If boxing was a chess tournament, Mikey Garcia would be the grandmaster. He's never fought at 147lbs before and he's only had two fights at 140lb. Hell, just eight fights ago he was fighting for the featherweight title! Yet of all the fights on offer for him at lightweight and super-lightweight (most notably Lomachenko), Mikey decided to jump up two weight divisions to challenge one of the most feared punchers in the sport today, and the man many consider to be the best welterweight on the planet.
You even have an advantage over the bookies to help you. That’s the advantage of not having to bet. Bookies are expected to make markets on a whole host of sporting events, and honour those prices if someone tries to bet on them. You don’t have to do that. You can focus on the stuff that you can understand better, that you have good data on, that you have models that provide good odds estimates on. You can sit and wait for the times the bookies get it wrong, because among all the noise they do get it wrong sometimes. You wait, and you wait, and you wait as long as you need to wait. Then you bet. And you do so with the odds in your favour and vig eliminated as much as possible.
When it comes to sports betting, each person may be trying to accomplish something different. If your objective is merely entertainment, then your goal is entirely different than my goal of making a living. If you bet $100 a game on Monday night football to enjoy the game, it will cost you $5 a week if you can go 50-50. There is nothing wrong with that. It's cheaper than a movie. But that is entertainment expense, not an excellent investment vehicle.
Unfortunately, land-based sports betting in Arizona doesn’t exist right now. The reason mainly stems from the tribal compact that the state of Arizona has with the local Native American casinos owners. The compact allows those tribes to offer Class III gaming activities in exchange for a tax on revenue but does not extend those activities to include gambling on sports. If state officials wanted to allow other locations to offer this additional type of gaming then they would risk losing tax revenue from tribal casinos. This is why state officials are looking to rework the original compact so that only the tribes are allowed to offer it at their land-based locations.
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).
In Asian betting markets, other frequently used formats for expressing odds include Hong Kong, Malaysian, and Indonesian-style odds formats. Odds are also quite often expressed in terms of implied probability, which corresponds to the probability with which the event in question would need to occur for the bet to be a break-even proposition (on the average).
One of those close calls came in a loss at Monmouth by a mere 2-points. That doesn't concern me here, as the Iona won the first meeting 103-84 at home. That fact that they lost the most recent matchup is actually a positive. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and playing their 2nd road game in 3 days are 122-67 (65%) ATS going all the way back to 1997. 
“When markets become more competitive, prices fall,” says Moskowitz, who was rooting for perennial disappointment England in last Wednesday’s match, because one side of his family is English. He’s typically more hard-headed when he thinks about sports, as shown in the 2011 bestseller “Scorecasting” that he co-authored with Sports Illustrated writer Jon Wertheim, applying economic analysis to sports. A popular working paper by Moskowitz studied sports betting markets for the asset pricing anomalies that we know and love in financial markets.
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Serena Williams is the sport’s most dominant player. Going into the 2018 Wimbledon championships, Williams had won seven Wimbledon ladies’ singles titles and 23 Grand Slam singles championships. Even though she took off time in 2017 to have a baby and then suffered an injury in the French Open, she still was the pre-tournament betting favorite at Wimbledon this year. The overall odds looked like this:
You even have an advantage over the bookies to help you. That’s the advantage of not having to bet. Bookies are expected to make markets on a whole host of sporting events, and honour those prices if someone tries to bet on them. You don’t have to do that. You can focus on the stuff that you can understand better, that you have good data on, that you have models that provide good odds estimates on. You can sit and wait for the times the bookies get it wrong, because among all the noise they do get it wrong sometimes. You wait, and you wait, and you wait as long as you need to wait. Then you bet. And you do so with the odds in your favour and vig eliminated as much as possible.
“The world of sports gambling has fascinated Hollywood for decades, but never before has a documentary captured the essence of the industry at such a pivotal period,” Showtime Sports and Event Programming President Stephen Espinoza said. “Through the lens of industry professionals and real-life gamblers within every virtual layer of the business – both legal and illegal – ‘Action’ delivers a one-of-a-kind look as sports gambling enters a brave new world.”
The many different games and ways to bet on them offer bettors a wider pool of options to find their edge. Understanding of a particular game or genre of games can give you an edge when betting against outcomes. If you can find a specialty within esports and learn to make consistently smart and valuable bets on it, you stand to make some serious dough.
He had two goals and an assist in Roma's 3-0 home win over CSKA Moscow two weeks ago, and a hat trick in a 5-0 home win over Viktoria Plzen in Matchweek 2. It's hard not to pick Dzeko here, even playing in Moscow. He didn't score in a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on Saturday, but still took six shots. And Dzeko scored eight goals in 12 Champions League games last season.
There are 68 teams that participate in March Madness, and there’s a whole lot of betting that includes bracket betting, standard bets, in-play betting, and lots of props. We’ve included the schedule, which starts with Selection Sunday on March 11 and end with the final game on April 2. That just so happens to be right around the same time the MLB tosses out its opening day pitches.
For example, when two teams play a game of soccer, the bookmakers set odds of each team recording a win, loss, or draw. Sometimes large numbers of people can bet on a particular outcome for reasons that are unrelated to the odds—that team might be more popular than expected, for example. In that case, the bookmaker is set for a large payout if that outcome occurs.
How did the NBA top a seven-game series that featured, arguably, its top two players? By having the best player not in the series join forces with the loser. Cavalier fans finally got to enjoy a championship, but the joy was short-lived. Kevin Durant bolted Oklahoma City to team up with Stephen Curry and the rest of the Golden State ... Read More »
It's possible but rare. There are lots of opportunities that bookies miss but over time they usually adjust. For example Wong Teasers (teasing through both the 3 and 7 in NFL) were highly profitable for a while and now evidence shows they are less so, if at all, as the info becomes public and books adjust payouts and shade teaser lines to compensate. So there are "loopholes" to try and exploit.
Let’s examine, if people can make a living sports living of matched betting. Probably the best way to examine is using Profit Accumulator (PA) case. PA is one of the most popular matched betting paid service with over 20,000 members in the UK. The members’ average monthly income from the matched betting is said to be around £1,000. See Profit Accumulator Full Review – Should We Believe 20,000 members’ Eaning Claim? for full details;

While meets like Saratoga and Del Mar get all the glory in the summer and other meets, such as the Fair Grounds and Gulfstream, may get the best horses in the winter, the blue collar horses of the industry go out every couple of weeks and race. Tracks like Parx, Penn National and Charles Town race almost the entire year. Other tracks, like Mountaineer, run nine months out of the year and can be treated similarly.
Tennis betting online is becoming a popular activity for sports gamblers year-round but the action and betting truly heat up for the grand slams. Betting on the 2019 French Open tennis is easier than ever with an extensive list of online betting sites available no matter where you are located in the world. French Open betting is likely to surpass all other grand slams like Australian Open, Wimbledon or the US Open regarding the betting handle. Filling out the draws bracket is another way to get in on the fun while betting on tennis.
Bookies look at the weight of their books all the time and adjust odds and other factors to make sure their books balance. Though it isn’t possible to completely balance a book, bookies that go too far out on one side run the risk of losing money, and losing money in gambling is the fastest way to find yourself in another industry. All of these factors are why bookies generally root for the underdog—too many favorites winning in a sport with a short season (such as the NFL) can cause a bookmaker to lose money, while a bunch of upsets (like you generally see in college football) is a guaranteed profit for the bookmaker.
You are much better off from a bookmaker's business point of view just hiring a load of mathematically competent and cheap worker drones to copy Betfair/Pinnacle/Wider industry prices, build a few algorithms for in play betting and very closely manage the liabilities as the bets come in. Then just restrict all winners/arbers as quickly as you can and you have a profitable business with virtually no grasp of what a sport price even is.
Future wagers. While all sports wagers are by definition on future events, bets listed as "futures" generally have a long-term horizon measured in weeks or months; for example, a bet that a certain NFL team will win the Super Bowl for the upcoming season. Such a bet must be made before the season starts in September, and winning bets will not pay off until the conclusion of the Super Bowl in January or February (although many of the losing bets will be clear well before then and can be closed out by the book). Odds for such a bet generally are expressed in a ratio of units paid to unit wagered. The team wagered upon might be 50-1 to win the Super Bowl, which means that the bet will pay 50 times the amount wagered if the team does so. In general, most sports books will prefer this type of wager due to the low win-probability, and also the longer period of time in which the house holds the player's money while the bet is pending.
The outlined sportsbook strategy also answers a frequent question, whether it is possible to be profitable in the long run or even make one's living by sports betting. It is certainly possible, however it places considerable demands too – on time, psychics and discipline as well. Information collection may be a full-time job, but it is also a hobby for many.
As per the introductory text of the proposed legislation, sports betting would have to be approved by voters on a county-by-county basis and there would be a 10 percent tax on sports betting revenue. A total of 40 percent of that allotment would be allocated for general appropriations. Another 30 percent would go toward to “state colleges of applied technologies and community colleges for equipment and capital projects.” Finally, 30 percent would go toward local governments where sports betting is approved and would fund education and infrastructure in those jurisdictions.
Under no circumstances do we advise using a local bookie. The reason is two-fold. The first being that you would be breaking state law and put yourself and that bookie in legal trouble. The second being that your money isn’t very secure with them. With offshore betting sites, you have the security of knowing that they are regulated in their home country and that they offer 24/7 customer support via phone and online.
Jazz power forward Derrick Favors has shown signs of fatigue as of late. He scored just three points in Friday's loss to the Griz. And as was the case for the Trail Blazers the Jazz face an OKC club that has defeated them in the first three of four regular season games. The Thunder outlasted the Blazers in Portland on their current road trip for a season sweep. Expect this to be the case tonight in a matchup that favors the Thunder in an underdog role. 
The longer I have been betting, the more I have come to fall in love with the team that nobody likes. In fact, I feel better about a potential bet the uglier it looks on paper. Sounds counter intuitive I know, but the less the general public likes a team, the more I like the look of them in terms of betting value. Especially a team that might have performed well over a long period but may have had a bad run of maybe 4 or 5 games. Just watch the general public jump off them, and watch their value rise.
The second question to ask yourself is: What is my betting style? Are you already winning more than you lose and putting away your winnings? Is your bankroll steadily growing, or it is going downhill consistently and requiring you to re-deposit every week? Remember, betting on sports should be fun and if you’re losing money because you’re not making the right picks, then using the services of a professional handicapper could be a good idea to help you recoup some of your lost dollars.
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).
If you bet in a profitable manner and have just a tad bit of luck, it is likely that after a few months’ time you will have built up a very substantial bankroll and probably enough profits to be able to use a decent chunk of them on your own expenses and needs. It is at this point that you can say you have won, when your bankroll is healthy and there is plenty of money left over to withdraw and spend on yourself.
Its very hard to win money in long term betting. I don't suggest you quit your day job to do this. There are people that do make money long term betting but I guarantee you that they are not hanging out right now on 2p2 reading this thread. Its VERY VERY hard. I honestly think it would be easier to become a surgeon than become a professional bettor.

If you’ve ever been tempted by a flutter, you’ll know how bookmakers and casinos stack the odds against you. The clearest example is roulette, where there are 36 red and black numbers plus the green numbers 0 and (in the U.S.) 00. So that’s 38 possibilities in total. When betting on red or black, the odds of choosing correctly are 18/38, and a fair payout for a $1 stake is $2.111. However, the house pays only $2 and keeps the difference. In that way, it guarantees itself a profit.

The oddsmakers have come up short in our opinion on this total as they have this at 6 it should be set at 6 1/2 all day long. As we have all year in the NHL, we will take advantage of this mistake. Carolina are playing their third game in 4 nights and now have to play in the altitude of Denver. It will be tough for the Hurricanes to play a solid defensive game tonight. In fact, Carolina has not been playing much defense at all lately allowing an average of five goals a game in their last 3 games. The total has gone OVER today’s posted total in 7 out of the last 8 Carolina games. As for Colorado, they always play much better at home and also score more at home. In their past 5 home games, they have averaged 4 goals per game. With both clubs fighting for a playoff spot you will see both clubs going all out for the victory tonight and pushing the total over 6. The fact that the Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Denver just solidifies our selection. So lets get the job done with the Carolina/Colorado game OVER 6 as your free play for today.
Total O/U is the amount won on OVER or UNDER bets. When it comes to the Premier League, any factor that can influence the game can help you decide if you want to bet the OVER or the UNDER. These factors include how capable each club is on offense and defense, weather conditions (wind being especially influential since it can change how far/fast the ball travels when kicked), and injuries sustained before the match (real injuries, not the flopping around that is done in-game when a cleat grazes a player’s shin so slightly that the only thing you can do is roll your eyes at the telly). For example, if Man United’s goalkeeper suffers an injury to his hand and cannot play in their matchup against Brighton, you should take that into consideration when making your totals bet. You don’t know if their secondary netminder is going to let in more goals or play better against Brighton then their primary goalie. 
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