(cash out, Edit my Acca, and Edit my Bet).

Jazz power forward Derrick Favors has shown signs of fatigue as of late. He scored just three points in Friday's loss to the Griz. And as was the case for the Trail Blazers the Jazz face an OKC club that has defeated them in the first three of four regular season games. The Thunder outlasted the Blazers in Portland on their current road trip for a season sweep. Expect this to be the case tonight in a matchup that favors the Thunder in an underdog role. 

Tennis betting online is becoming a popular activity for sports gamblers year-round but the action and betting truly heat up for the grand slams. Betting on the 2019 French Open tennis is easier than ever with an extensive list of online betting sites available no matter where you are located in the world. French Open betting is likely to surpass all other grand slams like Australian Open, Wimbledon or the US Open regarding the betting handle. Filling out the draws bracket is another way to get in on the fun while betting on tennis.
The Sports Geek was founded in 2008 and has continued to grow since. It started off as a small site and there were no real big plans for it, but as the passion for sports betting grew the website also grew with it. It’s had a team of writers helping give out free picks daily since 2010 and we’ve had a lot of success with our picks. Because of the abundance of free sports betting information we offer, our following has continued to grow.
“I’m a realist,” Manfred said. “Would I prefer to have a single integrated structure from the federal government? Yes, because it would be easier for us to deal with one set of rules. But the reality is, given the course of the Supreme Court litigation, the federal government wasn’t going to get there in time, and the states were going to proceed. We’ll figure out a way to manage it.”
So how difficult is sports betting math? The math behind placing a winning bet is fairly complicated, but the way to stay ahead of the bookmaker is rather straightforward. If you collect on 52.4% of your bets, you’ll break even. We’ll have more details on that number later, including why it takes more than 50% wins to break even, but first some general knowledge about sports gambling and the numbers behind it.
CG Technologies is the only option for entity group formation and execution. They are the center of the application process to get things moving through the state and for their managed sports books to accept and review investment groups detailed information. Other sports books could eventually join in the experiment but most are weary of the red tape and short-sighted regulations that make things difficult.

Although sports betting has one of the lower win percentages for casinos, it still draws millions in revenue for Vegas casinos year round. The most popular sports betting event in Las Vegas is by far the Super Bowl, which draws thousands of sports bettors each February to bet on the big game. Not far behind the Super Bowl is the March Madness college basketball tournament which also draws some big numbers to Vegas to bet on the event.


Dave is a former #1 Ranked Overall Capper (2012) on the site! He has put together a 3380-2951 Overall Run that has his $1,000/game investors up $107,530! Dave is also a 3X Top 10 NCAAB Capper! He is in the midst of 533-453 & 107-86 NCAAB Runs over the long haul! He is also in the midst of a HOT 24-11 Run L20 Days on his premium picks! Hop on board for Dave's 7* Pepperdine/Gonzaga WCC *HEAVY HITTER* for only $39.95 Monday! He has pinpointed the winning side in this matchup tonight ladies and gents! Dave's selection is guaranteed or you get his next day of NCAAB picks for FREE!

While the odds makers do to try approximate the median margin of victory between two teams, they also try to reduce their exposure to risk by setting lines such that the public money will fall evenly on both sides of a game, so that they can offset the bets against each other and earn a profit on the juice (cut of winnings taken by the house, explained below) without exposing themselves to large potential losses. Thus, odds makers are often in the business of gauging public perception rather than team performance, and therefore the betting public actually sets the line. In more recent years, the betting public has had less influence on the odds than professional betting syndicates or sharp money has had, but there is still value to be found – although in different ways than in previous decades. If Georgia is 4 points better than Georgia Tech according to my advanced metrics and analysis, but the aggregate public perception is that Georgia is 7 points better than Georgia Tech, then the posted point spread is likely to be closer to 6 or 7 points (public perception) than it will be to 4 points (the realistic difference between the teams). This makes my job as a professional handicapper much less daunting; not only can I exploit lines where the odds makers are off, but I can also exploit the uniformed opinions of the general betting public, and more recently take advantage of betting syndicates and ‘quants’ that rely more and more on algorithms but can overlook some of the hidden value in changes in team personnel or lineups and in the particular match up between two teams.
The National Football League is fully against any sort of legalization of sports betting, strongly protesting it as to not bring corruption into the game. On the other hand, the CEO of the International Cricket Council believe sports betting, in particular in India, should be legalized to curb illegal bookies where match fixing has occurred from nontransparent bookmakers. Many of the illegal proceeds also allegedly go to fund terror, drugs and other illegal activities.[citation needed]

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To make another basketball analogy, imagine if the Golden State Warriors played an NBA regular season game one day, then a few days later played a tournament game against a team from the American Professional Basketball League or NBA G League. This is under the fictional assumption that the G League was not affiliated with the NBA and that a tournament where every American team from any league could participate in existed.
On dealing with Disney: Manfred explained MLB’s rationale for bidding on some of the Fox regional sports networks that were to be acquired by The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS). The networks were part of Disney’s $71 billion purchase of the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox (Nasdaq: FOXA, FOX), but in approving the transaction, the U.S. Department of Justice directed Disney to divest the sports networks, since it already owns ESPN.

At the 2010 PGA Championship with the PGA officials, Johnson was issued a controversial two-stroke penalty on the 18th hole Sunday in what was one of the most bizarre rules gaffes in decades. Johnson was ruled to have grounded his club in a bunker, but it was more like dirt and a waste area that the crowd had been walking on and standing in during the tournament. Needing only a par on the final hole to win, the penalty cost Johnson the golf tournament.
From the Premier League to club friendlies, every week FootballExpert’s top football betting tipsters deliver detailed betting guides on the biggest football matches. We cover the ‘big five’ domestic leagues, as well as competitions like the Scottish Premiership and Major League Soccer, alongside the top UEFA Continental competitions and the biggest international tournaments.

One of those close calls came in a loss at Monmouth by a mere 2-points. That doesn't concern me here, as the Iona won the first meeting 103-84 at home. That fact that they lost the most recent matchup is actually a positive. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and playing their 2nd road game in 3 days are 122-67 (65%) ATS going all the way back to 1997. 
OKC fell by eight to the Los Angeles Clippers Friday night. The squad seems off balance, and several players have criticized the officiating lately, Paul George in particular who was fined for ripping refs after the loss to the Clips. To be fair, the Thunder might have a point (their opponents have been awarded a combined 93 free throws last two games), but wasting energy on such matters won't do them any good.   
If you think that handball is a good sport to bet, then you will love what many bookmakers have to offer. Sharp odds, a wide range of handball leagues and events, live streaming, betting tips, and a ton of other information will help you score on your bookie. The best handball bookmakers make it easy to make deposits and withdrawals and they offer a whole lotta betting opportunities for each match. Handicaps, alternate handicaps, double chance, totals, and half-time results are just a few of the things that excellent handball bookies offer. Then you have a full slate of live betting options as well as those valuable bonuses and promotions such as enhanced accumulators and free bets. Don’t worry about missing out on seeing the action because if you choose the right handball sportsbook you can watch your plays unfold on live streams.
Which one has the best odds, provides the most comprehensive coverage, and gives you widest range of betting options? Which bookmaker has the best bonuses and promotions for you? Which site gives you the most payment options, fast withdrawals, and suitable betting limits for this sport? The answer isn’t as clear-cut as you might expect. Sure, there are a lot of excellent bookies out there that offer most of the aforementioned features for most sports but punters really need to add another crucial factor into the equation. “What sport am I passionate about?” Once you have answered that then you can proceed to find out where you can get the best odds, most betting opportunities for that particular sport, and relevant bonuses and promotions as well as all the other bells and whistles.

“The chorus of human stories we present in ‘Action’ will resonate far beyond the world of sports and gambling,” director Luke Korem says. “This is a subculture that reflects to an extreme the risk, reward, and uncertainty we find in our everyday lives. I’m thrilled that Showtime is allowing us to capture these stories at such a unique moment in history.”
Before committing any real money, the researchers tested the idea on 10 years of historical data on the closing odds and results of 479,440 soccer games played between 2005 and 2015. This simulation paid out 44 percent of the time and delivered a yield of 3.5 percent over the 10-year period. “For an imaginary stake of $50 per bet, this corresponds to an equivalent profit of $98,865 across 56,435 bets,” they say.
Most people who want to place bets on sports are fans to begin with. It isn’t unheard of for a gambler to place some sports bets, especially during big games like the Super Bowl or the NCAA basketball Final Four, but for the most part, sports bettors are sports fans looking to use their knowledge of a game or of a game’s players to earn a little extra cash. Being a fan of a particular sport, a team, a college or professional squad—these are all precursors to placing sports bet. Sports betting is also a way for a fan to get in on the action of the game, with something more than self-respect at stake.
We are constantly reviewing the picks the team is putting out on a nightly basis to ensure we have only the highest quality information and picks being posted at The Sports Geek. We have certain team members dedicated to each league so that they can keep their focus focus on their handicapping specialties. This allows each writer to specialize in their sports and give out picks with a very solid winning percentage.
Our team of experts help to increase your chances of winning, delivering comprehensive previews – including form guides, the latest team news, up-to-date odds, recommended bets and predictions – on the biggest games worldwide. FootballExpert covers the ‘big five’ – delivering betting previews for the English Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A and Ligue 1 – as well as the likes of the Scottish Premiership, Major League Soccer, club friendlies and the biggest international tournaments.
Join Buster Sports for their CBB BEST BET OF THE DAY. Buster Sports swept their NBA/NHL BEST BET BONUS last night as both games were the easiest of winners. Tonight Buster sports have isolated one game on the CBB slate and made it their CBB BEST BET OF THE DAY. Its NINE DOLLAR MONDAY at WagerTalk and you get this 4% BEST BET RELEASE for ONLY $9. ...
Taken at face value, it sounds as if the AAF is primed to offer the fantasy equivalent of in-game prop betting. That model is currently being deployed with varying level of success by operators such as Boom Fantasy and Fanamana’s InGame Fantasy. However, as a proprietary offering of a professional sports league, it would seemingly qualify as a first.
Betting on your favorite teams or players in the case of some propositions is one of the biggest traps that amateur bettors fall into when betting sports. Sure, we can understand the appeal of betting on your favorite team, kicking back and rooting them on, but if you’re trying to win money at sports betting, this is far from optimal. Not only is wagering disproportionally on your favorite teams a –EV decision, but it’s also an area where bettors are missing an important edge because of their bias.
In February 2011, FDU's PublicMind released a poll which showed that half (55%) of voters agreed "that people bet on sports games anyway, so government should allow it and tax it." On the other hand, approximately (37%) of New Jersey voters concurred that betting on sports is "a bad idea because it promotes too much gambling and can corrupt sports." Again, by a significant margin (70%-26%), voters who already engage in sports betting in office pools tend to be more supportive of legal sports betting than other voters.[11]
These decisions will be easy to make for those who are sports fans first and bettors second. They usually choose to simply wager on all of the sports that they already follow and like to watch. This approach is entirely logical really, as those are the sports that they know and understand best. They’re more likely to enjoy betting on those sports, and their knowledge of those sports will give them a better of chance of winning money.

The longer I have been betting, the more I have come to fall in love with the team that nobody likes. In fact, I feel better about a potential bet the uglier it looks on paper. Sounds counter intuitive I know, but the less the general public likes a team, the more I like the look of them in terms of betting value. Especially a team that might have performed well over a long period but may have had a bad run of maybe 4 or 5 games. Just watch the general public jump off them, and watch their value rise.
While meets like Saratoga and Del Mar get all the glory in the summer and other meets, such as the Fair Grounds and Gulfstream, may get the best horses in the winter, the blue collar horses of the industry go out every couple of weeks and race. Tracks like Parx, Penn National and Charles Town race almost the entire year. Other tracks, like Mountaineer, run nine months out of the year and can be treated similarly.
These recreational bettors account for the majority of people who bet on sports, but there are also plenty of people who bet primarily to make money. This doesn’t mean that they don’t still enjoy themselves, it’s just that their motivations are different. They generally put a lot more thought into the wagers that they make, and dedicate some time to researching and analyzing the various factors that can affect the outcome of games and events.
When you combine the number of opportunities to make good bets with the fact that baseball is mostly a moneyline betting sports, thanks to its low-scoring games, the odds for the bettor only increase. Betting against spreads is much harder to predict and analyze for value, but choosing a winner is more straightforward, and it’s easier to gain an edge and make solid bets.
Pennsylvania approved a sports betting law in October 2017 and had regulations for sports betting in place in August 2018.[38] The state approved the first sports betting licenses for Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course and Parx Casino on October 3, 2018.[39] On November 15, 2018, sports betting began at Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course with a two-day test; official sports betting began on November 17, 2018. Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course became the first casino in Pennsylvania to offer sports betting.[40][41] Pennsylvania became the seventh state to offer sports betting.
There are two main reasons why people choose to bet on sports. A lot of people are what are known as recreational bettors, and they bet primarily for fun. They obviously want to win money if they can (who doesn’t?), but that isn’t what really motivates them. They don’t put any real effort into making good betting decisions, and they don’t take things very seriously. Betting is basically just a form of entertainment for them, and they enjoy it because it makes watching their favorite sports that much more exciting. They also enjoy the challenge of putting their sports knowledge to the test.
The America’s Bookie Sportsbook, as a value added service, provides this intuitive section on how to bet your favorite sports such as baseball, football, basketball, hockey, soccer, horse racing, NASCAR, tennis, and golf. Please refer to our how to bet guides for questions regarding betting tips and advice. Please check back often as we continuously updated our how to bet your favorite sports.
The answer to this question actually depends to some extent on what part of the world we’re talking about. There are certain sports that are popular in some regions, but not so popular in others. However, there are a few sports that are popular with bettors all around the world. In terms of the total number of people who bet on them, the following sports definitely rank the highest.
A rules violation can have an impact on wagering results. Recall when the USGA made a ‘big bogey’ according to USGA CEO Mike Davis when it penalized Dustin Johnson one stroke during the 2016 U.S. Open on a murky new rule that was revised to help players who were grounding their putters while addressing the ball. The USGA’s delayed enforcement created a fiasco.
The novelty of the bill stems from the fact it does not address the establishment of a brick-and-mortar sports betting market within the state whatsoever (Virginia does not have any casinos, tribal or commercial). Instead, it aims to legalize and regulate sports betting “platforms” that are better defined as a “website, app, or other platform accessible via the Internet or mobile, wireless, or similar communications technology that sports bettors use to place sports bets.”
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As the statement points out, NCAA rules bar student-athletes or employees of the athletic departments of member schools from wagering on sports, a policy that won�t be changing anytime soon. But the new study will try to figure out what impact legalized betting will have on NCAA operations, and what the organization might be able to do in response.

This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public's opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can be found on events where there is expected to be greater interest than normal by the occasional and casual gambler, who lets be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting strategy. Events like the AFL and NRL Grand Finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.


It’s a leading bookmaker in Asia and has some of the highest limits in the industry. By far the highest between Asian operators while providing some of the best odds available online. It offers amazing Asian Handicap Betting odds to add for the thrill and excitement of conventional fixed odds betting, by eliminating the possibility of the draw outcome.
So a look at the second important sports betting rule. Preparation! This includes studying your sport, its teams, players, coaching staffs, schedules, past trends, past results on the field and against the spread betting results, season predictions, matchups, possibilities and various other parts and pieces that really dictate who has the best chance to win a matchup. I mean do I really get in-depth with an Alabama vs the Citadel matchup? No. (I don’t bet Bama anyway as they are my team and can’t have my heart dictating money placement) But if I did, this would only dictate a look into the Citadel offense, injuries and possible matchups because I would just be trying to determine if the Citadel could cover the spread. Trying to predict how much a big team will beat a small school by is a very difficult task due to the amount of variables such as motivation of the big team and its players, who sits out due to a nagging injury due to a certainty of winning, will the big school try different things to see what may work, will they just run and eat up clock (ball control offense) after getting a decent lead, does a coach want to score a lot to have an impressive win margin for playoff consideration or the opposite and have no concern just a win is okay,and when will backups come in. These are very difficult to predict so there is no amount of certainty to what will happen which is a no-go for a seasoned bettor. But you can determine the smaller list above and get some idea of how much the smaller school could score and compare this against an average of scores the big school has put up against average competition over the last 3, 5 or how many ever years you see as an equal to the team this year. If I come up with a good estimation that the Citadel can score 13 on Bama, and Bama has scored an average of 42 points on lower level opponents over Saban’s tenure minus year 1, I can see a spread of 29 points would be my prediction (42–13). The sports books have this game with Bama as a favorite to win but by 21 points (-21 which means Citadel would be +21 point underdogs meaning you win your bet on them if the do anything except lose by more than 21 points, at 21 is a push and will pay back your wager). Should you bet this? No. Because you a prediction that they can or should lose by 29 points. So if the spread was +42 for the Citadel, you should feel safe about taking this spread. This would be the base view of a bet. A big part of preparation and study is to have a predictive index and way to rate teams and matchup types which should not only help to see what teams are best to bet on when comparing your weekly predictions but also which matchups are instant throw aways. The predictive formulas are highly important and vary bettor to bettor based on what each sees as important and what factors they believe contribute most to team wins and their chance to win a bet. I spend some 30–50 hours of data compilation (most intensive and time consuming), advanced statistics and analytics analysis (different from standard data from my perspective), data entry, analyzing the compiled data calculated from my predictive indexes, and finally matchups, lines and spreads from the sports books (near the end right before placing wagers). This is compared against any predictions from odds sites or from message boards on betting sites. That is just a test of how my ideas align with other bettors, and basically another little tiny bit of help. But I would have the teams I see as the best to bet against certain level of opponent in my predictive calcs (so maybe I see Bama, Ohio state and Clemson as tier 1; LSU, Michigan, and USC as tier 2; Kansas State, South Carolina and Virginia Tech as tier 3; down to the final tier of Charolette, Kansas and Rice) the teams all get a +/- score against each tier. This allows me to combine the scores of the two teams in a matchup and see over all the possible matchups at a sports book which are the highest on your index meaning the best chance of winning for a team or their chances against the spread. This will usually show me maybe 20 up to 30 matchups which make sense based on my set +/- combined matchup score. From these matchups, I can usually cut down to 12 or less matchups due to the given spreads and odds and seeing the ones that don’t make sense for me or just simply aren’t matchups I have enough knowledge of or belief in. The final matchups are then fully analyzed with a few pages of notes on the matchup. I will pull any and every bit of data I can gather. I have subscriptions to every sports site that offers paid content or any magazines in the area also. It does get expensive but remember it’s a job and you should put all work and money on necessary or your business will fail. These sheets will end in my full matchup analysis based on positional groups, coaching staffs, s&p rankings, and overall player comparison. You can see who will have advantages in specific areas and which of these will be most important to the outcome. If WVU was seen to be better than Tennessee based on their run blocking against Tennessee’s interior defensive line unit, what does that mean to me? Honestly, not much. At best a higher chance of converting on 3rd and short runs to extend drives and time of possession. I know based on my analysis (and just from watching Dana Holgorsen and his offensive philipsophy developed as offensive coordinator at Texas Tech, they will pass early and often) that WVU will live and die by the passing game. So which matchups do I want to focus on? WVU receivers against Tennessee defensive backfield, WVU offensive tackles (and whole line) vs Tennessee pass rush, Tennessee mid-level defense (5–15 yards past line of scrimmage or dependent on linebacker and possibly up safety depth) against underneath passing game of WVU, WVU 3rd down passing offense (1–3 yds, 4–7 yds and 8+ yds) against Tennessee 3rd down defensive unit. I will want to see WVU have a huge advantage in each of these matchups. From my work this year, WVU has a gigantic advantage in WR unit vs the Tennessee backfield, a large advantage against the Tennessee pass rush on the outside and a small advantage against interior pressure, WVU should see success in the underneath passing game and the 3rd down passing offense should see average to slightly below average conversion percentage. I see the biggest advantage and most glaring in this contest to be the WVU receivers against Tennessee backfield (and Will Grier will be a huge catalyst and positive against Tennessee) which is a troubling fact for Tennessee as WVU throws at an above average amount every game. They have a deep-threat and seemingly uncoverable WR from inside to slightly outside the red zone in David Sills V, a sure-handed Gary Jennings who excels at the short to mid-level range, Reggie Roberson who will possibly take the 3rd WR slot and get some underneath work with deep-play speed and finally TJ Simmons (who transfered from Alabama last year and can finally play this season) who has exceptional top-line speed and good strength and power for a WR. This will be one of if not the top WR unit in the country. It will be up against a make-shift Tennessee defensive backfield that lost a few players and are trying out freshman and returning players with little experience for positions. They will use a new defensive scheme under new coach Jeremy Pruitt who lives by the 3–4 base defense. But he will also put a 4th down lineman at times if the rush is constantly succeeding. Tennessee has been running a 4–3 base defense so they will be learning an entirely new defensive concept which requires forgetting prior assignments to learn new ones which will most likely show especially early in the season when guys forget or blow assignments or simply don’t have field awareness yet. This will be helped with another guy in pass-protection (may be just an extra pass-rusher also) with the 3–4, but this will be a player who is covering an area that he has never been tasked with. Even the best cornerback on the team (CB1 who usually covers the other teams best WR so WR1) may not be very good at covering WR3 or the slot receiver bacause you must have quick lateral movement, instincts of when jump routes, quick decision-making and sure tackling abilities to play CB3 (could be designated a DB or other various term such as star). Those traits are not as important or needed on the outside. So back to the matchup, WVU could eat up the short to mid yardage passes which will pull the defense up and then strike with a deep shot. They could eat up Tennessee with deep passes calling for a need to drop another defender into coverage allowing WVU to establish the run or eat up yardage underneath the coverage. Basically, they can do what they want and Tennessee will have problems. Tennessee has a barren pass rush after losing their leading pass-rushers who combined for 8.5 sacks last year as return 4 sacks from last years line. So with little change and an experienced WVU offensive line with solid returning numbers, the outlook is an issue getting pressure and low concern about allowing sacks. Will Grier does most work from the pocket and gets a bit shaky on mechanics outside of the pocket or on the run (but still better than most) so this hurts to not be able to take advantage of this. So with this and the fact that the Tenn offense will struggle due to lack of talent, middling qb play, suspect run game and no established offensive philosophy (they will try a lot in this game and keep at what works maybe even move players around); I have come to a prediction that WVU should win. And with a margin that I feel has the highest chance of falling in the 9–14 point range. This could very well be a 14–24 point win though. I was able to get this bet placed taking WVU with a spread of -6 at -110 odds. With my heavy belief in this outcome and from my analysis saying it makes sense, I bet $5000 on this matchup. This would produce a $9,545.45 payout ($4,545.45 profit) and my belief is that I am getting more than 3:1 on my money (75% chance of winning) so everything makes sense and this bet is the kind I want to find. Note: -6 isn’t a spread offered anymore, I got this quite a while back. It’s now at -9 to 10.5.
After the event, Manfred spoke briefly with reporters about the legalization of sports betting. Last year, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that states were allowed to legalize sports gambling within their borders, overturning a longtime ban on the practice. Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker has proposed a sports-betting system in the Bay State, as have several lawmakers on Beacon Hill.
“When markets become more competitive, prices fall,” says Moskowitz, who was rooting for perennial disappointment England in last Wednesday’s match, because one side of his family is English. He’s typically more hard-headed when he thinks about sports, as shown in the 2011 bestseller “Scorecasting” that he co-authored with Sports Illustrated writer Jon Wertheim, applying economic analysis to sports. A popular working paper by Moskowitz studied sports betting markets for the asset pricing anomalies that we know and love in financial markets.

In the time since the May Supreme Court decision, both Delaware and New Jersey have begun accepting bets on sports at casinos and racetracks. Mississippi, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania are all hoping to be in the next wave of states to do so, with many seeing the start of the NFL season as a target date for the launch of sportsbooks in these states.
In the above break down of Investment / Gambling spectrum, needless to say Lottery’s EV (Expected Value) is the lowest.  Its EV is always negative, according to business insider, the $450 million Powerball Jackpot lottery’s  EV is – $1.37 per ticket. Means you lose average $1.37 when you buy a $2 ticket, so the loss accounts for 68% out of your investment.  This terrible negative return level applies to basically all lotteries.
Sports betting appeals to the smart bettor because it does not have a fixed house edge for the casinos. Sports betting requires more skill than luck and is similar to live poker. You do not win every time but the skilled handicapper has a huge advantage over the recreational bettor. How sports betting can be a profitable investment involves an understanding of numbers, odds and sports.
Together, college and pro basketball have historically been one of the biggest winners for sportsbooks in Nevada. According to UNLV Gaming, sportsbooks actually won more money in 2017 from basketball than any other sport. Last year college and pro basketball win for sportsbooks were $87,431,000 while football (college and pro) was $76,896,000. Basketball accounted for slightly more than 35% of the win for sportsbooks last year.
The two rules listed and explained above govern the sports bettors who will win or have the best chance to win money over time. You must win 52.38% of your bets at -110 odds to break even. So winning 53% of your bets is great because you didn’t lose anything and won something which if you bet year-round, that will build over the years and you have then done what very few people on earth can do and beat the books. A 55% winning percentage will yield a very nice profit for a season. My best college football season ended with a 62.4% winning percentage which left me with a very nice profit. But that’s with the work put in and the risk of losing a lot of money (you can lose even with all the work, data analysis and belief in the world so when you lose, it shouldn’t bother you as this is just the reality of betting sports).
You can sort of do this yourself, but it’s not quite so easy. Fortunately you don’t need to take advantage of this profit source so much as ensure it’s not a profit drain. One method to do this is to cut out the middleman by placing your bets on an exchange like Betfair where you can actually act as a price-maker rather than a price-taker. Because it’s an exchange, you can’t always get paid to put on the bets you want, but sometimes you can, and overall you definitely pay much less to play than you would if you went to a traditional bookie. You can also reduce the vig by shopping around and betting with the best priced bookie, rather than going to the same place for all your bets.
Taken at face value, it sounds as if the AAF is primed to offer the fantasy equivalent of in-game prop betting. That model is currently being deployed with varying level of success by operators such as Boom Fantasy and Fanamana’s InGame Fantasy. However, as a proprietary offering of a professional sports league, it would seemingly qualify as a first.
Here is what a professional baseball bettor might do in his head. After looking over statistics from MLB (kept religiously by all sorts of bloggers, data archives, and magazines) between the years 2000-2010, he notices a particular statistic pop out. For example: when the home team starts a left-handed pitcher the day after a loss, that team wins 59% of the time. Good sports bettors can do this sort of math in their head or very quickly on paper. From that bit of information comes a new betting theory—look for game situations that mirror the above example and bet on them. That means he’ll only bet games where the home team starts a left-handed pitcher the day after a loss. Does he just jump in and start betting based on this back of the napkin math? No way. More statistical analysis is required—he may find that this was a fluke for that particular decade and isn’t a trustworthy statistics, or he may find an even more advantageous bet based on his original theory.

“The chorus of human stories we present in ‘Action’ will resonate far beyond the world of sports and gambling,” director Luke Korem says. “This is a subculture that reflects to an extreme the risk, reward, and uncertainty we find in our everyday lives. I’m thrilled that Showtime is allowing us to capture these stories at such a unique moment in history.”
West Virginia and Marshall both argued in favor of receiving a small integrity fee when the state of West Virginia debated sports betting, but the final bill did not include any such royalties for schools or professional sports leagues. According to an ESPN.com report, universities including Connecticut, Rutgers, and Missouri have also met with representatives from professional leagues to discuss whether they might be able to receive an integrity fee. So far, no state sports betting legislation has passed while including such payments.

Major League Soccer (MLS) the top soccer league in the United States and Canada has expressed sports betting as a possible way to gain popularity. Commissioner Don Garber has stated about sports gambling, " We have a project going on now to really dig in deeply and understand it. I’ll join the chorus of saying it’s time to bring it out of the dark ages. We’re doing what we can to figure out how to manage that effectively."[49]
“The chorus of human stories we present in ‘Action’ will resonate far beyond the world of sports and gambling,” director Luke Korem says. “This is a subculture that reflects to an extreme the risk, reward, and uncertainty we find in our everyday lives. I’m thrilled that Showtime is allowing us to capture these stories at such a unique moment in history.”
Whether people can make a living sports betting or not is a long disputed subject, and discussed everywhere like gambling forum or sports betting for a living reddit. There seems to be 2 obvious facts. First fact is that there actually exists people who live off of sports betting / gambling. The 2nd fact is such people is not many. Have you ever watched the movie of professional gamblers stories “The Hustler”? Paul Newman as Fast Eddie Felson plays the lead role. His dream is to prove himself as the best pool player by beating the most renowned player of all times Minnesota Fats.
Here you will find sports analysis, picks and information. Also you can get more details on how to join our VIP Membership. There are currently 2 Packages available for the correspondent up and running Sports and Leagues. MLB and International Sports are the two packages available at very affordable prices. If you have any questions feel free to contact LordSports! The goal is to deliver real winners day in and day out based on hard work and dedication. Doesn’t matter the sport, league or package! We cover all major US sports, International Leagues and have packages available at bargain prices!
“The world of sports gambling has fascinated Hollywood for decades, but never before has a documentary captured the essence of the industry at such a pivotal period,” Showtime Sports and Event Programming President Stephen Espinoza said. “Through the lens of industry professionals and real-life gamblers within every virtual layer of the business – both legal and illegal – ‘Action’ delivers a one-of-a-kind look as sports gambling enters a brave new world.”
Cricket has a massive fan base and there are games being played almost every day of the year so you can be sure that bookmakers pay special attention to this sport. Most of the world’s biggest names in online bookmaking ensure that they offer their customers as much cricket action as possible. The best cricket sportsbooks feature pre-match and in-play betting on any league game, international competition, or other major events. It is not uncommon for punters to have several dozen pre-game wagering options to choose from on any given match. Add in all the live betting choices, live streaming, and bonuses like the free bet at Betfred and you have yourself an awesome cricket betting experience.
When Lyon and Barcelona clash on Tuesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchups, it will be just the first meeting between these two soccer clubs since 2009. Barcelona holds the head to head advantage, winning four of the six Champions League fixture and will likely add to that total once again this year. Barcelona topped Group B with 14 points (W4, D2) while turning in a +9-goal differential. Read More >>
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