My money is on the Celtics to cash in an easy win and cover at the Clippers on Monday night. Apparently all Boston needed to get things figured out is to hit the road, as the Celtics looked to cap off a 4-game road trip a perfect 4-0. That's not the only incentive here. Last time these two teams played Boston blew a 28-point lead at home. Clippers have continued to play well after trading away one of their best players in Tobias Harris, but the a big reason for that is the schedule. Bet the Celtics -1.5!
In this special report we examine if we can Really make a living sports betting with the above 3 sports betting advantage play methods. Although I will briefly talk about why the 3 methods later, if you’re interested in the full rationale behind, please take a look at 3 Advantage Gambling in Sports Betting – Guide For Ordinary People To Beat Bookies;
Like every successful bettor, we’re looking for inefficiencies in betting markets which pop up regularly with the sheer volume of games being played day in day out. Niels, our model maker, first identifies value bets through his xG (expected goals model) then we move on to an in-depth look at some situational statistics plus team news. Once we feel confident that the odds are stacked in our favor, we pull the trigger
This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public's opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can be found on events where there is expected to be greater interest than normal by the occasional and casual gambler, who lets be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting strategy. Events like the AFL and NRL Grand Finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.
Betting on your favorite teams or players in the case of some propositions is one of the biggest traps that amateur bettors fall into when betting sports. Sure, we can understand the appeal of betting on your favorite team, kicking back and rooting them on, but if you’re trying to win money at sports betting, this is far from optimal. Not only is wagering disproportionally on your favorite teams a –EV decision, but it’s also an area where bettors are missing an important edge because of their bias.
Now imagine you bet 400 bets in a year and are able to get still a modest 5% average return. That bankroll of $1000 at the end of the 400 bets would be in the ballpark of $1400 and at the end of 5 years that bankroll will be in the range of $5000, and after 10 years, around $30,000 with an average unit of 600. Not bad is it? Of course the hard part is to get that consistent 5% return, and perhaps the harder part is grinding it out until you build that bank up over a number of years. But the point here is to show how starting out modest with a viable bankroll and staking plan, can turn into genuine profits in the long term.
You are much better off from a bookmaker's business point of view just hiring a load of mathematically competent and cheap worker drones to copy Betfair/Pinnacle/Wider industry prices, build a few algorithms for in play betting and very closely manage the liabilities as the bets come in. Then just restrict all winners/arbers as quickly as you can and you have a profitable business with virtually no grasp of what a sport price even is.
There are currently three pre-filed bills ahead of the 2019 legislative session: BR 15, BR 29 and BR 320. That’s indicative of what’s expected to be a legitimately serious push for legalization of various forms gaming in the Bluegrass State in the coming year. Notably, BR 15 calls for the Kentucky Lottery Corporation to establish a sports wagering regulatory infrastructure.
As to long term rates can be attributed to political battles where players are eyeing the political developments trying to predict the developments in different countries. Already today it is possible to put on the United States presidential election of 2020, and Donald trump is one of the favorites, as well flashed the name Michelle Obama, but that is nothing more than “fake,” but mark Zuckerberg can struggle for a place of honor in the White house.
If you think that handball is a good sport to bet, then you will love what many bookmakers have to offer. Sharp odds, a wide range of handball leagues and events, live streaming, betting tips, and a ton of other information will help you score on your bookie. The best handball bookmakers make it easy to make deposits and withdrawals and they offer a whole lotta betting opportunities for each match. Handicaps, alternate handicaps, double chance, totals, and half-time results are just a few of the things that excellent handball bookies offer. Then you have a full slate of live betting options as well as those valuable bonuses and promotions such as enhanced accumulators and free bets. Don’t worry about missing out on seeing the action because if you choose the right handball sportsbook you can watch your plays unfold on live streams.
Let me put what we have reviewed in this way; The bookmakers have edge of built-in margin but unlike casino where pure mathematics governs, the sports betting is pretty much skill oriented game thus successful Software / Tipsters (Handicappers) / Systems turn their edge into ours. They can identify a True Value Bet in the form of UNDER-ROUND in the selected sports category where they have absolute skill edge. These will result in Positive EV (Expected Value) that’s a mathematical formula to allow you achieve average long-term profit. This +EV will be translated into the additional winning rate to 57%. For further details of EV and its rationale, you may want to read the one I introduced at the beginning, especially Value Bet section;
The professionals know how to look for the edge and only need to hit a minimum of 54% to make a modest return on investment. Making a 15% to 25% return for the year is very possible. The good ones are few but the results are quick and opportunities exist everyday when soft betting lines are found and exploited. The betting lines are made to divide the betting public. They ideally want even betting on both sides. Their number does come close about 70% of the time.
Details of the bill as it pertains to sports betting include: The state’s lottery serving as the overseer of implementation and ongoing regulation; five sports betting licenses being made available at an initial cost of $250,000 each; sports betting revenue being taxed at 15 percent, with 2.5 percent of it going to the lottery for administrative fees.
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
Along with professional gamblers, the show also features Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson, sports broadcasting icon Brent Musburger, and comedian Cousin Sal. While some bettors and handicappers may not be pleased with publicizing some of the negative sides to sports wagering, producers are hoping viewers give the series a chance as they try to show a season from all angles.
Our super computer has one thing on its mind: Data. Since Italy Serie A is one of the most recognized national football (soccer) leagues on the planet, our computer-generated picks give you options on how you can cover the spread for every game and make decent bets. Before making your Lega Serie A picks, check out our Picks page to see that your money goes a long way. The last thing you need is to lose your hard-earned dollars making an uneducated bet on Udinese.