During the offseason of a specific sport, most bettors just switch gears and focus on the active sports. They figure they can just “catch up” on the offseason later. Meanwhile, if you are keeping up with daily happenings, personnel changes, prospect development, transactions, etc., on a year-round basis, you will have a huge advantage over the public (and maybe even some sportsbooks as well).
We mentioned earlier how the popular sports get more attention from the bookmakers. While this can be a good thing, it has its downsides too. Because the bookmakers take so much action on these sports, they dedicate a LOT of resources to making sure that they don’t give away any value easily. They hire genuine experts who are exceptionally skilled at pricing up the betting markets. They make it very difficult for us to find any value in the odds and lines they have to offer, which means it’s difficult to make any money in the long run.

Unfortunately, there is no simple right or wrong answer to that complicated question. But, any professional handicapper that claims to have never seen a loss is full of it. However, there are reputable picks services out there that provide analysis on top of their predictions. Buying picks is different for every bettor and their own personal situation. Below we’ll explore why that is and if paying for picks is worth it.
He had a clean sheet, plus one save, at AEK Athens two weeks ago. I think another clean sheet at home is very likely, and hopefully Neuer will pick up a save or two as well. AEK do have 25 shots, and eight on target, in their first three games. I also considered Alisson of Liverpool, but he didn't have to make a single save two weeks ago, and Red Star Belgrade have only taken 15 shots, the lowest total in the competition.
Most bettors place lots of wagers because they think it will improve their chances of making money. We can see the logic in thinking this way, but the opposite is actually true. It’s the QUALITY of our wagers that improves our chances of making money, not the quantity of them. And the more wagers we place, the less likely we are to place good wagers.
“The world of sports gambling has fascinated Hollywood for decades, but never before has a documentary captured the essence of the industry at such a pivotal period,” Showtime Sports and Event Programming President Stephen Espinoza said. “Through the lens of industry professionals and real-life gamblers within every virtual layer of the business – both legal and illegal – ‘Action’ delivers a one-of-a-kind look as sports gambling enters a brave new world.”
Somebody told me that sometimes bookies put wrong numbers on their site in order to deceive beginners and gamblers to put the money on those wrong numbers.( like putting 1.5 when the real odds must be 2). So a lot of normal people lose their money there. However, some pros find out these special cases and make some profit from the bookie. Since the money that the bookie is making from normal people and beginners is large, they don't care about the smaller amount that they are losing to pros.
If you want to make money, you need to start with a betting bankroll capable of absorbing losses. If you're going to bet in units, with an average bet of 1 unit, I would recommend a bankroll of at least 50 units. Minimum. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of $1000, which means your average unit will be $20. Sounds small time I know and you want to be a high roller. Well a $1000 bankroll can quickly turn into a substantial amount with consistent value recognition and an intelligent staking plan. Lets say you bet 200 bets a year. And for argument sake lets say they are all of 1.90 odds, and lets say you hit at a 54% strike rate. Well with a fractional Kelly staking plan at the end of those 200 bets, depending on your winning consistency which should even out over a long term, your bankroll will be in the ballpark of $1100.00. Yeah I hear what you're saying - that's only 100.00 profit over the year. Well, that's just betting 200 bets a year, with a 2.6% average return per bet.

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Even though most sports bettors are losers in their own right (as a whole, bettors actually win an average of only 48% of their bets – less than they would expect to win if they just flipped a coin for every game), their losses are compounded by the fact that the house takes a cut of winnings, also known as the ‘juice’ or ‘vig.’ Most sports books charge a 10% commission on wins, which means that a bettor must actually win 52.4% of his games just to break even. (Wagering $100 per game, a bettor loses $100 with a loss and wins $90.91 with a win, so he must go 11-10 (11/21 = 52.38%) to break even).
All gambling is mathematics, even games of chance. If you understand the math behind the game, you understand the game and can give yourself an advantage. For many games, like penny slots or poorly placed roulette bets, are so bad that smart bettors earn their advantage by avoiding them altogether. In sports betting, the math is more complicated. Depending on your favorite sport, you may need to think about things like bye weeks, underdogs, quarterback ratings, and injuries with the same fervor other connoisseurs reserve for fancy winces.
One advantage that the boxing betting enthusiast has is that odds are generally posted weeks prior to an event. Odds are volatile and punters have a better chance of finding the most favorable price if they shop around. When they find the right odds they can also usually take advantage of some sort of bonus like enhanced odds, money back if the match goes the distance and your fighter loses on points, or free bets. Punters should keep their eyes peeled for these special offers in the days and weeks leading up to a scheduled bout. Getting the best odds and cashing in on valuable bonuses is a great way to score a knockout against your bookie. You can also throw in the towel on those pay-per-view costs by catching your match via live stream at the best boxing betting sites.
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