Most losers base their judgement on a subjective feel for the forthcoming event, relying on an inkling or a hunch about what may happen. The skilled tipsters has a huge advantage over the recreational bettor, finding “value” in the odds, where the true chance of a win is greater than that estimated by the bookmaker. Many punters fail to appreciate the importance of value betting, preferring to subscribe to the “back winners, not losers” school of gambling, which will not make you win 57%.
Then the playoffs begin! We’re prepping for the season by researching for our upcoming series of team, division, and league previews, which will be published during spring training, and offering insights into the upcoming season with various articles such as our recent piece on five of the top starting pitchers on which you may want to bet in 2018.
In a national poll released in December 2011, Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind asked voters whether they “support or oppose changing the federal law to allow sports betting” in their respective states. Just as many voters approved (42%) as opposed (42%) allowing sports betting. However, voters who already live in households where family members (including themselves) engage in sports betting had a strongly favored legalization of sports betting (71%-23%), while voters in households where sports betting is not an activity, opposed legalization (46%-36%). Peter J. Woolley, professor of political science and director of the poll commented on the findings, “Gambling has become, for good or ill, a national industry, and you can bet that politicians and casinos all over the country are closely following New Jersey’s plans.”
We’ve all been there. After a string of rough losses or a losing streak, there is a temptation for bettors to forgo their process and chase their losses. This, of course, only makes matters worse. Chasing your losses will put a serious dent in your long-term profits and may ultimately derail your sports betting career, especially if you wager more than your normal amount when you suffer a losing streak, in hopes of making back your money.
Transaction costs might shrink, Moskowitz says, if online betting volumes rise and bookmakers increasingly compete. A company dedicated to that proposition is London-listed Paddy Power Betfair (ticker: PPB.UK), whose websites, like Paddy Power and Betfair, processed over $15 billion in sports wagers in 2017. Since we are a stock market publication, we should note that at 8,435 pence ($111.59) a share, Paddy Power Betfair goes for over 20-times this year’s earnings estimate and 14-times cash flow. Revenue grew 13% in 2017, with about half of its revenue from online betting in Britain and Ireland, and about 20% from Australia and on-the-ground casinos. The U.S. is just 6% of revenue, but is growing fast.
The Key: The Utah Jazz will be hungry for a victory tonight over the Oklahoma City Thunder. They have lost all 3 meetings with the Thunder this season, including the last two in excruciating fashion by a single point each. They’ll avoid the season sweep and get a win and cover at home tonight. The Thunder have been vulnerable of late, going 3-7 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They just aren’t playing much defense at all, allowing 108-plus points in 11 of their last 12 games overall. The Jazz are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games off a loss. Take Utah.
OddsShark’s super computer cares about one thing and one thing only: DATA. Use our computer-generated picks to form the basis of your Premier League wagers and you could find yourself winning big. We’ll make sure you have info on how you can cover the spread for every fixture and make smart bets. Look out for our free picks so that your money goes a long way. You don’t want to lose it all by making a disastrous wager on Wolves over Tottenham.