Most European oddsmakers – and some in the U.S. – post odds and take bets on snooker, a British billiards-style game played with a cue on a felt-covered table. Gamblers can bet on tournaments, head-to-head matchups and proposition bets. Betting on the game calls for an understanding of it. But Murphy says by studying it for a while, he came to understand that oddsmakers in the U.S. didn’t have a good handle on it, so hitting just a couple of long-odds underdog bets would pay off.


The answer to this question actually depends to some extent on what part of the world we’re talking about. There are certain sports that are popular in some regions, but not so popular in others. However, there are a few sports that are popular with bettors all around the world. In terms of the total number of people who bet on them, the following sports definitely rank the highest.
One of the great things about tennis is that it closely followed by both men and women. Both sexes play at a high level and attract a lot of attention from fans and punters. Sportsbooks need to serve up aces if they are serious about getting you to bet on tennis. That is why the best tennis bookmakers offer great odds on as many events as possible. And boy, they make it easy to bet on every tournament on this planet!. They also have valuable tennis bonuses and promotions such as free tennis bets, acca insurance, and price boosts. Industry leaders get you right into the action by providing live tennis streams, in-play wagering, betting tips, and plenty of quick and easy payment options. The market offer and the dedicated bonuses make tennis a top selection when you choose the best sports to bet on.

The sports books line is flawed if it does not attract the same action amount on both sides. From a smart handicapper’s point of view, the line is flawed when it does not compute to his predicted outcome of the game. A weaker team can actually become the favorite if public sentiment is with that team. When this happens the underdog presents a huge overlay for the seasoned handicapper tilting the odds in his favor. This is the contrarian principle and why many smart handicappers go against the general betting public.
Edit My Bet. The ‘edit bet’ feature can be used by gamblers to ‘unsettle straight accumulators’ before matches have started or whilst they are in-play. The feature can also be used for to swap single bets for new bets, and the gambler is given a new bet selection valued at the bookie's cash out price to reflect live market/game odds for the original bet.[1]

Touts often claim to be able to hit 60% or higher, but as I explain in my essay on Bayesian Probability, anyone who tells you that their long term expected winning percentage is higher than 60% is deluding themselves. Ten or more years ago a sharp handicapper could win about 60% long term but those days are over, as odds makers have become more savvy in the past decade or so. For a bettor to claim a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage, that would be mean that Vegas would have to consistently release lines with egregious errors, and that simply just does not happen often enough nowadays for claims of a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage. Any short term win rates of around 60% or higher are simply due to blind, short-term luck. For instance, last year (2016) in the first season using a new NFL play-by-play model, Dr. Bob Sports’ NFL Best Bet sides were an incredible 66-26 (71.7%), but that record was enhanced by winning a very large percentage of close games (31-12 on Best Bets decided by 7 points or less) rather than splitting the close ones. It still would have been a great season on NFL Best Bet sides (62%) if the close games had been 50% but I still can’t expect the new model to win 60%-plus on sides based on that one season – although the play-by-play model back-tested at a very profitable 56% winners.
If you’re a big fan of your local teams, it’s likely that you know them better than most other teams. There’s plenty of value with having a deep knowledge of specific teams. You’re simply going to have a much better bead on how teams you follow closely will play compared to others. Occasionally, this means betting on your favorite teams, other teams it means betting against them. There’s no room for personal bias or favoritism if you’re serious about making money betting on your favorite sports.

The 10% vig is hard enough to overcome in itself, and placing wagers without solid reasoning and a decent edge is going to chip away at your bankroll and cut into bottom-line profits. There’s a reason why there are so many betting markets available at online sportsbooks, many of which are highly juiced and unbeatable. They know gamblers love the action of betting sports and they’re hoping to entice them to wager more. Don’t fall for this trap.
"Romo has started two games after making his first 588 career appearances as a reliever. But he was doing so on consecutive days, with the express purpose of clearing the top of the Angels’ lineup before making way for pitchers—normally starters—who would give Tampa Bay more innings. Romo was technically starting, but not in the traditional sense of the term. He was opening—the games, and, perhaps, a futuristic path to ordering a pitching staff" Ray stated.
Spread betting are wagers that are made against the spread. The spread, or line, is a number assigned by the bookmakers which handicaps one team and favors another when two teams play each other and one is perceived as being more likely to win. The favorite "takes" points from the final score and the underdog "gives" points. This number can also be in increments of half-a-point (.5) even though very few sports have .5 point scoring (i.e., The Ryder Cup)
Independent of which kind of long-term bet you choose, you should always do one thing before placing the betting team: Gather as much information as possible. Before teh start of a competition, you should know which transfers were made or whether there have been other changes in personnel. Additionally it's important to know about the form of the teams or individual players of the last season or the last weeks and months. Are there injuries or other impairments? Only when the most important facts are known, you should place your tip. You should always be aware: Individual sports are riskier with long-term bets, becasue everything stands and falls with one person. If the respective athlete, that you bet on, gets injured during the season for example or needs to take a break for other reasons, your bet will be soon lost. In team sports individual injuries can be better compensated. On the other hand it's easier in individual sports to judge the form and make a forecast.
These recreational bettors account for the majority of people who bet on sports, but there are also plenty of people who bet primarily to make money. This doesn’t mean that they don’t still enjoy themselves, it’s just that their motivations are different. They generally put a lot more thought into the wagers that they make, and dedicate some time to researching and analyzing the various factors that can affect the outcome of games and events.

Matched betting is conceptually very simple technique and the easiest sports bets to win. We cover all the outcomes of the sports event by backing at bookmaker and laying at exchange. Since free bets are used for the backing at exchange it is Guaranteed Profit with 100% Risk Free. For those who are not familiar with Matched Betting, suggest you go through Matched Betting For Dummies – 9 Essential Things You Should Know Before Staking Any Real Money;People generally rake thousands of £ only from bookmakers’ welcome (sign-up) bonus. Sadly, some matched bettors believe the welcome bonus is all about matched betting and neglect all the subsequent offers. Actually, the real tasty part is the abundance of Reload bonuses for existing players. You can continuously make decent solid income as long as you can manage to keep your account alive (the biggest obstacle for matched betting is the bookmaker’s account restriction which I will talk later). Remember, matched betting is based on the application of a mathematical equation rather than chance, basically you always get Positive EV. Therefore, we position matched betting at the right end in the above gambling / investment spectrum. Because it is even more certain outcome than fixed incomes. Bond still has various risks such as interest, credit or inflation but large part of matched betting is absolutely risk free with instant guaranteed profit.


Major League Baseball (MLB) Commissioner Rob Manfred has also advocated the league changing its stance on sports betting, with both Manfred and Silver noting that the scale of illegal sports betting makes opposition to betting meaningless. He also stated a willingness to "try to shape" any future legislation at federal level. This was noted as a marked contrast to former Commissioner of the MLB Bud Selig, with Manfred going beyond tacit approval and stating, "There is this buzz out there in terms of people feeling that there may be an opportunity here for additional legalized sports betting."[46]

Some final rules I live by: Understand betting completely and understand every aspect of this (not just knowing lines and percentages but how are these set and how to use that knowledge), never bet on your team, never bet based on someone else’s predictions or picks, never bet without being certain and at peace with your selection, know you don’t have to bet today or this week only bet if the numbers make sense, follow your rules and never make exceptions, believe that you’re putting money on a likely outcome and not gambling on outcomes, and finally know your limit (monetary, knowledge and skill) and quit if you can’t meet the standards of an average bettor. Losing money doesn’t mean you can’t do this. Even losing for a season. But you must be realistic with yourself and why you are losing and either get better in these areas or just quit because hobby betting is fine with a few bucks but hobby betting to win money is a recipe for losing your account.
However, skewed public perception, results-oriented analysis, and unsound metrics result in point spreads that are often biased one way or another. While the casual bettor does not possess the capacity to exploit these advantages, I have used mathematical models, situational analysis, significant trends and quantitative player analysis that are far more complex and accurate than anything else on the market to gain an advantage, which is why I have won 53% to 56% of my Best Bets (depending on the sport) over the last 29 years.

MyBookie.ag is the top sportsbooks online. They have plenty of advantages over their competitors starting with a generous deposit bonus of 50% Up To $1,000 . The number of betting markets provided is so vast that Mybookie is the betting site that you can “truly bet on anything.” They offer free credit and debit card deposits. Deposits and withdrawals are also fast and free of charge if you’re using cryptocurrencies.
It does not take a mathematician to use this system and it will give you a great chance to be successful. But it does take a special type of person to be able to maintain the discipline to use sports betting money management system throughout the course of a six-month football season. Your bookie counts on you to value greed and expects you to reload often during the football season. Be a real player and manage your sports betting like you would a business. If you follow this system you will be pleasantly surprised with your bankroll come February. Many players that make a living wagering on sports use a strong money management similar to this. Be a smart player, and do not let the bookie control you hard earned cash. If you have any questions please feel free to give me a call at (866) 238-6696 or email service@docsports.com
A successful sports betting strategy begins with managing your bankroll. To make a living betting sports, you must treat it as you would any other business. The old saying is that you should not use your rent money to bet with. That is true. But if you're betting for a living it is equally true that you must not use your gambling bankroll to pay the rent.
Jazz power forward Derrick Favors has shown signs of fatigue as of late. He scored just three points in Friday's loss to the Griz. And as was the case for the Trail Blazers the Jazz face an OKC club that has defeated them in the first three of four regular season games. The Thunder outlasted the Blazers in Portland on their current road trip for a season sweep. Expect this to be the case tonight in a matchup that favors the Thunder in an underdog role. 

In a different study released by FDU’s PublicMind in October 2011, results showed that New Jersey voters thought legalizing sports betting in New Jersey was a good idea. Half of New Jersey voters (52%) said that they approved the idea of legalizing sports betting at Atlantic City casinos and racetracks, 31% opposed it. In addition, there was a significant gender split: a majority of men approved of the idea by a wide margin (65-21), while only 39% of women approved and 41% opposed.[9] The October results were stable, reflecting an earlier poll in April 2011 where New Jersey voters approved the legalization of sports betting in the state by a margin of 53%-30%. However, nearly two-thirds (66%) of voters were not aware of the upcoming statewide referendum on the issue. Age proved to be a divide: voters between the ages 18 and 34 were more likely to approve of sports betting than were older voters. Dr. Woolley commented: "But... younger voters... are far less likely to vote than other voters... As always, a lot depends on who actually shows up to vote."[10]
Sports betting is the activity of predicting sports results and placing a wager on the outcome. The frequency of sports bet upon varies by culture, with the vast majority of bets being placed on association football, American football, basketball, baseball, hockey, track cycling, auto racing, mixed martial arts, and boxing at both the amateur and professional levels. Sports betting can also extend to non-athletic events, such as reality show contests and political elections, and non-human contests such as horse racing, greyhound racing, and illegal, underground dog fighting.
Matched betting is conceptually very simple technique and the easiest sports bets to win. We cover all the outcomes of the sports event by backing at bookmaker and laying at exchange. Since free bets are used for the backing at exchange it is Guaranteed Profit with 100% Risk Free. For those who are not familiar with Matched Betting, suggest you go through Matched Betting For Dummies – 9 Essential Things You Should Know Before Staking Any Real Money;People generally rake thousands of £ only from bookmakers’ welcome (sign-up) bonus. Sadly, some matched bettors believe the welcome bonus is all about matched betting and neglect all the subsequent offers. Actually, the real tasty part is the abundance of Reload bonuses for existing players. You can continuously make decent solid income as long as you can manage to keep your account alive (the biggest obstacle for matched betting is the bookmaker’s account restriction which I will talk later). Remember, matched betting is based on the application of a mathematical equation rather than chance, basically you always get Positive EV. Therefore, we position matched betting at the right end in the above gambling / investment spectrum. Because it is even more certain outcome than fixed incomes. Bond still has various risks such as interest, credit or inflation but large part of matched betting is absolutely risk free with instant guaranteed profit.
Most people think that sports betting is about finding ‘sure things,’ but in reality such ‘locks’ are nothing more than gamblers’ fancy. Just as in real estate, currency, stocks, or any other speculative market, ‘sure things’ simply do not exist. As a professional sports bettor, my goal is to find and exploit many small edges over a long period of time to earn a compounding return. Winning 55% of games is very significant, and with very conservative bet sizing, you can grow your return very quickly. Investing $10,000 into the stock market for a year and earning a 10% return is considered a great investment – but your return winning a modest 54% of your sports bets would trounce that return.
In the United States, it was previously illegal under the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992 for states to authorize legal sports betting, hence making it effectively illegal. The states of Delaware, Montana, Nevada, and Oregon—which had pre-existing sports lotteries and sports betting frameworks, were grandfathered and exempted from the effects of the Act.[6]
The rule against gambling in baseball is known as "Rule 21," which is publicly posted on dugout walls and states: "Any player, umpire, or club or league official or employee, who shall bet any sum whatsoever on any baseball game in connection with which the bettor has a duty to perform shall be declared permanently ineligible." People permanently banned from Major League Baseball are also forever banned from entry into the Baseball Hall of Fame, although most such people have been reinstated a few years later by a later Commissioner of Baseball. For instance, Mickey Mantle and Willie Mays were both banned from baseball in 1983 after taking jobs as casino greeters (which would have expelled them from the Hall of Fame had it been allowed to stand); they were reinstated two years later. Only Rose has yet to be reinstated.

Major League Baseball (MLB) Commissioner Rob Manfred has also advocated the league changing its stance on sports betting, with both Manfred and Silver noting that the scale of illegal sports betting makes opposition to betting meaningless. He also stated a willingness to "try to shape" any future legislation at federal level. This was noted as a marked contrast to former Commissioner of the MLB Bud Selig, with Manfred going beyond tacit approval and stating, "There is this buzz out there in terms of people feeling that there may be an opportunity here for additional legalized sports betting."[46]

Before I delve into rigorous explanations of how a bettor can gain an advantage against the point spread, it is important to understand what the spread actually represents. Point spreads were invented to keep bettors interested in games between teams of different talent levels – if a perennial powerhouse like Alabama plays a mid level team such as South Alabama, you’ll find very few people willing to bet on which team will win the game since Bama would be such a prohibitive favorite. However, most are willing to bet on whether Alabama will ‘cover the point spread’ and win by a certain number of points. If the point spread is 21.5, then the Crimson Tide must win by 22 or more points for their side of the bet to cover, while South Alabama must either win outright or lose by 21 points or less to cover their side. Point spreads are designed so that the probability of each outcome is roughly equal, and are generally set so as to approximate the median score differential between the two teams at the given site of the game.


Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days!  She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
You're looking for 10-20 bets a week for something that runs almost the entire year? The answer is really MLB and nothing else. Large volume of games, long season, great for minimizing variance. Yes, tennis and soccer run for most of the year, but good luck trying to get a handle on all the different moving parts those markets entail (e.g., all the different leagues and countries in soccer, how would you even get to start focusing on something to be high volume?) to be able to squeeze out an edge as you are starting out. If you're used to modeling golf, getting into baseball shouldn't too too far of a stretch since a lot of the modeling is based on the individual level rather than the team.
My long term percentage on College Football Best Bets is 56% (1290-1017-40 over 29 years) and the new NFL play-by play model was 100-69 (59.2%) in 2016. However, despite being a combined 148-107 (58.0%) on Football Best Bets, college and NFL, in 2016, I will continue to use 55% winners as a realistic goal going forward. If I expect 55% on 200 Football Best Bets (I had 255 last year, which was higher than expected) then the expected profit at -110 odds would be 200 x (0.55 – (1.1 x 0.45), which is +11.0 units (or +22.0 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars). The Kelly Criterion recommends a wager of 3.4% of your bankroll for a wager with a 55% chance of winning and odds of -110. However, the Kelly formula assumes sequential betting and sports betting usually involves simultaneous betting, which is part of the reason behind using some fraction of full Kelly to reduce risk. If I play 2.0% of my initial bankroll per bet, or 1.0% per Star, (i.e. flat betting) then my expected return during football season (5 months) is 22.0%. Adjusting your bankroll after each week rather than flat betting will increase your expected return, as explained in the KC simulation section of my money management section.
A handicapper gets information from numerous sources and assigns weights and values to the wagering data. They will make their own power ranking and predict what the point spread should be without looking at the official line. They compare their predictions to the line to look for discrepancies. A large amount of data is available via the internet and other sources that the handicapper will read through to find the gems. The use of computer programs can help when searching through the data.

For this reason, they can offer a larger deposit and reload bonuses. Taking advantage of bonuses is an absolute must for new bettors, where these extra funds are crucial for beginning bankrolls. Bettors can easily clear thousands of dollars in deposit bonuses at reputable sites in the US market. When you decide to don’t use any deposit bonus, you’re essentially deciding to leave money on the table.
"Romo has started two games after making his first 588 career appearances as a reliever. But he was doing so on consecutive days, with the express purpose of clearing the top of the Angels’ lineup before making way for pitchers—normally starters—who would give Tampa Bay more innings. Romo was technically starting, but not in the traditional sense of the term. He was opening—the games, and, perhaps, a futuristic path to ordering a pitching staff" Ray stated.
But you give the Team A far greater winning chances – based on your information, analyses, statistics, observation, skill and other factors that form your opinion – say 60% (or 0.6). The fair odds for the victory of the Team A based on your assumption would be 100% / 60% (or equally 1 / 0.60) = 1.67. The sports betting company thus offers the odds, which are higher (1.8) than the minimum odds (1.67), which would be yet acceptable for you (i.e. the fair odds). Therefore it is advantageous for you to make the bet, since your expected return is positive and your edge is exactly 1.8 / 1.67 – 1 = 0.08 = 8%.
It is that time of the season again, the title races across the Europe are heating up, the Champions League is back in 2 days and it feels like the second Christmas of the winter season is upon us. If Christmas gave us a clear leader at the top of the pile, Christmas 2.0 has put some life back into the title race and now people are looking for someone at Liverpool to make the next big ‘Slip’.
For most mainstream sports, there’s a wealth of information readily available. Some sports have TV channels dedicated entirely to broadcasting all the latest news, and most newspapers cover the popular sports extensively too. And then there’s the internet. The internet is full of useful sports resources where we can find out pretty much anything we could possibly want to know about any of the major sports.

In the time since the May Supreme Court decision, both Delaware and New Jersey have begun accepting bets on sports at casinos and racetracks. Mississippi, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania are all hoping to be in the next wave of states to do so, with many seeing the start of the NFL season as a target date for the launch of sportsbooks in these states.
Major League Baseball (MLB) Commissioner Rob Manfred has also advocated the league changing its stance on sports betting, with both Manfred and Silver noting that the scale of illegal sports betting makes opposition to betting meaningless. He also stated a willingness to "try to shape" any future legislation at federal level. This was noted as a marked contrast to former Commissioner of the MLB Bud Selig, with Manfred going beyond tacit approval and stating, "There is this buzz out there in terms of people feeling that there may be an opportunity here for additional legalized sports betting."[46]
Sportsbooks offer all kinds of events to bet on all year long. September brings NFL and college football that runs through January; October brings the NBA and NHL that run through June; November brings college basketball highlighted at the end of the season by March Madness; and the MLB rolls around in April, giving us daily baseball through October.
So what is the best theory on money management? There are several methods that have proven successful by many professional gamblers. In speaking to most of these individuals, discipline being the main ingredient. I personally believe that one should never bet more than 20 percent of their season bankroll on any given week. An example would be if a gambler starts with a seasonal bankroll of $5,000.  Thus, they will have $1000 (20 percent of your bankroll) to bet with on opening week. If we were to release eight football picks on the first week it would look like this:
While neighboring states have sportsbooks located within their borders, Arizona has yet to receive that luxury. But, you can technically place a sports wager anywhere in the state as long as you are doing so through an online offshore sportsbook. There are a plethora of options on the internet, but there are four specifically that we recommend. Those four are Bovada, 5Dimes, BetOnline, and of course SportsBetting. These sites have been tested and proven to accept and deliver payouts to AZ residents. They each also offer the same odds you could find in a Vegas casino, right from your desktop or mobile device.
We mentioned earlier how the popular sports get more attention from the bookmakers. While this can be a good thing, it has its downsides too. Because the bookmakers take so much action on these sports, they dedicate a LOT of resources to making sure that they don’t give away any value easily. They hire genuine experts who are exceptionally skilled at pricing up the betting markets. They make it very difficult for us to find any value in the odds and lines they have to offer, which means it’s difficult to make any money in the long run.
Many times you and a group of friends can get overly competitive when it comes to sports, and this may lead to forming sports pools. Folks should know that this is a completely safe form of legal sports betting. As long as the commissioner or the person handling the pot doesn’t get a cut of the winnings, and you don’t advertise the public to join, you should be well within your legal grounds to form such a pool. Offshore sports betting sites also have great referral programs and contests that you and a friend can join.
It is that time of the season again, the title races across the Europe are heating up, the Champions League is back in 2 days and it feels like the second Christmas of the winter season is upon us. If Christmas gave us a clear leader at the top of the pile, Christmas 2.0 has put some life back into the title race and now people are looking for someone at Liverpool to make the next big ‘Slip’.
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