Many people believe that the point spread is the predicted margin of victory one team will beat another team. This is not true but a spread number is needed to create wagering on both sides. The line is the handicapper’s prediction of what number will be required to split the wagering evenly on both teams. The line may change a little before game time. The sports books goal is to have the betting as evenly as possible.
Searching for such underrated odds is the strategy that promises a long-term success! Of course it does not mean that you will keep winning every time you bet on such underrated event. Sometimes you will win, sometimes you will lose, but if you bet in this way (positive expected value) then, in a long enough period, your balance will be profitable.

Undisputed No.1 bookmaker for Sharp Punters. They operate on unique business model with the lowest bookmaking margin, namely the best possible pricing to attract sharp punters rather than promotion such as bonus. It allows the highest concentration of sharp players to shape its line, which in turn shaped the rest of the sports betting market. The next Bookmaker.eu and Pinnacle are the most watched bookies by the whole industry including Las Vegas. High roller, professional punter, accepted, even sports arbitrage is officially promoted in the site. You will find more about this bookmaker in Pinnacle Sports Exclusive Review – True Voices of Insiders;
Moskowitz has studied betting on a number of sports, including the National Football League, Major League Baseball, the National Hockey League, and the National Basketball Association. While betting on all of them exhibited behaviorally driven mispricing that created value and momentum effects, the size of those mispricing effects was only about one-fifth the size seen in financial markets. At that scale, they aren’t large enough to overcome the transaction cost of the bookmaker’s vig.
It's unlikely/impossible that you can simplify things down to "bet any favorite in this situation" or "bet any total of
For this reason, they can offer a larger deposit and reload bonuses. Taking advantage of bonuses is an absolute must for new bettors, where these extra funds are crucial for beginning bankrolls. Bettors can easily clear thousands of dollars in deposit bonuses at reputable sites in the US market. When you decide to don’t use any deposit bonus, you’re essentially deciding to leave money on the table.
Our super computer has one thing on its mind: Data. Since Italy Serie A is one of the most recognized national football (soccer) leagues on the planet, our computer-generated picks give you options on how you can cover the spread for every game and make decent bets. Before making your Lega Serie A picks, check out our Picks page to see that your money goes a long way. The last thing you need is to lose your hard-earned dollars making an uneducated bet on Udinese.
Whether people can make a living sports betting or not is a long disputed subject, and discussed everywhere like gambling forum or sports betting for a living reddit. There seems to be 2 obvious facts. First fact is that there actually exists people who live off of sports betting / gambling. The 2nd fact is such people is not many. Have you ever watched the movie of professional gamblers stories “The Hustler”? Paul Newman as Fast Eddie Felson plays the lead role. His dream is to prove himself as the best pool player by beating the most renowned player of all times Minnesota Fats.
Disclaimer : FootballExpert.com is not a betting website or a bookmaker. We do not provide any form of betting but offer free of cost betting predictions and tips. Our team of experts use research based information and game expertise to predict match result as much as accurate as possible. We only provide guide to top football events, matches and bookmakers.Read More
As your bankroll increases (or in some cases, decreases) after each week, so will the size of your bets. Betting on sports will usually come in winning or losing steaks and this strategy allows you to bet more when you are winning and cut back when you are losing. Using this method will also allow you to never go broke since you are essentially starting out with a new bankroll and betting about 20% of that new bankroll each and every week.
To bet on the Redskins using the point spread, your bet is called “laying the points.” For your bet to pay off, the ‘Skins have to win by five or more to cover the spread. Remember, if the ‘Skins win by exactly four, the game is a push, and both sides recoup their bet. Another alternative is called “taking the points” with the Cowboys. That means the Cowboys have to lose by three or less for your bet to win, or if the Cowboys win outright. So you and your buddy go up to place your $100 bet, and you find out that the standard straight bet at any bookie pays 11/10. That means you have to bet $110 if you want to win $100. You and your buddy pay the bookie $110 and sit down with drinks to watch your bets come in.

The team points out that this kind of practice could be illegal. “Advertising goods or services with intent not to sell them as advertised, or advertising goods or services with no intent to supply reasonably expectable demand but with the intention to lure the client to buy another product (a practice often called ‘bait’ or ‘bait and switch’ advertising), is considered false advertising and carries pecuniary penalties in the U.K., Australia, and the United States of America,” say the team.


On December 7, 1980 the San Francisco 49ers overcame a halftime deficit of 28 points in what became the greatest regular season comeback victory in NFL regular season history. By the beginning of the third quarter, notorious Vegas bookmaker Frank Rosenthal received forfeiture notices from 246 San Francisco bettors totaling more than $25,000 in premature winnings. Rosenthal was able to retain these winnings despite the final outcome of the game due to gambling regulations previously established by the NAGRA.[citation needed]
Future wagers. While all sports wagers are by definition on future events, bets listed as "futures" generally have a long-term horizon measured in weeks or months; for example, a bet that a certain NFL team will win the Super Bowl for the upcoming season. Such a bet must be made before the season starts in September, and winning bets will not pay off until the conclusion of the Super Bowl in January or February (although many of the losing bets will be clear well before then and can be closed out by the book). Odds for such a bet generally are expressed in a ratio of units paid to unit wagered. The team wagered upon might be 50-1 to win the Super Bowl, which means that the bet will pay 50 times the amount wagered if the team does so. In general, most sports books will prefer this type of wager due to the low win-probability, and also the longer period of time in which the house holds the player's money while the bet is pending.
The 10% vig is hard enough to overcome in itself, and placing wagers without solid reasoning and a decent edge is going to chip away at your bankroll and cut into bottom-line profits. There’s a reason why there are so many betting markets available at online sportsbooks, many of which are highly juiced and unbeatable. They know gamblers love the action of betting sports and they’re hoping to entice them to wager more. Don’t fall for this trap.

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The last tip I have for you is to try and place your bets at the right time. With lines shifting from the time they are posted to the time the game starts, you will want to get your bet in at the time when you are getting the best price. Predicting line movements is extremely hard but it is worth looking into. Check out the video below that I made titled “When To Place Your Bets”.
Perhaps you’ve heard of the Super Bowl? If not then you should know that it is one of the biggest annual betting events. American football is like a religion in North America. It hasn’t been as globally accepted as other sports but its popularity is growing. The NFL is the most well-known American football league there is but NCAA college football, the Canadian Football League, and a couple other smaller leagues have large followings and bookmakers take a lot of bets on them, so you will never run out of markets to bet. A fresh list of betting lines is usually up every Sunday night during football season and punters can’t wait to get their bets in.
The Thunder’s recent pointspread free-fall (1-9 ATS L10 games) has left them without much of a betting bandwagon; an elite level team that has legitimate ‘value’ potential moving forward.   The underdog has cashed winning bets in both previous meetings this season; a pair of ‘down to the wire’ finishes.  And make no mistake about it – this is ‘circle the wagons’ time for OKC following Paul George’s tirade against the refs after their loss to the Clippers on Friday.  Live dog here!  Take the Thunder.
In order to beat the juice and win in sports betting, a bettor must employ a disciplined approach in their analysis of each game using methods that have proven to be successful in the long run. I discuss my math models and analytical metrics in my Handicapping Methods essay, but you must realize that only the best and most knowledgeable handicappers can win more than 52.4% of their games. In their 2007 two page article about my handicapping success, the Wall Street Journal wrote, “…fewer than 100 people can sustain (win rates of 55%) over time. Most of them belong to professional betting syndicates that hire teams of statisticians, wager millions every week and keep their operations secret.”

So this may have been long and a have little bit of unnecessary info, but I know this field and know what I do and make money doing it. I have lost before and my first profitable season came nearly 3 years into my betting “career”. I lost quite a bit those years but kept working and learning more and better techniques which were showing in my increasing winning percentages. I will still lose over certain sport seasons. I take losses in baseball and basketball the most but still have solid win % in both over 5 years. I may be cocky here, but I believe I won’t lose over a season of college football again. It’s my best sport and do study it more than the others. So if you enjoy the rush of seeing your hard work play out over a few hours or quarters, sports in general, the possibility of losing considerable money and the chance of building profits only dreamed of by traditional financial institution and investing; this may be for you.


We will say that online sports betting may not be legal where you live, so please check your local laws before placing bets online at these sports betting sites. And we also want to point out that there have been “scam” type sites in the past known to steal money from their bettors, so make sure you stick with recommended betting sites we list here at The Sports Geek.
As a hobby or something you do just because you like sports and think you can pick winners because you always tell your friends who will win that day, no definitely not worth it as a money-making opportunity or some type of money-management plan to grow your initial investment. But I guess it could be worth it as a fun thing to do and make games a little more interesting. But only like this with small enough bets that losing the money isn’t important. Some will say that throwing away money is always stupid, but giving up $5, $10 or even $100 for some is really no concern. As long as you aren’t cutting into rent or mortgage payments, food budget or just getting by every month due to betting I don’t see why it couldn’t just be for fun if that’s what you want to do.

Since there is no exchange rate on tracks like Penn National versus Saratoga you should make your money where you can. Knowing that the stock doesn’t really change all year long at the smaller, year-round tracks provide a solid baseline for the horseplayer that is trying to make a living playing the races while you wait for the grandeur of the elite summer meets to return!
Those that want to bet on baseball throughout the year will be thrilled to know that the Australian Baseball League runs from November through February and it is available for betting at some online sportsbooks such as Betfair. You can also catch the live streaming ABL action and place in-play wagers at 888. That means that punters can get enough baseball bets almost all year round. Even better is the fact that so many bookies hit it out of the park with a large selection of baseball bonuses and promotions such as reduced juice and money back bets.
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).
You plan on betting on 160 games during your investment period. You dream of a 55% winning record because your win-loss with a 55% winning record would give you an 88-72 record. That’s an expected profit of +8.8 units. How did we get to that number? To calculate your units, subtract the total of your losses (multiplied by 1.1 to include the vig) from your wins and you’ll get your unit profit.
Financial services veterans started Betfair and developed the world’s biggest online betting exchange. It’s like the eBay of sports betting. Instead of a bookmaker setting a “line” (or initial odds) and taking bets, you can bet against other bettors. Betfair’s exchange hosts wagers on dozens of different sports. There’s American football, cricket, darts, e-sports, greyhounds, and horses. Politics, too. There were around 200 million British pounds in matched bets on the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

He's coming off a huge game against Southampton, with two goals and two assists. But Sterling was very quiet in the first game against Shakhtar, finishing with just 5.7 points. He also failed to register a goal or assist in Manchester City's first two Champions League games, against Lyon and Hoffenheim. Silva is the safer play -- he'll probably have many more passes completed, and more chances created. And hopefully he'll pick up a goal and/or assist, too.

So what is the best theory on money management? There are several methods that have proven successful by many professional gamblers. In speaking to most of these individuals, discipline being the main ingredient. I personally believe that one should never bet more than 20 percent of their season bankroll on any given week. An example would be if a gambler starts with a seasonal bankroll of $5,000.  Thus, they will have $1000 (20 percent of your bankroll) to bet with on opening week. If we were to release eight football picks on the first week it would look like this:
Placing $460 bets on each of these games, a number pulled from some quick and dirty math about how much you could afford to bet in a single week’s NFL play without blowing your bankroll, would result in a $4,048 profit if you maintain that 55% winning record. Turning $10,000 into $14,048 in just four months is an investment return of 40.48%. I dare you to ask your bank for that kind of return on your savings account.
Future wagers. While all sports wagers are by definition on future events, bets listed as "futures" generally have a long-term horizon measured in weeks or months; for example, a bet that a certain NFL team will win the Super Bowl for the upcoming season. Such a bet must be made before the season starts in September, and winning bets will not pay off until the conclusion of the Super Bowl in January or February (although many of the losing bets will be clear well before then and can be closed out by the book). Odds for such a bet generally are expressed in a ratio of units paid to unit wagered. The team wagered upon might be 50-1 to win the Super Bowl, which means that the bet will pay 50 times the amount wagered if the team does so. In general, most sports books will prefer this type of wager due to the low win-probability, and also the longer period of time in which the house holds the player's money while the bet is pending.
The objective of this special report is examining if we can make realistically a living sports betting, and if so identify how we can. I examined 3 selected sports betting methods and I will leave the final judgement to you. Please read me correctly. I’m not personally supporting the notion to make a living sports betting. Because our GEM’s basic mission is providing you with the safety methods to create EXTRA money, means On The Side for your rainy day. If you have time, I would like you to check the detail background & rationale behind this concept, so please read; 3 Smart Ways To Create Extra Income Stream From Home & Why We Need Extra Money.
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