This actual 1.91 odds is a 52.4% of probability of outcome, therefore you need 52.4% winning rate rather than 50% to achieve break-even. So it’s a betting Magic Number. Bookmaker’s margin unfairly forced you to win 2.4% more rate to achieve equal return (means you win the exact amount of your own stake). Well, from other perspective, you don’t need any unrealistic winning rate like 70% or 80% to be profitable as often advertised by rogue tipsters. You need only 52.4%, and anything over than that is your profit.
While the odds makers do to try approximate the median margin of victory between two teams, they also try to reduce their exposure to risk by setting lines such that the public money will fall evenly on both sides of a game, so that they can offset the bets against each other and earn a profit on the juice (cut of winnings taken by the house, explained below) without exposing themselves to large potential losses. Thus, odds makers are often in the business of gauging public perception rather than team performance, and therefore the betting public actually sets the line. In more recent years, the betting public has had less influence on the odds than professional betting syndicates or sharp money has had, but there is still value to be found – although in different ways than in previous decades. If Georgia is 4 points better than Georgia Tech according to my advanced metrics and analysis, but the aggregate public perception is that Georgia is 7 points better than Georgia Tech, then the posted point spread is likely to be closer to 6 or 7 points (public perception) than it will be to 4 points (the realistic difference between the teams). This makes my job as a professional handicapper much less daunting; not only can I exploit lines where the odds makers are off, but I can also exploit the uniformed opinions of the general betting public, and more recently take advantage of betting syndicates and ‘quants’ that rely more and more on algorithms but can overlook some of the hidden value in changes in team personnel or lineups and in the particular match up between two teams.
Most losers base their judgement on a subjective feel for the forthcoming event, relying on an inkling or a hunch about what may happen. The skilled tipsters has a huge advantage over the recreational bettor, finding “value” in the odds, where the true chance of a win is greater than that estimated by the bookmaker. Many punters fail to appreciate the importance of value betting, preferring to subscribe to the “back winners, not losers” school of gambling, which will not make you win 57%.
Before deciding if you should pay for picks, you should determine your betting style. Determining your betting style will let you know if you need to pay an expert for your picks. Are you the type of bettor that likes to crunch a ton of numbers, sift through all the trends and get all the relevant team news on coaches, players, injuries, and off-field transgressions? Do you understand line movements and how to manage your money to ensure you get a maximum return on investment (ROI) from sports betting? If so, then buying picks doesn’t make sense since you’ll be basically paying for a professional handicapper to tell you what you already know. On the other hand, if you’re the type of bettor that doesn’t follow trends or wants to deal with line movements, then purchasing picks could be what takes you from being a betting novice to a pro sports wagerist. Or, and let’s face it, some people simply don’t have the time to look at every stat and break down every game. Why not get an expert’s opinion to help you out?

In order to beat the juice and win in sports betting, a bettor must employ a disciplined approach in their analysis of each game using methods that have proven to be successful in the long run. I discuss my math models and analytical metrics in my Handicapping Methods essay, but you must realize that only the best and most knowledgeable handicappers can win more than 52.4% of their games. In their 2007 two page article about my handicapping success, the Wall Street Journal wrote, “…fewer than 100 people can sustain (win rates of 55%) over time. Most of them belong to professional betting syndicates that hire teams of statisticians, wager millions every week and keep their operations secret.”

The DOJ ruling happened “at a very inopportune time” from MLB’s perspective, because some of the potential buyers of the networks “that probably would have been good for our sport” aren’t able to bid on them, Manfred said. He named AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Comcast Corp. (Nasdaq: CMCSA) as two examples. AT&T is in the process of a mega-merger of its own with Time Warner, while Comcast had recently completed a massive acquisition of U.K. media giant Sky.

There are 2 types of people who bet sports. Recreational Punter who bet for fun as a hobby with the hope of winning. On the other hand, Non Casual Punter bet seriously for living or at least Not only for fun. I said people who can make a living sports betting is not many.  It’s supposed to be far less than 5% sports bettors who constantly win and they are called Sharp. We don’t know if such 5% successful sports bettors can really make ends meet with just sports betting but at least they don’t lose to the bookies. The rest 95% recreational punters surely loose in the long-run. How do professional gamblers make money in the first place? or What makes the difference between the 2 punters? Yes, “Character”.
Independent of which kind of long-term bet you choose, you should always do one thing before placing the betting team: Gather as much information as possible. Before teh start of a competition, you should know which transfers were made or whether there have been other changes in personnel. Additionally it's important to know about the form of the teams or individual players of the last season or the last weeks and months. Are there injuries or other impairments? Only when the most important facts are known, you should place your tip. You should always be aware: Individual sports are riskier with long-term bets, becasue everything stands and falls with one person. If the respective athlete, that you bet on, gets injured during the season for example or needs to take a break for other reasons, your bet will be soon lost. In team sports individual injuries can be better compensated. On the other hand it's easier in individual sports to judge the form and make a forecast.
Although, the one activity you won’t find in any of those casinos is sports gambling. But, before you pack your bags and plan your trip to a bordering state, you should know that legal sports betting in Arizona can be found in your own home. Online offshore sportsbooks offer those same types of Vegas-style odds boards to any AZ resident with an internet connection. We’ll discuss the legality of using these sites, what it will take to see legal sports betting offered at casinos, and we’ll even cover topics like daily fantasy sports and pari-mutual wagering.

For most mainstream sports, there’s a wealth of information readily available. Some sports have TV channels dedicated entirely to broadcasting all the latest news, and most newspapers cover the popular sports extensively too. And then there’s the internet. The internet is full of useful sports resources where we can find out pretty much anything we could possibly want to know about any of the major sports.

Most bettors place lots of wagers because they think it will improve their chances of making money. We can see the logic in thinking this way, but the opposite is actually true. It’s the QUALITY of our wagers that improves our chances of making money, not the quantity of them. And the more wagers we place, the less likely we are to place good wagers.
What about financial products which are usually perceived as investment such as Equity (Stock) or Bond (Fixed Income)? Annual Returns on Stock, T.Bonds and T.Bills: 1928 – Current shows S&P 500 (US Stock Index) average is 11.41% while 10 year T-Bond is 5.23%. However, when it comes to the standard deviation (fluctuation of return), off course Stock is much higher. According to CFA Digest, stocks are about 3 times more volatile than bonds on average. Means the certainty of outcome in Positive return of Fixed Income is surely higher than Stock. The below chart is just giving you how the magnitude of the difference of volatility between these 2 assets class are (sourced from Market Realist);

As the name suggests long-term bets spread over a longer period of time. If you like, you could call them the opposite of live bets. Long-term bets are offered for all possible sports, whether it's football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey, Formula 1 or winter sports. The bet is used for longer, season spreading formats - therefore the name. Popular examples would be EURO or World Cup qualifications or final rounds, leagues, cup competitions or other tournaments. The classic long-term bet aims at betting on the winner of the chosen format/competition. Therefore one often speaks of championship bets in football or other sports. For example you can bet on who will win the German Bundesliga, the Premier League, but also tournaments like the Chmapions League or the DFB Cup. A long-term bet in tennis for example would be betting on the winner of a certain Grand Slam tournament like Wimbledon. This principle works analogically for all other sports: Who will be Formula 1 world champion? Who will win the biathlon total world cup? Long-term bets are usually placed before the season starts or before the championship or the respective tournament kicks off, because then you get the best odds. Of course you can also place them in the course of a certain competition. You can for example bet on the final winner in the semi final. Then four teams or players are still left to choose. Remember: Bookmakers react to the intermediate result and adapt the odds accordingly. The profit calculation works as usual: The betting stakes are multiplied by the betting odds. An example for a long-term bet, where you bet on the winner of a competition would be a tip on the winner of the total world cup in Alpine skiing:


When Roma and FC Porto clash at the Olimpico in Rome, it will mark the second time in three seasons that these two football clubs have played. The first meeting took place in the 2016-17 season when both Roma and Porto had to qualify for the Champions' League group stage, thanks to poor seasons the year prior. Porto got the better of the Italian club, and they progressed 4-1 on aggregate over two legs. Read More >>
Totalizators. In totalizators (sometimes called flexible-rate bets) the odds are changing in real-time according to the share of total exchange each of the possible outcomes have received taking into account the return rate of the bookmaker offering the bet. For example: If the bookmakers return percentage is 90%, 90% of the amount placed on the winning result will be given back to bettors and 10% goes to the bookmaker. Naturally the more money bet on a certain result, the smaller the odds on that outcome become. This is similar to parimutuel wagering in horse racing and dog racing.
Horse race betting is usually an activity tied to the Southeast, but Arizona is no stranger when it comes to hosting great races. Residents can place their wagers at tracks such as Turf Paradise Race Course, Rillito Downs Park Racetrack, and Yavapai Downs Racecourse. But, for those looking for a more convenient way to place wagers, they’ll be happy to know that they can do so with the same sports betting sites we’ve previously recommended. Bovada, SportsBetting, BetOnline, and 5Dimes each come with a state of the art online racebook. There also promotions and bonuses for using their racebook which may give you an edge the next time you want to bet on your favorite pony.
There’s no doubting that PNC Park is one of the most beautiful baseball stadiums in the country. The Pirates have been asking the state for funds to maintain the stadium for the past five to seven years. Despite being a profitable business, it probably makes sense that the state pay for upkeep since the residents of Pennsylvania paid to build the stadium.
This leaves smart gamblers to find great value opportunities where the general public's opinion is just plain wrong. It also means that great value can be found on events where there is expected to be greater interest than normal by the occasional and casual gambler, who lets be honest, knows nothing or very little in terms of profitable betting strategy. Events like the AFL and NRL Grand Finals and major horse racing events are prime candidates for this sort of opportunity.
My money is on the Celtics to cash in an easy win and cover at the Clippers on Monday night. Apparently all Boston needed to get things figured out is to hit the road, as the Celtics looked to cap off a 4-game road trip a perfect 4-0. That's not the only incentive here. Last time these two teams played Boston blew a 28-point lead at home. Clippers have continued to play well after trading away one of their best players in Tobias Harris, but the a big reason for that is the schedule. Bet the Celtics -1.5! 
As per the introductory text of the proposed legislation, sports betting would have to be approved by voters on a county-by-county basis and there would be a 10 percent tax on sports betting revenue. A total of 40 percent of that allotment would be allocated for general appropriations. Another 30 percent would go toward to “state colleges of applied technologies and community colleges for equipment and capital projects.” Finally, 30 percent would go toward local governments where sports betting is approved and would fund education and infrastructure in those jurisdictions.
As per the introductory text of the proposed legislation, sports betting would have to be approved by voters on a county-by-county basis and there would be a 10 percent tax on sports betting revenue. A total of 40 percent of that allotment would be allocated for general appropriations. Another 30 percent would go toward to “state colleges of applied technologies and community colleges for equipment and capital projects.” Finally, 30 percent would go toward local governments where sports betting is approved and would fund education and infrastructure in those jurisdictions.
Utah is dealing with cluster injuries at point guard again.  Ricky Rubio has been downgraded to “out’, dealing with a hip injury.  Raul Neto has a bad hamstring, still out as well.  Dante Exum hasn’t played since the first week of January.  He’s expected to return to the floor tonight – a desperation move – and be able to defend Russell Westbrook and Dennis Schroeder.  I’m not expecting that matchup to work in Utah’s favor, to put it mildly.

It is somewhat irresponsible to pinpoint a moment in the Major League Baseball time-warp to state that the "save" morphed into something static. Rather transformed on a specific date in which one can etch in baseball stone.  But for the purpose of this MLB Futures article we will start years after the term save was used by general managers in the late 1950's. As well a time period after sports columnist Jerome Holtzman was the first to give specific criteria to saves in the early 1960's.
Our goal is to be the best website on the Internet for free sports betting information and picks, and we are constantly working on finding new ways to improve our site to best fit your needs as a sports bettor. Winning money betting on sports isn’t easy, but our goal is to educate every sports bettor as much as we can to help you in your goal of profiting with your betting.
“When markets become more competitive, prices fall,” says Moskowitz, who was rooting for perennial disappointment England in last Wednesday’s match, because one side of his family is English. He’s typically more hard-headed when he thinks about sports, as shown in the 2011 bestseller “Scorecasting” that he co-authored with Sports Illustrated writer Jon Wertheim, applying economic analysis to sports. A popular working paper by Moskowitz studied sports betting markets for the asset pricing anomalies that we know and love in financial markets.
And in a twist, it has been one of the very sports leagues that took New Jersey to court over PASPA, one of the same leagues that were laughed and shouted out of the room when meeting with Jersey lawmakers for possible integrity fees, that are speaking out on the state’s rates and fees. (For perspective, neighboring New Jersey will tax in-person revenue at 8.5 percent at casinos and racetracks, online casino revenue at 13 percent and online track revenue at 14.25 percent; Nevada has a 5-percent tax rate.)
All-everything guard Donovan Mitchell has seen an uptick in his production of late. But even Mitchell's 38 points on 12-of-24 shooting on Friday night wasn't enough for the team to overcome a 114-104 loss to Memphis. Coach Quin Synder and his player personnel are rarely successful unless they defend at a high level. And with the short bench the ability to do so has been an issue. Furthermore it will continue to be such in the latter part of the regular season.

Sports betting has resulted in a number of scandals in sport, affecting the integrity of sports events through various acts including point shaving (players affecting the score by missing shots), spot-fixing (a player action is fixed), bad calls from officials at key moments, and overall match fixing (the overall result of the event is fixed). Examples include the 1919 World Series, the alleged (and later admitted) illegal gambling of former MLB player Pete Rose, and former NBA referee Tim Donaghy.
Whoever was behind “maria” turned £3,000 into £100,603.78 (after 5% Betfair commission deduction) in 303 days!  She consistently put her selections up on the board in good time before the racing began and the actual selections and strike rate were never in doubt. Many people cast doubt over the true identity of Maria Santonix. Some said it was a man called Adrian Massey who owned a well known horse racing website at the time. The only images available of Maria online are heavily edited so you can not clearly see her. Remember, in 2005 sites such as Facebook were not even invented yet so having your picture online wasn’t as easy or as common as it is today. Therefore, the fact there are no images available of Maria does not mean she is a fake. Sadly, the original thread has been deleted however you can still see the part of it from an internet archive website. Sportstradinglife
If there is one sport that has the ability to draw punters out of the woodwork it’s golf. Major events such as the Masters, the US Open, and the PGA Championships are watched and bet on by millions of people around the world – so there will always be demand to bet on this sport. The best golf bookmakers make it easier to tee off on them by offering a plethora of betting opportunities and golf promotions. Punters can take advantage of free bets, money back wagers, and acca insurance on their golf accumulators. Top golf sportsbooks offer live streaming coverage and plenty of in-play betting. Golf is definitely not the most exciting sport to watch but it gains a lot of appeal when you make lots of money out of it. Be sure to keep an eye on the promotions section at Gamblingjudge.com to find the latest golf bonuses and promotions.
One of the distinct advantages of working with a professional handicapper is convenience. When you want to bet but don’t have time to do the necessary research involved with making an educated wager, a picks service will do the hard work for you. Maybe you’ve gotten so bogged down with other parts of your life that the only sports updates you have time for are the analysis that comes with your purchased picks. In this case, buying picks and information from a trusted professional who has studied all the lines, trends, odds, etc. and makes knowledgeable predictions based on facts – not just gut feelings or based on their favorite team – could be your best option.
“The chorus of human stories we present in ‘Action’ will resonate far beyond the world of sports and gambling,” director Luke Korem says. “This is a subculture that reflects to an extreme the risk, reward, and uncertainty we find in our everyday lives. I’m thrilled that Showtime is allowing us to capture these stories at such a unique moment in history.”
The Blackhawks Over streak came to an end in Dallas on Saturday after 16 straight Over wins. 8 of those 16 were at home and 13 of past 15 at United Center have gone over and we won't look to buck the trend here when two teams battling for a Wildcard spot meet. The Coyotes come in playing some playoff style hockey tonight and have won 8 of 10. While the atmosphere may be a playoff type one, we don't see the Hawks team capable of playing a tight one. Over is the play here.
Chelsea began the season strong on a strong note going 12 premier league games without a defeat to start of their season. They had a healthy 7 point cushion between them and Manchester United when Ole Gunnar Solskajaer took over and now they trail United for the last Champions League spot by 1 point and a game in hand making this game against Manchester City a must win for their Manager.
Taken at face value, it sounds as if the AAF is primed to offer the fantasy equivalent of in-game prop betting. That model is currently being deployed with varying level of success by operators such as Boom Fantasy and Fanamana’s InGame Fantasy. However, as a proprietary offering of a professional sports league, it would seemingly qualify as a first.
Independent of which kind of long-term bet you choose, you should always do one thing before placing the betting team: Gather as much information as possible. Before teh start of a competition, you should know which transfers were made or whether there have been other changes in personnel. Additionally it's important to know about the form of the teams or individual players of the last season or the last weeks and months. Are there injuries or other impairments? Only when the most important facts are known, you should place your tip. You should always be aware: Individual sports are riskier with long-term bets, becasue everything stands and falls with one person. If the respective athlete, that you bet on, gets injured during the season for example or needs to take a break for other reasons, your bet will be soon lost. In team sports individual injuries can be better compensated. On the other hand it's easier in individual sports to judge the form and make a forecast.
When Manchester United and Paris Saint Germain clash on Tuesday in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup, it be a meeting between one of the most storied football clubs in the entire world who crave more than anything European success versus a team in PSG who have never tasted European success on the biggest stage. Read More >>
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