All individuals are banned from advertising or promoting any football betting activity in which FA regulations prohibit them from engaging. This, however, only applies to individuals in their personal capacities. For example, if a club is sponsored by a betting company and said company places its logo on the club's kit, the team's players are not in violation of the betting rules.


So what is the best theory on money management? There are several methods that have proven successful by many professional gamblers. In speaking to most of these individuals, discipline being the main ingredient. I personally believe that one should never bet more than 20 percent of their season bankroll on any given week. An example would be if a gambler starts with a seasonal bankroll of $5,000.  Thus, they will have $1000 (20 percent of your bankroll) to bet with on opening week. If we were to release eight football picks on the first week it would look like this:
So, one of the first things you need to consider when deciding which sports to bet on is whether you want to bet on the mainstream sports or the minor ones. There are pros and cons either way, as we’ve just explained. You also need to consider a few other things too, and we’ll get to those later. Before that, let’s look at how betting on one sport compares to betting on many.
Anything I can make guaranteed profit on. It is a Catch 22 though. The bigger leagues (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) have more people wagering on them, so the odds of finding lines that differ between sports books is tougher. This is because the betting line only moves when too many people are wagering on 1 side. A $100 will have little to no impact on a Super Bowl line that already has millions in the pot. As long as Vegas has close to equal action on each side, they profit every time. The lesser known sports, have less money wagered on each game, so it's easier to spot vastly different lines between different sports books.

As a solution I decided to create Sporita, my vision was to create an app that is easy to use and contains each and every possible piece of data from across all major football leagues and competitions. Our self learning algorithm predicts the outcome of football matches by combining a wide range of information such as formations and tactics, team and individual statistics, the coach factor, game day weather and much, much more.


If you've ever said the phrase "I'm not a numbers guy but....", then you probably shouldn't be a betting guy either. While plenty of gamblers can make a success of it by betting on instinct and 'feel', to be successful long term you need a viable staking plan and you need to understand what the odds reflect in terms of probability. In short, its a numbers game, and you need an adequate relationship with division and multiplication as a minimum.

Doc's Sports has you covered for the 2018 World Cup in Russia. This tournament runs from June 14th through July 15th. Below you will find free World Cup Picks for all of the games. This page will be updated daily and include every game of the tournament. If you are looking for guaranteed picks for the world cup we suggest you check out our expert soccer picks page. Over one thousand clients have joined us for our world cup soccer picks in the past with the average return of 3K for a very small investment.


To make another basketball analogy, imagine if the Golden State Warriors played an NBA regular season game one day, then a few days later played a tournament game against a team from the American Professional Basketball League or NBA G League. This is under the fictional assumption that the G League was not affiliated with the NBA and that a tournament where every American team from any league could participate in existed.
We’re not saying to just make a decision without putting any thought into it. Take everything we said into consideration, but don’t stress out. All that really matters is that you enjoy yourself, and gamble responsibly with money you can afford to lose. It makes sense to start by focusing on any sports you already follow, but don’t be afraid to try out others at some point. If you don’t follow any sports, start with the popular ones and see how it goes from there. Once you get a hang of it, you might want to try a couple of the more obscure sports.
Other popular sports for betting that are NOT on this list include baseball, darts, rugby and horse racing. We didn’t include baseball because that doesn’t get a lot of betting attention outside of the United States. Darts doesn’t get much attention outside of the United Kingdom, and rugby is only popular in a few countries. Horse racing DOES get worldwide attention, but horse racing betting is typically categorized as its own unique form of gambling.

In Asian betting markets, other frequently used formats for expressing odds include Hong Kong, Malaysian, and Indonesian-style odds formats. Odds are also quite often expressed in terms of implied probability, which corresponds to the probability with which the event in question would need to occur for the bet to be a break-even proposition (on the average).
In considering golf wagering for the future and the potential impact of ‘integrity fees’, how will the PGA handle these types of situations with a royalty being collected by the PGA for all the golf wagering during their tournaments? The PGA issued a statement on regulation saying that it’s the most effective way of “ensuring integrity in competition, protecting consumers, engaging fans and generating revenue for government, operators and leagues.”
Sports betting is typically a game of small edges. Sure, occasionally we’ll find situations where we are gaining a large edge on certain sportsbooks, but for the most part, it’s about finding inefficient markets and attacking them. There are going to be nights where bettors have a wealth of plays available at their disposal, but betting games for the sake of simply “getting action” is going to cost players big in the long haul.
As per the introductory text of the proposed legislation, sports betting would have to be approved by voters on a county-by-county basis and there would be a 10 percent tax on sports betting revenue. A total of 40 percent of that allotment would be allocated for general appropriations. Another 30 percent would go toward to “state colleges of applied technologies and community colleges for equipment and capital projects.” Finally, 30 percent would go toward local governments where sports betting is approved and would fund education and infrastructure in those jurisdictions.
This is maybe the most important sports betting strategy. You will always want to do your research before placing your bets. Although going with your hunch when betting your favorite sport may work some of the time, in the long run it will not lead to you winning money betting on sports. In order to profit from sports betting you will need to research, study, and do your homework for each pick you make. Look at stats, find trends, create sports betting systems, analyze past games – basically do everything you could possibly do to ensure you have value in your pick before you place your wager.
“When markets become more competitive, prices fall,” says Moskowitz, who was rooting for perennial disappointment England in last Wednesday’s match, because one side of his family is English. He’s typically more hard-headed when he thinks about sports, as shown in the 2011 bestseller “Scorecasting” that he co-authored with Sports Illustrated writer Jon Wertheim, applying economic analysis to sports. A popular working paper by Moskowitz studied sports betting markets for the asset pricing anomalies that we know and love in financial markets.
Touts often claim to be able to hit 60% or higher, but as I explain in my essay on Bayesian Probability, anyone who tells you that their long term expected winning percentage is higher than 60% is deluding themselves. Ten or more years ago a sharp handicapper could win about 60% long term but those days are over, as odds makers have become more savvy in the past decade or so. For a bettor to claim a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage, that would be mean that Vegas would have to consistently release lines with egregious errors, and that simply just does not happen often enough nowadays for claims of a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage. Any short term win rates of around 60% or higher are simply due to blind, short-term luck. For instance, last year (2016) in the first season using a new NFL play-by-play model, Dr. Bob Sports’ NFL Best Bet sides were an incredible 66-26 (71.7%), but that record was enhanced by winning a very large percentage of close games (31-12 on Best Bets decided by 7 points or less) rather than splitting the close ones. It still would have been a great season on NFL Best Bet sides (62%) if the close games had been 50% but I still can’t expect the new model to win 60%-plus on sides based on that one season – although the play-by-play model back-tested at a very profitable 56% winners.

Amidst all the close calls that are separating the top 2(or top-3, if you are a delusional Tottenham fan), Manchester City host Chelsea in the showcase game of the Premier League weekend. Between them, both these teams have won 8 out of the last 14 league titles and 4 of the last 5 to lay a claim to throne of being the most successful Premier League club of the post-Ferguson era.
Two Eastern Conference teams fighting to remain in the thick of the postseason bracket square off tonight at Barclays Center. Detroit is in Brooklyn for a 7:30 p.m. ET Monday night affair. The Pistons have surpassed Brooklyn in the East playoff standings off an impressive 131-108 rout of the Chicago Bulls on Sunday. was the fifth straight victory for the Pistons and their 12th in the last 14 games. Brooklyn has done their best to keep pace with Detroit winning three straight.
Moskowitz has studied betting on a number of sports, including the National Football League, Major League Baseball, the National Hockey League, and the National Basketball Association. While betting on all of them exhibited behaviorally driven mispricing that created value and momentum effects, the size of those mispricing effects was only about one-fifth the size seen in financial markets. At that scale, they aren’t large enough to overcome the transaction cost of the bookmaker’s vig.
Placing $460 bets on each of these games, a number pulled from some quick and dirty math about how much you could afford to bet in a single week’s NFL play without blowing your bankroll, would result in a $4,048 profit if you maintain that 55% winning record. Turning $10,000 into $14,048 in just four months is an investment return of 40.48%. I dare you to ask your bank for that kind of return on your savings account.

How did the NBA top a seven-game series that featured, arguably, its top two players? By having the best player not in the series join forces with the loser. Cavalier fans finally got to enjoy a championship, but the joy was short-lived. Kevin Durant bolted Oklahoma City to team up with Stephen Curry and the rest of the Golden State ... Read More »
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