Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days!  She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
Moskowitz has studied betting on a number of sports, including the National Football League, Major League Baseball, the National Hockey League, and the National Basketball Association. While betting on all of them exhibited behaviorally driven mispricing that created value and momentum effects, the size of those mispricing effects was only about one-fifth the size seen in financial markets. At that scale, they aren’t large enough to overcome the transaction cost of the bookmaker’s vig.
There’s no doubting that PNC Park is one of the most beautiful baseball stadiums in the country. The Pirates have been asking the state for funds to maintain the stadium for the past five to seven years. Despite being a profitable business, it probably makes sense that the state pay for upkeep since the residents of Pennsylvania paid to build the stadium.
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There aren’t too many places where horse racing isn’t popular and doesn’t have enough liquidity for accepting bets and stakes. This sport has many showcase events such as the Triple Crown, Grand National, and the Melbourne Cup. The race tracks are always filled with spectators and millions of eyes are glued to television sets and live horse racing streams during these major events. Needless to say, the bookies love this and are eager for you to bet on this sport. Chances are there is a horse race happening right now. Punters can get in on the action almost any time of day all year round and the best horse racing betting sites are ready to greet you with everything you will need. Easy deposits and withdrawals, competitive odds, high betting limits, and live streaming are a few of the things that make the sports of kings more enjoyable. Let’s not forget about all those horse racing bonuses and promotions that are so easy to find. Money back 2nd or 3rd, free bets, and many other types of promotions give punters the edge they need to come out ahead when picking out their sport.

On June 11, 2018, New Jersey became the third state to legalize sports betting, after Nevada and Delaware, with Gov. Phil Murphy signing the legislation into law.[21][23] Sports betting in New Jersey began when a sportsbook opened at Monmouth Park Racetrack on June 14, 2018.[27] Following this, sportsbooks opened at the casinos in Atlantic City and at Meadowlands Racetrack.[28][29]
MyBookie.ag is the top sportsbooks online. They have plenty of advantages over their competitors starting with a Welcome Bonus of 50% Up To $1,000. The number of betting markets provided is so vast that MyBookie is the betting site that you can “truly bet on anything.” They offer free credit and debit card deposits. Deposits and withdrawals are also fast and free of charge if you’re using cryptocurrencies.
Before deciding if you should pay for picks, you should determine your betting style. Determining your betting style will let you know if you need to pay an expert for your picks. Are you the type of bettor that likes to crunch a ton of numbers, sift through all the trends and get all the relevant team news on coaches, players, injuries, and off-field transgressions? Do you understand line movements and how to manage your money to ensure you get a maximum return on investment (ROI) from sports betting? If so, then buying picks doesn’t make sense since you’ll be basically paying for a professional handicapper to tell you what you already know. On the other hand, if you’re the type of bettor that doesn’t follow trends or wants to deal with line movements, then purchasing picks could be what takes you from being a betting novice to a pro sports wagerist. Or, and let’s face it, some people simply don’t have the time to look at every stat and break down every game. Why not get an expert’s opinion to help you out?

Odds are, if you are sports bettor, or just a sports fan who makes occasional bets, you’ve seen ads promoting the handicapper who always win and never loses. These ads are found across the internet from professional handicappers offering you their winning picks for a promotional price. But, is it really worth it to fork out a few bucks for what you hope will be picks that translate to winning bets?


Last 4 Premier League games have seen each team get a couple of wins with Chelsea Scoring 4 and City scoring 3 goals. It remains to be seen how both the tactically sound managers will set up their teams but expect Manchester City players and Manager to show that championship mentality and come up with a big, but close, result to sneak themselves to the top position on the table for one more week and push Chelsea out of the top-4.
A handicapper gets information from numerous sources and assigns weights and values to the wagering data. They will make their own power ranking and predict what the point spread should be without looking at the official line. They compare their predictions to the line to look for discrepancies. A large amount of data is available via the internet and other sources that the handicapper will read through to find the gems. The use of computer programs can help when searching through the data.
The Sports Geek was founded in 2008 and has continued to grow since. It started off as a small site and there were no real big plans for it, but as the passion for sports betting grew the website also grew with it. It’s had a team of writers helping give out free picks daily since 2010 and we’ve had a lot of success with our picks. Because of the abundance of free sports betting information we offer, our following has continued to grow.
The professionals know how to look for the edge and only need to hit a minimum of 54% to make a modest return on investment. Making a 15% to 25% return for the year is very possible. The good ones are few but the results are quick and opportunities exist everyday when soft betting lines are found and exploited. The betting lines are made to divide the betting public. They ideally want even betting on both sides. Their number does come close about 70% of the time.
These decisions will be easy to make for those who are sports fans first and bettors second. They usually choose to simply wager on all of the sports that they already follow and like to watch. This approach is entirely logical really, as those are the sports that they know and understand best. They’re more likely to enjoy betting on those sports, and their knowledge of those sports will give them a better of chance of winning money.
The longer I have been betting, the more I have come to fall in love with the team that nobody likes. In fact, I feel better about a potential bet the uglier it looks on paper. Sounds counter intuitive I know, but the less the general public likes a team, the more I like the look of them in terms of betting value. Especially a team that might have performed well over a long period but may have had a bad run of maybe 4 or 5 games. Just watch the general public jump off them, and watch their value rise.
Somebody told me that sometimes bookies put wrong numbers on their site in order to deceive beginners and gamblers to put the money on those wrong numbers.( like putting 1.5 when the real odds must be 2). So a lot of normal people lose their money there. However, some pros find out these special cases and make some profit from the bookie. Since the money that the bookie is making from normal people and beginners is large, they don't care about the smaller amount that they are losing to pros.
The second part of this tips is “Don’t Go on Tilt”. Going on tilt or “tilting” is a commonly referred to term with poker players and basically means letting your emotions take over, which often leads to bad decisions. If you are angry or upset at something, such as a couple bad beats with your sports bets, you shouldn’t be placing any more bets. Take a break, go for a walk, get your mind clear before you start making anymore sports betting picks.
One advantage that the boxing betting enthusiast has is that odds are generally posted weeks prior to an event. Odds are volatile and punters have a better chance of finding the most favorable price if they shop around. When they find the right odds they can also usually take advantage of some sort of bonus like enhanced odds, money back if the match goes the distance and your fighter loses on points, or free bets. Punters should keep their eyes peeled for these special offers in the days and weeks leading up to a scheduled bout. Getting the best odds and cashing in on valuable bonuses is a great way to score a knockout against your bookie. You can also throw in the towel on those pay-per-view costs by catching your match via live stream at the best boxing betting sites.
Many times you and a group of friends can get overly competitive when it comes to sports, and this may lead to forming sports pools. Folks should know that this is a completely safe form of legal sports betting. As long as the commissioner or the person handling the pot doesn’t get a cut of the winnings, and you don’t advertise the public to join, you should be well within your legal grounds to form such a pool. Offshore sports betting sites also have great referral programs and contests that you and a friend can join.
In order to beat the juice and win in sports betting, a bettor must employ a disciplined approach in their analysis of each game using methods that have proven to be successful in the long run. I discuss my math models and analytical metrics in my Handicapping Methods essay, but you must realize that only the best and most knowledgeable handicappers can win more than 52.4% of their games. In their 2007 two page article about my handicapping success, the Wall Street Journal wrote, “…fewer than 100 people can sustain (win rates of 55%) over time. Most of them belong to professional betting syndicates that hire teams of statisticians, wager millions every week and keep their operations secret.”
My picks have yielded a much higher risk adjusted return than the stock market. Obviously, the variance from season to season is formidable, but as anyone who had a significant amount invested in stocks or real estate in 2008 can tell you, such swings aren’t limited to sports. In the long run, my edge in what I do is far greater than the edge that you could hope to gain in any other speculative market.
Last 4 Premier League games have seen each team get a couple of wins with Chelsea Scoring 4 and City scoring 3 goals. It remains to be seen how both the tactically sound managers will set up their teams but expect Manchester City players and Manager to show that championship mentality and come up with a big, but close, result to sneak themselves to the top position on the table for one more week and push Chelsea out of the top-4.

Betting on your favorite teams or players in the case of some propositions is one of the biggest traps that amateur bettors fall into when betting sports. Sure, we can understand the appeal of betting on your favorite team, kicking back and rooting them on, but if you’re trying to win money at sports betting, this is far from optimal. Not only is wagering disproportionally on your favorite teams a –EV decision, but it’s also an area where bettors are missing an important edge because of their bias.


A rules violation can have an impact on wagering results. Recall when the USGA made a ‘big bogey’ according to USGA CEO Mike Davis when it penalized Dustin Johnson one stroke during the 2016 U.S. Open on a murky new rule that was revised to help players who were grounding their putters while addressing the ball. The USGA’s delayed enforcement created a fiasco.
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Betting $50 on one game and $500 on another is a sure way to find yourself separated from your cash in the long run, just as betting 50-percent of your bankroll on one game will ultimately lead to disaster. A sports bettor may win a few games when betting more than they should, but eventually, the loss, or losses, will come and the bettors end up in trouble.


Legalization of online sports betting will be a state-by-state affair. I am proud to say my home state of New Jersey has been the U.S. leader in modernizing gambling laws. Paddy Power Betfair also runs “retail” sports books on location at casinos and racetracks; on Saturday, it begins running the sports book at N.J.’s Meadowlands Racetrack. You’ll be able to bet on the World Cup final and other sports there. The company will start online betting in N.J. for football in time for the NFL season, followed by college football, pro basketball and hockey. The popularity of “international” sports like soccer remains to-be-determined, Levin says.
La Russa made Eckersley his closer, and he developed the "MLB sapien" system that was choreographed to use the role sparingly. The engineering marvel put little to no stress on the pitchers arm in a single outing.  Thus resulting in that arm being used in consecutive games. Eckersley went on to establish records for relievers with a 0.61 ERA in 1990, and did what most thought was impossible then, and in truth now, by earning the American League Cy Young and MVP awards when he saved 51 games in 1992.
Of course, there is a lot more to look for other than good odds and a lot of wagering opportunities when choosing the best sports to bet on. These days, it might be important to be able to place bets using mobile devices and SMS. Maybe you want to easily watch the live action and bet in-play on your favourite sport. Punters want choose a sports that helps them to maximize their earnings and mitigate their losses by receiving valuable bonuses and ongoing promotions. In other words, punters want everything that the best sportsbooks have to offer.
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The more opportunities we have to bet on a sport, the more selective we can be. Take a sport like tennis for example. Even a bona fide tennis expert wouldn’t be able to correctly predict the outcome of each match in the first round of a grand slam tournament. But he wouldn’t need to. Since there are so many matches, he could focus on finding a few matches that offered genuine value. As there are tennis tournaments taking place virtually every week of the year, he’d ALWAYS have plenty of matches to choose from.
Sports betting has resulted in a number of scandals in sport, affecting the integrity of sports events through various acts including point shaving (players affecting the score by missing shots), spot-fixing (a player action is fixed), bad calls from officials at key moments, and overall match fixing (the overall result of the event is fixed). Examples include the 1919 World Series, the alleged (and later admitted) illegal gambling of former MLB player Pete Rose, and former NBA referee Tim Donaghy.
With professional teams in every major US sport, legal Arizona sports betting is surely happening all year round. From the Diamondbacks in the summer to the Cardinals in the winter, AZ residents are finding a way to cash in on their favorite team’s victories. The rest of the gambling scene is just as prevalent in the Grand Canyon state. Arizona is home to over 20 tribal casinos scattered throughout the state, each of which offers games like blackjack, poker, and slot machines.
When it comes to the Casino games, there is House Edge you can’t mathematically overcome. It’s the margin casino build in all through the games, and as long as the house edge exists the EV is negative. The % of the house edge depends on the game. According to The Wizard of Odds, it ranges between the lowest o.3% of Blackjack and 25% of Keno. The American Roulette is 5.6%, means if you stake $100 on Roulette you will lose average $5.6. Don’t misunderstand, always Variance comes in, thus you are not necessary to lose $5.6 every time when you bet $100 but the more you bet the closer to this number the loss will be. Say, if you stake $10,000 x 1 or $5,000 x 2, you may make a lot or lose everything, this is due to Variance. However you play $100 x 100 or $10 x 1,000 times, then you will quite likely to lose $560. That’s how mathematics of EV works.
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.

Most losers base their judgement on a subjective feel for the forthcoming event, relying on an inkling or a hunch about what may happen. The skilled tipsters has a huge advantage over the recreational bettor, finding “value” in the odds, where the true chance of a win is greater than that estimated by the bookmaker. Many punters fail to appreciate the importance of value betting, preferring to subscribe to the “back winners, not losers” school of gambling, which will not make you win 57%.
Most bettors place lots of wagers because they think it will improve their chances of making money. We can see the logic in thinking this way, but the opposite is actually true. It’s the QUALITY of our wagers that improves our chances of making money, not the quantity of them. And the more wagers we place, the less likely we are to place good wagers.
Independent of which kind of long-term bet you choose, you should always do one thing before placing the betting team: Gather as much information as possible. Before teh start of a competition, you should know which transfers were made or whether there have been other changes in personnel. Additionally it's important to know about the form of the teams or individual players of the last season or the last weeks and months. Are there injuries or other impairments? Only when the most important facts are known, you should place your tip. You should always be aware: Individual sports are riskier with long-term bets, becasue everything stands and falls with one person. If the respective athlete, that you bet on, gets injured during the season for example or needs to take a break for other reasons, your bet will be soon lost. In team sports individual injuries can be better compensated. On the other hand it's easier in individual sports to judge the form and make a forecast.
You're looking for 10-20 bets a week for something that runs almost the entire year? The answer is really MLB and nothing else. Large volume of games, long season, great for minimizing variance. Yes, tennis and soccer run for most of the year, but good luck trying to get a handle on all the different moving parts those markets entail (e.g., all the different leagues and countries in soccer, how would you even get to start focusing on something to be high volume?) to be able to squeeze out an edge as you are starting out. If you're used to modeling golf, getting into baseball shouldn't too too far of a stretch since a lot of the modeling is based on the individual level rather than the team.
ATS equals “against the spread”. The spread is the number oddsmakers use to give people other betting options besides only wins and losses. A spread for a Premier League fixture would be something like .5 or 1.5. One club would need to lose the match by no more than 1 or 2 goals or the other needs to win by 1, 2or more goals.  If the final score doesn’t reflect the number set by the oddsmakers, your bet won’t cover the spread and you can’t win your bet.
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