Chelsea began the season strong on a strong note going 12 premier league games without a defeat to start of their season. They had a healthy 7 point cushion between them and Manchester United when Ole Gunnar Solskajaer took over and now they trail United for the last Champions League spot by 1 point and a game in hand making this game against Manchester City a must win for their Manager.
When Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund clash on Wednesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchups, this will mark the third meeting between the two clubs in the last three seasons. Tottenham did the double over Dortmund in the 2017 Champions' League group stage, while Dortmund got the jump on the Hotspurs in the 2016 Europa League quarterfinals. Read More >>

Patience pays off. It is better off to wait for a promising betting opportunity with high odds at best than to bet on anything. It cannot be recommended to bet on the favorites only. The odds are low and so you collect the wins slowly, while hesitations occur and they can easily put you in the red. Also betting a low amount on a great number of events (the odds are multiplied) can be considered a hobby or waiting for a miracle just like in a lottery.

Since there is no exchange rate on tracks like Penn National versus Saratoga you should make your money where you can. Knowing that the stock doesn’t really change all year long at the smaller, year-round tracks provide a solid baseline for the horseplayer that is trying to make a living playing the races while you wait for the grandeur of the elite summer meets to return!
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
My picks have yielded a much higher risk adjusted return than the stock market. Obviously, the variance from season to season is formidable, but as anyone who had a significant amount invested in stocks or real estate in 2008 can tell you, such swings aren’t limited to sports. In the long run, my edge in what I do is far greater than the edge that you could hope to gain in any other speculative market.

Unfortunately, land-based sports betting in Arizona doesn’t exist right now. The reason mainly stems from the tribal compact that the state of Arizona has with the local Native American casinos owners. The compact allows those tribes to offer Class III gaming activities in exchange for a tax on revenue but does not extend those activities to include gambling on sports. If state officials wanted to allow other locations to offer this additional type of gaming then they would risk losing tax revenue from tribal casinos. This is why state officials are looking to rework the original compact so that only the tribes are allowed to offer it at their land-based locations.

In-play betting. In-play betting is a fairly new feature offered by some online sports books that enables bettors to place new bets while a sporting event is in progress. In-play betting first appeared towards the end of the 1990s when some bookmakers would take bets over the telephone whilst a sports event was in progress, and has now evolved into a popular online service in many countries.[1] The introduction of in-play betting has allowed bookmakers to increase the number of markets available to bet on during sports events, and gamblers are able to place bets based on many different types of in-game activity during the matches. For example, in football matches, it is possible to bet in on in-play markets including the match result, half-time score, number of goals scored in the first or second half of the game, the number of yellow cards during the match, and the name of the goal scorers. [1] The availability of a particular sport and in-play markets varies from bookmaker to bookmaker. In-play sports betting has structural characteristics that have changed the mechanics of gambling for sports bettors, as they are now able to place a larger number of bets during a single sports game (as opposed to a single bet on who is going to win). One of the most important differences between being able to place an in-running sports bet opposed to a pre-match bet is that the nature of the market has been turned what was previously a discontinuous form of gambling into a continuous one. The gambling study literature has suggested that in-play sports betting may offer more of a risk to problem gamblers because it allows the option for high-speed continuous betting and requires rapid and impulsive decisions in the absence of time for reflection.[1] There are three different types of in-play sports betting products(cash out, Edit my Acca, and Edit my Bet).


Sports betting is extremely popular. The main cause is that you can be a master of your own destiny and thus do not have to rely on the chance only. So, what is the key to success in sportsbook? We will outline the basic mathematical strategy, which promises the chance of success in the long run. We also bring an automatic MS Excel Calculator that determines, whether and how much are the odds favorable or not.
Each better must know his limits and choose the sport, competition and region accordingly. Information is vital – the more you know about the sport, the better for you. The information sources are the Internet, watching TV, participation on the matches etc. Betting according to the actual ranking such as "the third team plays the one but last team" is certainly insufficient.

Many people believe that the point spread is the predicted margin of victory one team will beat another team. This is not true but a spread number is needed to create wagering on both sides. The line is the handicapper’s prediction of what number will be required to split the wagering evenly on both teams. The line may change a little before game time. The sports books goal is to have the betting as evenly as possible.
As the baseball season moves through June, July and August, it’s time to prep for the NFL and college football. In September, you’re getting ready for the NBA, NHL, and college basketball. All of a sudden, football is being played again. By the way, at one point football, basketball, hockey, and baseball are all being played. It’s a crazy time to bet.

Sports betting is extremely popular. The main cause is that you can be a master of your own destiny and thus do not have to rely on the chance only. So, what is the key to success in sportsbook? We will outline the basic mathematical strategy, which promises the chance of success in the long run. We also bring an automatic MS Excel Calculator that determines, whether and how much are the odds favorable or not.
Each better must know his limits and choose the sport, competition and region accordingly. Information is vital – the more you know about the sport, the better for you. The information sources are the Internet, watching TV, participation on the matches etc. Betting according to the actual ranking such as "the third team plays the one but last team" is certainly insufficient.
For a lot of people, however, these decisions are NOT easy. Some people follow a lot of sports, and are not sure if they want to bet on them all. Others only follow a single sport, and aren’t sure if they want to limit themselves to just that one sport. Then there are those who want to try to sports betting but don’t really follow any sports closely.
In November 2014, a poll found that there had been a major shift in attitudes towards sports betting in the United States, showing that 55% of Americans now favored legal sports betting, while 66% of respondents agreed that this should be regulated by state laws, as opposed to federal legislation.[17] The poll also suggested that 33% of respondents disagreed with the notion of legalization.
My long term percentage on College Football Best Bets is 56% (1290-1017-40 over 29 years) and the new NFL play-by play model was 100-69 (59.2%) in 2016. However, despite being a combined 148-107 (58.0%) on Football Best Bets, college and NFL, in 2016, I will continue to use 55% winners as a realistic goal going forward. If I expect 55% on 200 Football Best Bets (I had 255 last year, which was higher than expected) then the expected profit at -110 odds would be 200 x (0.55 – (1.1 x 0.45), which is +11.0 units (or +22.0 Stars if my average Best Bet is rated 2-Stars). The Kelly Criterion recommends a wager of 3.4% of your bankroll for a wager with a 55% chance of winning and odds of -110. However, the Kelly formula assumes sequential betting and sports betting usually involves simultaneous betting, which is part of the reason behind using some fraction of full Kelly to reduce risk. If I play 2.0% of my initial bankroll per bet, or 1.0% per Star, (i.e. flat betting) then my expected return during football season (5 months) is 22.0%. Adjusting your bankroll after each week rather than flat betting will increase your expected return, as explained in the KC simulation section of my money management section.
If there is one sport that has the ability to draw punters out of the woodwork it’s golf. Major events such as the Masters, the US Open, and the PGA Championships are watched and bet on by millions of people around the world – so there will always be demand to bet on this sport. The best golf bookmakers make it easier to tee off on them by offering a plethora of betting opportunities and golf promotions. Punters can take advantage of free bets, money back wagers, and acca insurance on their golf accumulators. Top golf sportsbooks offer live streaming coverage and plenty of in-play betting. Golf is definitely not the most exciting sport to watch but it gains a lot of appeal when you make lots of money out of it. Be sure to keep an eye on the promotions section at Gamblingjudge.com to find the latest golf bonuses and promotions.

When you combine the number of opportunities to make good bets with the fact that baseball is mostly a moneyline betting sports, thanks to its low-scoring games, the odds for the bettor only increase. Betting against spreads is much harder to predict and analyze for value, but choosing a winner is more straightforward, and it’s easier to gain an edge and make solid bets.


Finding that specialty is easier than it is with other sports as well. Being a relatively new area of sports betting, esports books are often only marginally better, if not worse, than the smart bettor at calculating the odds for events. Gaining this strategic edge gives you the power you need to find the most valuable bets among the sportsbooks who might have less of a grasp of the odds when it comes to esports.
What do you look for in a bookmaker when you are deciding what sports to bet on? Most experienced punters will agree that getting the best odds is one of the most important things to look for. Grinding out a profit over the long haul is tough enough without having to deal with bad lines. They will also agree that having the widest range of sports betting markets and wagering options it key. After all, what is the point of picking a sportsbook that only offers football betting when you want to place wagers on cricket? What’s the point of signing up with a bookie that only offers NFL betting when you are a college football nut?

Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
It‘s amazing that many of us run or work within successful businesses backed by good ethics and a sound money management theory, but refuse to use these same techniques when it comes to sports betting money management. Would you bet 25 percent of your retirement fund on a single stock that had a 40 percent chance of going in the tank tomorrow? Would you invest in a real estate development under the same scenario? Nobody would do either of these propositions, yet many people are willing to bet 20 to 30 percent of their betting resources a single game. The books know that most of us lack discipline and that greed, sooner or later, will get the best of the gambler and that some early returns for the bettor will likely eventually swing to big profits for the bookmaker.
The Thunder are faced with a seeding decision before tonight's tip against the Jazz at Vivint Smart. OKC's conundrum is whether they want to sell out in the final month of the regular season by playing their first rotation major minutes or saving their legs for postseason play. A focus on the team's final 16-games of the regular season to remain one of the top four seeds in the West requires playing Russell Westbrook and Paul George in excess of their season average in minutes played. This asking allot considering the pairs 36 minutes per game this season. 
Most European oddsmakers – and some in the U.S. – post odds and take bets on snooker, a British billiards-style game played with a cue on a felt-covered table. Gamblers can bet on tournaments, head-to-head matchups and proposition bets. Betting on the game calls for an understanding of it. But Murphy says by studying it for a while, he came to understand that oddsmakers in the U.S. didn’t have a good handle on it, so hitting just a couple of long-odds underdog bets would pay off.
The 76ers are one of the hottest up and coming teams in the NBA and the Golden Nugget in Atlantic City will certainly miss not being able to book their games. In addition to being close to Pennsylvania, New Jersey also borders New York City. Until both states legalize sports betting, New Jersey will be the only legal game in town. While Atlantic City isn’t considered a New York sports market, they certainly have Knicks fans visiting frequently. We’d be remiss if we didn’t mention the 4,500 Nets fans in Brooklyn that could also be visitors. The Golden Nugget will certainly miss out the action from those three teams alone.

Tennis betting online is becoming a popular activity for sports gamblers year-round but the action and betting truly heat up for the grand slams. Betting on the 2019 French Open tennis is easier than ever with an extensive list of online betting sites available no matter where you are located in the world. French Open betting is likely to surpass all other grand slams like Australian Open, Wimbledon or the US Open regarding the betting handle. Filling out the draws bracket is another way to get in on the fun while betting on tennis.


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On December 7, 1980 the San Francisco 49ers overcame a halftime deficit of 28 points in what became the greatest regular season comeback victory in NFL regular season history. By the beginning of the third quarter, notorious Vegas bookmaker Frank Rosenthal received forfeiture notices from 246 San Francisco bettors totaling more than $25,000 in premature winnings. Rosenthal was able to retain these winnings despite the final outcome of the game due to gambling regulations previously established by the NAGRA.[citation needed]
Sen. Denny Hoskins’ (R-MO) piece of proposed legislation, SB 44, includes a 1 percent royalty or integrity fee, but with half of it earmarked toward an Entertainment Facilities Infrastructure Fund that would be used for the upkeep of sports or cultural facilities within Missouri. The bill sets a tax on adjusted sports betting gross revenue at 6.25 percent. A $5,000 annual administrative fee and $10,000 “reinvestigation fee” that sounds more ominous than intended would also apply. The latter would go into a fund that would eventually mature every fifth year when the licensee is re-vetted.
Before I delve into rigorous explanations of how a bettor can gain an advantage against the point spread, it is important to understand what the spread actually represents. Point spreads were invented to keep bettors interested in games between teams of different talent levels – if a perennial powerhouse like Alabama plays a mid level team such as South Alabama, you’ll find very few people willing to bet on which team will win the game since Bama would be such a prohibitive favorite. However, most are willing to bet on whether Alabama will ‘cover the point spread’ and win by a certain number of points. If the point spread is 21.5, then the Crimson Tide must win by 22 or more points for their side of the bet to cover, while South Alabama must either win outright or lose by 21 points or less to cover their side. Point spreads are designed so that the probability of each outcome is roughly equal, and are generally set so as to approximate the median score differential between the two teams at the given site of the game.
For most mainstream sports, there’s a wealth of information readily available. Some sports have TV channels dedicated entirely to broadcasting all the latest news, and most newspapers cover the popular sports extensively too. And then there’s the internet. The internet is full of useful sports resources where we can find out pretty much anything we could possibly want to know about any of the major sports.
Wow, 2018 flew by and was a great year in sports overall. We enjoyed a lot of success with the free picks here at The Sports Geek and have grown our great team of handicappers. 2019 is shaping up to be a great year with new experts joining the team and a new website to launch early in the year. We will continue to grow our Daily Fantasy Sports section of the website, which has really taken off in the last year. We are looking forward to helping you have a successful and enjoyable 2019!
As in the stock market, sports bettors suffer from psychological tendencies that create value and momentum opportunities. In the main, investors and sports bettors overreact to new information, such as a stock’s recent price moves or a team’s spell of bad-luck losses. “People tend to think that recent performance is a better predictor of the next game’s performance,” he says, “when, in reality, the long-term quality of the team is a much better indicator.”

La Russa made Eckersley his closer, and he developed the "MLB sapien" system that was choreographed to use the role sparingly. The engineering marvel put little to no stress on the pitchers arm in a single outing.  Thus resulting in that arm being used in consecutive games. Eckersley went on to establish records for relievers with a 0.61 ERA in 1990, and did what most thought was impossible then, and in truth now, by earning the American League Cy Young and MVP awards when he saved 51 games in 1992.


Most wins by any single pitcher will carry less emphasis moving forward.  Thus offering starters a number of sabbaticals throughout a season will become more common. If for nothing else to simply reduce the number of innings across a 162-game season. Especially for a team that figures to be a part of the playoffs which expands the wear and tear on a pitchers arm. 
What about financial products which are usually perceived as investment such as Equity (Stock) or Bond (Fixed Income)? Annual Returns on Stock, T.Bonds and T.Bills: 1928 – Current shows S&P 500 (US Stock Index) average is 11.41% while 10 year T-Bond is 5.23%. However, when it comes to the standard deviation (fluctuation of return), off course Stock is much higher. According to CFA Digest, stocks are about 3 times more volatile than bonds on average. Means the certainty of outcome in Positive return of Fixed Income is surely higher than Stock. The below chart is just giving you how the magnitude of the difference of volatility between these 2 assets class are (sourced from Market Realist);
Corruption in tennis has been long considered as issue.[59] In 2011, the former world No. 55 Austrian tennis player, Daniel Koellerer, became the first tennis player to be banned for life for attempting to fix matches. The violations were outstanding between October 2009 and July 2010 after The Tennis Integrity Units had launched an investigation on behalf of the International Tennis Federation and the ATP and WTA tours. In 2004 and 2006, Koellerer was banned for six months due to his bad behavior. In addition, on August 2010, he facilitated betting by placing odds for matches and had links for placing bets.[60]

Betting on football matches is becoming more popular year on year, with a growing number of online bookmakers available to bet with. With football one of the world’s most popular sports, it is little surprise to see so much money is bet on the biggest games every day, with popular football betting markets including accumulators, both teams to score (BTTS) and goalscorer markets.
Totalizators. In totalizators (sometimes called flexible-rate bets) the odds are changing in real-time according to the share of total exchange each of the possible outcomes have received taking into account the return rate of the bookmaker offering the bet. For example: If the bookmakers return percentage is 90%, 90% of the amount placed on the winning result will be given back to bettors and 10% goes to the bookmaker. Naturally the more money bet on a certain result, the smaller the odds on that outcome become. This is similar to parimutuel wagering in horse racing and dog racing.
Major League Soccer (MLS) the top soccer league in the United States and Canada has expressed sports betting as a possible way to gain popularity. Commissioner Don Garber has stated about sports gambling, " We have a project going on now to really dig in deeply and understand it. I’ll join the chorus of saying it’s time to bring it out of the dark ages. We’re doing what we can to figure out how to manage that effectively."[49]
When Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund clash on Wednesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchups, this will mark the third meeting between the two clubs in the last three seasons. Tottenham did the double over Dortmund in the 2017 Champions' League group stage, while Dortmund got the jump on the Hotspurs in the 2016 Europa League quarterfinals. Read More >>
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